Rays vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - September 10, 2024
Rays at Phillies
10:40 pm • NBCS-PHStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 3.47 | 12-8 | |
 |  | 4.11 | 8-11 |
Rays at Phillies Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Rays 0-0 | +1.5-142 | o7.5+102 | +154 | |
Phillies 1-3 | -1.5+120 | u7.5-122 | -185 | |
Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia
Rays vs. Phillies Expert Picks
Charlie DiSturco
66d ago
Last 30d: 50-70-2 (-0.1u)
B.Harper o1.5 Total Bases+132
0.33u
B.Harper o0.5 HR+500
0.1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
66d ago
Last 30d: 221-230-3 (+1.3u)
Under 7.5-118
1u
.tsa wind blowing in under streak
Overall: 552-382-39,59% (ROI:14%)
Season:28-22-2,56% (ROI:7%)
The Degenerates
66d ago
Last 30d: 60-64-2 (-9.9u)
PHI -1.5+140
1.4u
💰🦡 Jake
66d ago
Last 30d: 105-102-4 (-7.2u)
PHI -1.5+120
1.8u
Lines at Lunch
66d ago
Last 30d: 50-41-1 (+5.5u)
Y.Diaz o1.5 Total Bases-105
1.05u
Avery
PHI -0.5 (F5)-110
1u
@sandyplashkes
Firefighter Bets
66d ago
Last 30d: 66-79-0 (-17.7u)
Y.Diaz o1.5 Total Bases+105
1u
B.Harper o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-112
0.89u
Prop Bet Guy
66d ago
Last 30d: 73-55-0 (+11.4u)
T.Bradley u6.5 Ks-142
1u
Bradley’s K% plummets in away games - 18.5%, and under in 8/9 (and the one over was in a done, for what it’s worth). Worse overall splits too: 4.86 ERA / 4.46. FIP, hard hit rate jumps by 15% as well. The Phillies bats have turned a corner (again), and overall they’re at a 20.6% K% over the L30 days vs righties at home.
Sandy Plashkes
66d ago
Last 30d: 116-116-0 (+1.8u)
PHI -0.5 (F5)-110
1u
Moneyline Hacks
66d ago
Last 30d: 64-66-3 (+23.3u)
PHI -170
1.76u
PRO Insights
Rays
TB Insights
- Featured InsightThe Rays have allowed just 2.7 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB (6 games). The Phillies have scored just 3.0 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- tied for third lowest in MLB (7 games).
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Phillies
PHI Insights
- Featured InsightPhillies RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% this season -- second highest in MLB. Rays have struck out 25% this season -- tied for fourth highest in MLB.
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Rays vs. Phillies Previews & Analysis
Rays vs. Phillies Notes
Keys to the Game
The Rays are 46-4 (.920) when leading entering the 7th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .858.
Matchup Contrasts
Christopher Morel has struck out in 28% of PA's since last season -- 10th highest in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Jeff Hoffman has a strikeout rate of 33% since last season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.
Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 29% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for second highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Taj Bradley has a strikeout rate of 31% vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP-- 95th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 36% (62/173) against Taj Bradley when he's behind in the count this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (21/49) against Taj Bradley over the past seven days (1 games) -- best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 27% -- 100th Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Rays vs. Phillies Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Rays vs. Phillies Injury Updates
Rays Injuries
- Jeffrey SpringsP
Springs is out with elbow
Out
- Shane McClanahanP
McClanahan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Phillies Injuries
Rays vs. Phillies Box Score
Rays Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 90 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |
 | 9 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 19 | 0.2 | 1 | 2 | |
 | 21 | 0.1 | 1 | 3 | |
 | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Phillies Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 88 | 5.1 | 2 | 4 | |
 | 10 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Rays vs. Phillies Odds Comparison
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Rays at Phillies Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Rays 0-0 | o2.5-145 | u2.5+114 |
Phillies 1-3 | o3.5-154 | u3.5+120 |