Phillies vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - June 12, 2024

Phillies at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NBC 10

Philadelphia Phillies

32-18

6 - 8

Boston Red Sox

25-26

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Pivetta			4.14	6-12
C.Sanchez			3.32	11-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 32-18	-1.5	-1.5+134	o8-115	-122
Red Sox 25-26	u8.5	+1.5-162	u8-105	+104

Wednesday 11:10 p.m.

June 12, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

PHI -120

1.2u

PHI -120

C.Sanchez o5.5 Ks-130

Mjay 🤝 @TokenPicks

A.Bohm o0.5 RBI+145

0.73u

Alec “RBI Factory” Bohm

PHI -1.5+136

PHI -125

1.25u

N.Castellanos o0.5 HR+450

0.25u

RIP Jerry West

N.Pivetta o5.5 Hits Allowed+125

0.63u

1 hit in 7 innings vs Atlanta I bet

PHI -1.5+135

0.5u

The Town was a top 10 movie for me

N.Pivetta u6.5 Ks-130

0.77u

Nick “Dumpster Baby” Pivetta

PHI -1.5+136

PHI -120

Red Sox in a sharp spot should be free

Featured Insight
Phillies RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% this season -- third highest in MLB. Red Sox have struck out 25% this season -- tied for third highest in MLB.

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The Red Sox are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 10 or more hits this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Dominic Smith has an OPS of just .683 since last season -- 10th worst in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Jeff Hoffman has allowed an OPS of just .503 (321 PAs) since last season -- third best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 29% of PA's since last season -- tied for seventh highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Nick Pivetta has a strikeout rate of 31% vs left-handed batters since last season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has a strikeout rate of 61% (11 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days -- best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 26% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .116 (13-for-112) against Nick Pivetta in late innings since the 2022 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: .246 -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (50/79) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 13-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Red Sox' 26 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	25-26	12-14	13-12	16-18	9-7
Phillies	28-22	13-12	15-10	22-19	6-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	24-26-1	10-15-1	14-11	15-18-1	9-7
Phillies	22-27-1	13-12	9-15-1	19-21-1	3-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	25-26	14-12	11-14	18-16	7-9
Phillies	32-18	17-8	15-10	27-14	5-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 11th	PHI	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 8	PHI +134
Jun 9th	@CWS	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 9	BOS -146
Jun 8th	@CWS	L 1-6	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CWS -230
Jun 8th	@CWS	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 8	CWS -108
Jun 7th	@CWS	W 14-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -245

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Romy Gonzalez
1B
Gonzalez is out with back
Out
Masataka Yoshida
LF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sanchez, P	67	4	2	4
RJ.Ruiz, P	13	1	1	2
RS.Turnbull, P	38	1.1	1	2
RS.Dominguez, P	11	0.2	1	0
LG.Soto, P	22	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-3	1	0
2N.Castellanos, RF	2-4	2	0
3B.Harper, 1B	2-4	1	1
4A.Bohm, 3B	0-4	1	1
5B.Stott, SS	1-4	1	2
6W.Merrifield, 2B	1-3	0	1
7D.Dahl, LF	1-5	0	1
8R.Marchan, C	0-4	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	1-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Pivetta, P	93	4	4	4
LC.Booser, P	10	1	1	0
RZ.Kelly, P	15	1	2	1
LB.Bernardino, P	18	1	0	0
RJ.Slaten, P	16	1	0	0
RK.Jansen, P	14	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	3-5	1	0	1
2R.Refsnyder, RF	1-4	1	0	0
3T.O'Neill, DH	1-3	0	0	1
4R.Devers, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
5C.Wong, C	1-3	1	0	0
6J.Westbrook, 2B	0-1	0	0	1
6E.Valdez, PH	1-1	0	0	2
6E.Valdez, 2B	1-1	0	0	2
7B.Dalbec, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
8D.Hamilton, SS	2-4	2	1	2
9C.Rafaela, CF	2-3	1	0	0