Pirates vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - September 19, 2023

Pirates at Cubs

11:40 pm • MARQ

Pittsburgh Pirates

3-3

1 - 14

Chicago Cubs

3-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Assad			3.05	5-3
B.Falter			5.58	2-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 3-3	N/A	N/A	N/A
Cubs 3-3	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

September 19, 2023

Wrigley FieldChicago

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

$1.10

PIT +140

0.5u

Falter 4.53 SIERA/4.47 xERA, Assad 4.80/5.04 - While CHC have the offensive advantage, PIT has a strong defense & pen, comparable w/ CHC

J.Assad o14.5 Outs-155

0.65u

CHC -1.5+128

1.28u

J.Assad o14.5 Outs-149

Under 9-115

0.58u

Under 9-115

0.58u

Bet to 8.5 (-108

MLB NRFI Model Picks For Tuesday
Billy Ward•
Sep 19, 2023 UTC

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The Cubs are 25-3 (.893) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

Connor Joe is batting just .144 with RISP this season -- worst among hitters with at least 223 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .141 (12-for-85) against Javier Assad with RISP this season -- best among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Nico Hoerner has a miss rate of only 6% on inside fastballs since last season -- third best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Bailey Falter has located his fastball inside 43% of the time since last season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .141 (12-for-85) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .256 -- 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (27/151) against Javier Assad this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 99th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cubs' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-3	N/A
Pirates	3-3	N/A	3-3	2-0	1-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-3	N/A
Pirates	3-3	N/A	3-3	2-0	1-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-3	N/A
Pirates	3-3	N/A	3-3	2-0	1-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 17th	@ARI	L 2-6	-	-	-
Sep 17th	@ARI	L 6-7	-	-	-
Sep 16th	@ARI	L 4-6	-	-	-
Sep 13th	@COL	L 3-7	-	-	-
Sep 13th	@COL	L 4-6	-	-	-

Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out
Jordan Wicks
SP
Wicks is out with arm
Out
Seiya Suzuki
RF
Suzuki is out with knee
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	24	1	1	2
RQ.Priester, P	91	6	2	4
RK.Nicolas, P	29	0.1	0	6
LJ.Hernandez, P	19	0.2	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Bae, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	0-2	0	0	0
3K.Hayes, 3B	2-4	1	1	1
4J.Suwinski, CF	1-3	0	0	0
4A.Williams, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5J.Palacios, DH	1-3	0	0	0
5J.Triolo, PH	0-0	0	0	0
6E.Rodriguez, C	0-3	0	0	0
6M.Andujar, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7H.Davis, RF	1-4	0	0	0
8A.Rivas, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
9L.Peguero, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Assad, P	84	5	8	1
LD.Smyly, P	14	1	3	0
RJ.Cuas, P	15	1	1	0
RM.Leiter, P	15	1	1	0
LL.Little, P	21	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	1-3	2	0	1
2D.Swanson, SS	2-5	2	1	2
3C.Bellinger, CF	1-5	1	1	3
3C.Bellinger, 1B	1-5	1	1	3
4S.Suzuki, RF	3-4	2	1	1
5Y.Gomes, C	0-3	0	0	0
5M.Amaya, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5M.Amaya, C	0-1	0	0	0
6I.Happ, LF	1-3	1	0	0
6J.Young, PH	1-1	0	0	1
6J.Young, 1B	1-1	0	0	1
7C.Morel, 3B	0-2	2	0	0
7M.Mastrobuoni, PR	0-1	1	0	0
7M.Mastrobuoni, 3B	0-1	1	0	0
8P.Wisdom, 1B	1-3	1	0	1
8P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-0	1	0	0
9A.Canario, DH	2-4	1	1	5
9A.Canario, LF	2-4	1	1	5