Rangers vs. Tigers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 17, 2024

Rangers at Tigers

5:10 pm • BSSW

Texas Rangers

0-0

5 - 4

Detroit Tigers

4-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Skubal			2.39	18-4
D.Dunning			5.31	5-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rangers 0-0	+1.5-175	o7.5-110	+123
Tigers 4-3	-1.5+145	u7.5-110	-146

Wednesday 5:10 p.m.

April 17, 2024

Comerica ParkDetroit

D.Dunning o15.5 Outs (Live)-125

0.5u

Ballpark pal gives this -168 odds projecting 5.45 ip and +ev bet with devig odds of -156 giving value to this number.

Over 3.5 (F5)-129

… MLB f5 fav vs bad pitcher over Overall: 278-184-74,60% (ROI:13%) Season:1-1-1,50% (ROI:-6%)

TEX +120

1.8u

I hate Detroit and everyone in it

TEX +129

1.29u

TEX +135

0.68u

Bet to +128

TEX +128

1.28u

Over 7-115

Featured Insight
The Rangers are batting .274 with RISP since the 2022 season -- best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .265 (347-for-1,309) against Tigers RPs with RISP since the 2022 season -- tied for ninth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Tigers have allowed just 2.0 runs per game while leading since last season -- tied for seventh lowest in MLB (114 games). The Rangers have scored just 2.0 runs per game while trailing since last season -- seventh lowest in MLB (119 games).

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Wednesday
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 17, 2024 UTC

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The Rangers are 35-16 (.686) after a home win since the 2023 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .524.

Adolis Garcia has struck out in 28% of PA's since last season -- tied for 14th highest in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 36% vs right-handed batters since last season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

32% of Jonah Heim strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- eighth highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 46% of Tarik Skubal's strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- 13th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Dane Dunning has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (36/75) this season -- lowest among in AL; League Avg: 63% -- second Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has a first-pitch strike rate of 77% (50/65) this season -- 2nd highest among in AL; League Avg: 63% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Tigers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Tigers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Tigers are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Tigers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Tigers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36
Rangers	70-91	37-44	33-47	35-56	34-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2
Rangers	74-79-8	32-47-2	42-32-6	40-47-4	34-30-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48
Rangers	78-84	44-37	33-47	52-39	24-44

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 16th	TEX	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 8	DET +105
Apr 15th	TEX	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 8.5	TEX -125
Apr 14th	MIN	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	DET -130
Apr 13th	MIN	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIN -135
Apr 13th	MIN	L 5-11	+1.5 L	O 8	MIN +102

Javier Baez
IF
Baez is out with back
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

Corey Seager
IF
Seager is out with hip
Out
Tyler Mahle
P
Mahle is out with shoulder
Out
Evan Carter
OF
Carter is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Dunning, P	97	5	5	1
LJ.Latz, P	13	0.2	1	0
RA.Pruitt, P	13	0.2	0	1
RD.Robertson, P	27	1.1	1	1
RK.Yates, P	24	1.1	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	0-4	2	0
2C.Seager, SS	2-4	1	0
3W.Langford, DH	0-3	0	0
4A.Garcia, RF	1-3	1	2
5J.Heim, C	1-4	0	2
6E.Duran, 1B	1-4	1	0
7E.Carter, LF	0-3	0	0
8D.Wendzel, 3B	0-3	0	0
8J.Smith, PH	1-1	0	1
8J.Smith, 3B	1-1	0	1
9L.Taveras, CF	1-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Skubal, P	86	6.1	6	2
RW.Vest, P	12	1.2	0	0
RS.Miller, P	13	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Greene, DH	1-3	0	0	0
2M.Canha, LF	0-3	0	0	0
2W.Perez, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3S.Torkelson, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
4K.Carpenter, RF	1-5	1	1	1
5Z.McKinstry, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
5M.Vierling, PH	1-2	1	0	0
5M.Vierling, 3B	1-2	1	0	0
6C.Keith, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Baez, SS	1-4	0	0	1
8P.Meadows, CF	1-3	1	1	1
9J.Rogers, C	0-3	0	0	0
9G.Urshela, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9C.Kelly, C	0-0	0	0	0