Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - June 18, 2024

Red Sox at Blue Jays

11:07 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

25-26

4 - 3

Toronto Blue Jays

25-24

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Bassitt			4.16	10-14
T.Houck			3.12	9-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 25-26	-1.5+130	o7.5-107	-135
Blue Jays 25-24	+1.5-155	u7.5-112	+114

Tuesday 11:07 p.m.

June 18, 2024

Rogers CentreToronto

BOS -135

1.48u

BOS -133

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-135

1.5u

Under 8-120

C.Bassitt o1.5 BB-131

Bassitt over this line in 11/14 starts. Sox with a 9.2% walk rate vs righties over the L30 (7th highest) and 10.8% over the L14 (2nd). Bassitt’s walk rate shoots up to 12.8% vs lefties - should see 5-6 tonight.

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-135

C.Bassitt o5.5 Ks-125

BOS -110

0.91u

TOR +100

0.5u

Bet to -105

Featured Insight
Red Sox have a strikeout rate of 30% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- third highest in MLB. Blue Jays right-handed hitters have struck out 30% against LHP over the last week -- third highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Blue Jays are batting .250 versus relief pitchers since last season -- fourth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .252 (897-for-3,564) against Red Sox RPs since last season -- fifth worst in MLB.

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The Blue Jays are just 5-12 (.294) after a road win this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.

George Springer is slugging just .372 since last season -- ninth worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Tanner Houck has allowed a SLG of just .310 vs right-handed batters since last season -- tied for seventh best among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Rafael Devers is slugging .515 since last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Chris Bassitt has allowed a SLG of .490 vs left-handed batters since last season -- 10th worst among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP-- 10th Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (244 balls in play) -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 13-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 15 of Blue Jays' 28 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	31-18	18-10	13-8	11-9	20-8
Red Sox	25-26	12-14	13-12	16-18	9-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	24-24-1	15-12-1	9-12	11-9	12-15-1
Red Sox	24-26-1	10-15-1	14-11	15-18-1	9-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	25-24	16-12	9-12	11-9	14-14
Red Sox	25-26	14-12	11-14	18-16	7-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 17th	BOS	L 3-7	-1.5 L	O 7.5	BOS -122
Jun 16th	CLE	W 7-6	+1.5 W	O 7.5	TOR -119
Jun 15th	CLE	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8	TOR -125
Jun 14th	CLE	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	CLE -150
Jun 12th	@MIL	L 4-5	+1.5 W	U 9	MIL +105

Spencer Turnbull
RP
Turnbull is out with back
Out
Alek Manoah
SP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Romy Gonzalez
1B
Gonzalez is out with back
Out
Masataka Yoshida
LF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Houck, P	103	5.2	5	2
RZ.Kelly, P	18	1.1	1	0
LB.Bernardino, P	10	0.2	0	0
RJ.Slaten, P	2	0.1	0	0
RK.Jansen, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	0	0	0
2E.Valdez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2R.Gonzalez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2R.Gonzalez, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, LF	1-5	0	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	2-5	1	0	0
5T.O'Neill, RF	2-4	2	1	1
6M.Yoshida, DH	1-4	0	0	1
7R.McGuire, C	0-2	0	0	0
8D.Smith, 1B	2-4	0	0	1
8D.Hamilton, PR	0-0	1	0	0
8B.Dalbec, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	3-4	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Bassitt, P	99	6	6	2
RN.Pearson, P	16	0.2	1	0
LB.Little, P	23	1	1	2
RC.Green, P	12	0.1	1	0
LG.Cabrera, P	10	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Horwitz, 2B	1-3	0	0
1K.Kiermaier, CF	0-0	0	0
1D.Jansen, PH	0-1	0	0
2D.Schneider, LF	1-4	0	0
2D.Schneider, 2B	1-4	0	0
3V.Guerrero, 1B	0-4	0	0
4D.Varsho, CF	1-4	0	0
4D.Varsho, LF	1-4	0	0
5J.Turner, DH	1-3	2	0
6A.Barger, RF	1-3	1	0
6G.Springer, PH	0-1	0	0
6G.Springer, RF	0-1	0	0
7A.Kirk, C	0-4	0	0
8I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	1-4	0	1
9E.Clement, 3B	1-4	0	2