Rays vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - July 10, 2025

Rays at Red Sox

11:10 pm • FDSSUN

Tampa Bay Rays

50-45

3 - 4

Boston Red Sox

51-45

pitcher		team	era	w-l
W.Buehler			6.12	6-6
T.Bradley			4.60	5-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 50-45	-1.5	-1.5+155	o9-117	-103
Red Sox 51-45	u9	+1.5-184	u9-105	-117

Thursday 11:10 p.m.

July 10, 2025

Fenway ParkBoston

Under 9.5-120

0.21u

Just throwing a small amount on this. This opened at 9 and his moved to 9.5, yet my projections have this closer to 9.1. It's scary to back Taj Bradley and Walker Buehler, especially when you look at Buehler's recent game logs. Still, from a purely projections standpoint, everything for me is pointing to the under. In terms of data, Bradley has a 4.79 ERA but a 3.65 xERA. Buehler has an ugly 6.25 ERA but a 5.12 xERA. Both pitchers have better underlying metrics than their surface stats. Walks and home runs have been a huge issue for Buehler, but RotoGrinders’ Weather Edge tool is showing a 20% decrease in home runs. Again, on paper this is an odd under but I'm just looking at my projections and this is where it's taking me so I'm blindly taking it.

Under 9.5-120

Wind Wins Unders (Weather) Overall: 1069-728-82,59% (ROI:14%) Season:38-30-3,56% (ROI:7%)

Under 5.5 (F5)-135

Wind-In First 5 Unders Overall: 311-198-32,61% (ROI:17%) Season:23-4-0,85% (ROI:61%)

TB o4.5-113

1.13u

Over 9-122

TB +100

Sticky Road Favorites Overall: 672-394-0,63% (ROI:13%) Season:20-21-0,49% (ROI:-14%)

T.Bradley u5.5 Ks-140

0.71u

BOS -105

0.95u

Read the full writeup on X: @PicksOffice

Over 9-117

1.17u

Under 9+100

0.5u

Bet to -110

Under 9-105

0.95u

🔥Free Discord + Youtube: Extra Picks/ Analysis https://discord.gg/A8v49URQaG https://www.youtube.com/@FadetheNoise Link to VIP (Copy &Paste): https://linktr.ee/moneylinehacks%F0%9F%94%A560% OFF with promo code: Hacks60

Rays vs Red Sox: +130 SGP for Thursday
Dead President Picks•
Jul 10, 2025 UTC
Zerillo's 3 MLB Picks for Thursday
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 10, 2025 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 25-21 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Red Sox' 50 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	52-44	27-23	25-21	33-29	19-13
Rays	47-48	22-31	25-17	19-27	27-20

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	47-47-2	22-26-2	25-21	30-30-2	17-15
Rays	39-52-4	21-29-3	18-23-1	16-27-3	22-24-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	51-45	30-20	21-25	36-26	15-17
Rays	50-45	28-25	22-20	27-19	22-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 9th	COL	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 9	BOS -362
Jul 8th	COL	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 9	BOS -290
Jul 7th	COL	W 9-3	-1.5 W	O 10.5	BOS -257
Jul 6th	@WSH	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -245
Jul 5th	@WSH	W 10-3	-1.5 W	O 10	BOS -119

Alex Faedo
RP
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Lowe
2B
Lowe is out with oblique
Out
Shane McClanahan
SP
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Richie Palacios
LF
Palacios is out with knee
Out
Jonny DeLuca
CF
DeLuca is out with shoulder
Out

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bradley, P	88	6	5	1
RB.Baker, P	29	1	1	3
RM.Englert, P	6	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, DH	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Aranda, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Caminero, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
4J.Lowe, RF	0-2	1	0	0
5H.Kim, SS	1-4	1	1	2
6C.Simpson, CF	1-4	0	0	0
7C.Morel, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Mangum, LF	1-1	0	0	0
8M.Thaiss, C	0-3	0	0	0
8D.Jansen, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9T.Walls, 2B	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RW.Buehler, P	92	6	2	3
LC.Murphy, P	16	1	0	0
RG.Whitlock, P	15	1	2	0
LA.Chapman, P	15	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	0-3	0	0
2R.Anthony, DH	1-4	0	1
3A.Toro, 1B	0-3	0	0
3D.Hamilton, 2B	0-0	0	0
4C.Narvaez, C	0-4	0	0
5W.Abreu, RF	0-3	0	0
6T.Story, SS	0-3	1	0
7R.Gonzalez, 2B	0-2	1	0
7R.Gonzalez, 1B	0-2	1	0
8M.Mayer, 3B	1-3	1	1
9C.Rafaela, CF	2-3	1	2