Rangers vs. Tigers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 17, 2024

Rangers at Tigers

5:10 pm • BSSW

Texas Rangers

4-1

5 - 4

Detroit Tigers

2-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Skubal			2.39	18-4
D.Dunning			5.31	5-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rangers 4-1	+1.5-175	o7.5-110	+123
Tigers 2-3	-1.5+145	u7.5-110	-146

Wednesday 5:10 p.m.

April 17, 2024

Comerica ParkDetroit

D.Dunning o15.5 Outs (Live)-125

0.5u

Ballpark pal gives this -168 odds projecting 5.45 ip and +ev bet with devig odds of -156 giving value to this number.

Over 3.5 (F5)-129

… MLB f5 fav vs bad pitcher over Overall: 278-184-74,60% (ROI:13%) Season:1-1-1,50% (ROI:-6%)

TEX +120

1.8u

I hate Detroit and everyone in it

T.Skubal o17.5 Outs-139

0.72u

TEX +135

0.68u

Bet to +128

DET -150 (F5)

2.25u

D.Dunning o4.5 Ks-136

0.5u

TEX +128

0.64u

TEX +132 (F5)

0.5u

Featured Insight
The Rangers are batting .274 with RISP since the 2022 season -- best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .265 (347-for-1,309) against Tigers RPs with RISP since the 2022 season -- tied for ninth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Tigers have allowed just 2.0 runs per game while leading since last season -- tied for seventh lowest in MLB (114 games). The Rangers have scored just 2.0 runs per game while trailing since last season -- seventh lowest in MLB (119 games).

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Wednesday
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 17, 2024 UTC

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The Rangers are 35-16 (.686) after a home win since the 2023 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .524.

Adolis Garcia has struck out in 28% of PA's since last season -- tied for 14th highest in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 36% vs right-handed batters since last season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

32% of Jonah Heim strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- eighth highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 46% of Tarik Skubal's strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- 13th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Dane Dunning has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (36/75) this season -- lowest among in AL; League Avg: 63% -- second Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has a first-pitch strike rate of 77% (50/65) this season -- 2nd highest among in AL; League Avg: 63% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Tigers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Tigers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Tigers are 2-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Tigers' last 5 games

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	2-3	N/A	2-3	1-0	1-2
Rangers	4-1	N/A	4-1	1-0	3-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Tigers	3-2	N/A	3-2	1-0	1-2
Rangers	3-1-1	N/A	3-1-1	1-0	2-1-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	2-3	N/A	2-3	1-0	1-2
Rangers	4-1	N/A	4-1	1-0	3-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 16th	TEX	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 8	DET +105
Apr 15th	TEX	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 8.5	TEX -125
Apr 14th	MIN	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	DET -130
Apr 13th	MIN	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIN -135
Apr 13th	MIN	L 5-11	+1.5 L	O 8	MIN +102

Reese Olson
SP
Olson is out with shoulder
Out
Jackson Jobe
SP
Jobe is out with elbow
Out
Trey Sweeney
SS
Sweeney is out with shoulder
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
SP
Gipson-Long is out with oblique
Out
Beau Brieske
RP
Brieske is out with groin
Out
Troy Melton
SP
Melton is out with elbow
Out

Jacob deGrom
SP
Jacob deGrom scratched Saturday, Jacob Latz will start.
Out
Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out with elbow
Out
Cody Freeman
3B
Freeman is out with back
Out
Cody Bradford
RP
Bradford is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Dunning, P	97	5	5	1
LJ.Latz, P	13	0.2	1	0
RA.Pruitt, P	13	0.2	0	1
RD.Robertson, P	27	1.1	1	1
RK.Yates, P	24	1.1	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	0-4	2	0
2C.Seager, SS	2-4	1	0
3W.Langford, DH	0-3	0	0
4A.Garcia, RF	1-3	1	2
5J.Heim, C	1-4	0	2
6E.Duran, 1B	1-4	1	0
7E.Carter, LF	0-3	0	0
8D.Wendzel, 3B	0-3	0	0
8J.Smith, PH	1-1	0	1
8J.Smith, 3B	1-1	0	1
9L.Taveras, CF	1-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Skubal, P	86	6.1	6	2
RW.Vest, P	12	1.2	0	0
RS.Miller, P	13	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Greene, DH	1-3	0	0	0
2M.Canha, LF	0-3	0	0	0
2W.Perez, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3S.Torkelson, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
4K.Carpenter, RF	1-5	1	1	1
5Z.McKinstry, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
5M.Vierling, PH	1-2	1	0	0
5M.Vierling, 3B	1-2	1	0	0
6C.Keith, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Baez, SS	1-4	0	0	1
8P.Meadows, CF	1-3	1	1	1
9J.Rogers, C	0-3	0	0	0
9G.Urshela, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9C.Kelly, C	0-0	0	0	0