Rays vs. Rangers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 6, 2024

Rays at Rangers

8:05 pm • BSSW

Tampa Bay Rays

7-7

3 - 4

Texas Rangers

8-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Heaney			4.28	5-14
T.Bradley			4.11	8-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 7-7	-1.5+150	o7.5-117	-108
Rangers 8-9	+1.5-180	u7.5-105	-110

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

July 06, 2024

Globe Life FieldArlington

Over 8-107

Over 4.5 (F5)+100

Over 4.5 (F5)-105

Under 8-115

0.5u

T.Bradley o5.5 Ks-115

A.Heaney u17.5 Outs-130

0.77u

Y.Diaz o1.5 Total Bases-105

1.9u

@gogo_dino said Yandy is a bum

T.Bradley o5.5 Ks-122

A.Heaney u17.5 Outs-125

Under in 10/16 starts - coming off a great outing vs BAL (7 IP), but I’m not a believer in him giving the Rangers consistent length. Rays are second in baseball in pitches per PA, and have been hitting lefties well (125 wRC+ and a .782 OPS the L30 days).

T.Bradley o5.5 Ks-117

1.17u

Over in 8/10, and should see at least 6 lefties from the Rangers (his better split - 34.7% K%). Rangers bats just haven’t been scary lately - bottom 6 in OPS and wRC+ vs righties the L2 weeks. Even with a below avg K rate, Bradley shouldn’t have an issue seeing enough hitters to hit this.

TEX +106

0.53u

Superbook. Bet to -114

Featured Insight
The Rays have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- tied for third lowest in MLB (161 games). The Rangers have scored just 0.9 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- second lowest in MLB (144 games).

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Featured Insight
Rangers left-handed hitters have struck out just 17% against RHP over the last week -- fifth lowest in MLB. Rays RPs have a strikeout rate of just 8% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- lowest in MLB.

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The Rangers are just 4-29 (.121) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.

The Rays are 12-1 (.923) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Rays are 49-23 (.681) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

Adolis Garcia has struck out in 27% of PA's since last season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Pete Fairbanks has a strikeout rate of 32% since last season -- tied for 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Andrew Heaney has walked 4 of 145 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- 96th Percentile.

Taj Bradley has struck out 33% (118/354) of left-handed batters he faced since last season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 98th Percentile.

Hitters have chased 60 of Taj Bradley's 146 elevated fastballs out of the zone (41%) this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 27% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Rangers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rangers are 33-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rangers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 32 of Rangers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	70-91	37-44	33-47	35-56	34-34
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rangers	74-79-8	32-47-2	42-32-6	40-47-4	34-30-4
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	78-84	44-37	33-47	52-39	24-44
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 6th	TB	W 3-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	TEX -105
Jul 4th	SD	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 7.5	SD -115
Jul 4th	SD	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 9	SD -162
Jul 3rd	SD	W 7-0	+1.5 W	U 7.5	TEX -101
Jun 30th	@BAL	W 11-2	+1.5 W	O 9	TEX +142

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

Wyatt Langford
OF
Langford is questionable with oblique
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bradley, P	79	6	5	1
RK.Kelly, P	25	1	2	2
RP.Maton, P	13	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	3-3	1	1	3
2R.Arozarena, LF	2-3	0	0	0
3A.Rosario, DH	0-3	0	0	0
3R.Palacios, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3R.Palacios, DH	0-1	0	0	0
4I.Paredes, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Siri, CF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.DeLuca, RF	1-4	1	0	0
7J.Caballero, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7B.Lowe, PH	0-2	0	0	0
7B.Lowe, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
8T.Walls, SS	1-4	1	0	0
9A.Jackson, C	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Lowe, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Rortvedt, C	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Heaney, P	92	5.1	7	0
RJ.Sborz, P	14	1	1	2
LJ.Latz, P	17	0.1	1	1
RJ.Hernandez, P	2	0.1	0	0
RD.Robertson, P	9	1	0	0
RK.Yates, P	10	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	1-3	2	1	2
2C.Seager, SS	2-4	0	0	0
3N.Lowe, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
4A.Garcia, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5W.Langford, LF	0-3	0	0	0
5T.Jankowski, LF	0-0	0	0	0
6J.Heim, DH	1-4	1	0	0
7L.Taveras, CF	2-2	1	0	0
8A.Knizner, C	1-3	0	0	1
9J.Ornelas, 3B	0-3	0	0	0