Rays vs. Rangers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 6, 2024

Rays at Rangers

12:05 am • BSSUN

Tampa Bay Rays

0-0

0 - 3

Texas Rangers

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Lorenzen			1.57	2-0
S.Baz			3.06	4-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 0-0	-1.5	-1.5+145	o8.5-110	-115
Rangers 0-0	u8.5	+1.5-175	u8.5-110	-105

Saturday 12:05 a.m.

July 06, 2024

Globe Life FieldArlington

C.Seager o1.5 Total Bases-110

Under 8.5-110

Over 8.5-105

S.Baz o4.5 Ks+106

1.06u

Coming off a great month at AAA, and fully built up (93 pitches in his last start), I’m going to take a shot with Baz. It’s a speculative play, but Baz profiles as a K+ per inning pitcher with whiff rates and CSW% in the top 25th percentile. The Rangers have not been hitting at all - 82 wRC+ vs righties the L2 weeks (.646 OPS) - gives me more faith in Baz getting deeper in this game.

Under 8.5-110

0.5u

Bet to 8 (+100)

Featured Insight
The Rays have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- tied for third lowest in MLB (160 games). The Rangers have scored just 0.9 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- second lowest in MLB (143 games).

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The Rays are 12-1 (.923) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .800.

The Rangers are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers are just 4-29 (.121) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.

36% of Yandy Diaz strikeouts are looking this season -- tied for 13th highest in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. 40% of Michael Lorenzen strikeouts are looking this season -- ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Jose Siri has struck out in 35% of PA's this season -- fourth highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Kirby Yates has a strikeout rate of 36% this season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Rangers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rangers are 33-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rangers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 32 of Rangers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	70-91	37-44	33-47	35-56	34-34
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rangers	74-79-8	32-47-2	42-32-6	40-47-4	34-30-4
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	78-84	44-37	33-47	52-39	24-44
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 4th	SD	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 7.5	SD -115
Jul 4th	SD	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 9	SD -162
Jul 3rd	SD	W 7-0	+1.5 W	U 7.5	TEX -101
Jun 30th	@BAL	W 11-2	+1.5 W	O 9	TEX +142
Jun 29th	@BAL	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 9	BAL +140

Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Corey Seager
IF
Seager is out with hip
Out
Tyler Mahle
P
Mahle is out with shoulder
Out
Evan Carter
OF
Carter is out with back
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Baz, P	92	6	6	3
RP.Maton, P	15	1	0	0
RS.Armstrong, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Lowe, DH	1-4	0	0	0
3I.Paredes, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Lowe, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5R.Arozarena, LF	1-4	0	0	0
6R.Palacios, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Siri, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8B.Rortvedt, C	0-1	0	0	0
8J.DeLuca, PH	0-0	0	0	0
8A.Jackson, C	0-1	0	0	0
9T.Walls, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RM.Lorenzen, P	90	5	4
RJ.Leclerc, P	20	1	2
LJ.Latz, P	18	0.2	0
RD.Robertson, P	23	1.1	2
RK.Yates, P	16	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	1-4	1	0
2C.Seager, SS	1-3	1	2
3N.Lowe, 1B	1-4	0	1
4A.Garcia, DH	0-3	0	0
5W.Langford, LF	1-4	0	0
6J.Heim, C	2-4	0	0
7L.Taveras, CF	1-4	0	0
8D.Hill, RF	1-3	0	0
9J.Ornelas, 3B	2-3	1	0