Red Sox vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 3, 2024

Red Sox at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Boston Red Sox

1-2

7 - 2

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Rogers			7.11	0-2
B.Bello			4.49	14-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 1-2	-1.5+129	o7.5-118	-130
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-154	u7.5-105	+110

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

July 03, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

MIA +110

Over 8-112

Under 4.5 (F5)-135

0.74u

SQUAD POD

T.Rogers u5.5 Ks-137

1.2u

Over 8-105

0.95u

Over 8-112

T.Rogers o4.5 Hits Allowed-157

0.64u

MIA +129

0.5u

Bet to +120

T.Rogers u5.5 Ks-116

1.16u

Featured Insight
The Red Sox are batting .249 versus relief pitchers since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .250 (1,421-for-5,695) against Marlins RPs since the 2022 season -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Marlins RPs have a strikeout rate of 31% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB. Red Sox right-handed hitters have struck out 39% against LHP over the last week -- second highest in MLB.

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MLB Player Props For Wednesday
Doug Ziefel•
Jul 3, 2024 UTC
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The Red Sox are 35-29 (.547) after a road win since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .477.

Rafael Devers has an OPS of .878 since the 2022 season -- 10th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Andrew Nardi has allowed an OPS of .769 (452 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 13th worst among qualified RPs-- seventh Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has a first-pitch strike rate of just 43% (22/51) -- lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% -- first Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 48% (145/303) of the time this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 62% -- 0 Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (73/441) against Brayan Bello since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 162 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 51-30 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	94-68	43-38	51-30	11-18	82-49
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	80-79-3	38-42-1	42-37-2	17-12	62-66-3
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	79-83	38-43	41-40	15-14	64-67
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 2nd	BOS	L 3-8	+1.5 L	O 8	BOS +136
Jun 30th	@PHI	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 8	PHI +210
Jun 29th	@PHI	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9	MIA +210
Jun 28th	@PHI	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 8	PHI +185
Jun 27th	@PHI	W 7-4	+1.5 W	O 8	MIA +242

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Kyle Stowers
LF
Stowers is out with oblique
Out
Max Meyer
SP
Meyer is out for season with hip
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	91	6.2	7	1
LB.Bernardino, P	4	0.1	0	0
RC.Martin, P	20	1	1	0
RG.Weissert, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-6	0	0
2R.Refsnyder, LF	0-3	1	0
3T.O'Neill, RF	2-4	2	0
4R.Devers, 3B	2-4	2	2
5C.Wong, C	2-5	0	0
6R.Gonzalez, 2B	1-3	0	0
6D.Hamilton, PH	0-1	0	0
6D.Hamilton, 2B	0-1	0	0
7M.Yoshida, DH	2-4	1	2
8D.Smith, 1B	0-4	1	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	2-5	0	3

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Rogers, P	84	3	6	2
RH.Brazoban, P	39	3	3	0
RC.Faucher, P	18	0.1	0	1
LA.Nardi, P	8	0.2	1	0
RA.Bender, P	9	1	0	0
RA.Maldonado, P	28	1	1	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	1-4	1	0
2B.De La Cruz, LF	1-3	0	0
3J.Bell, DH	0-4	0	0
4J.Sanchez, RF	3-4	0	1
5J.Burger, 1B	1-4	0	0
6X.Edwards, SS	1-4	1	0
7V.Brujan, 2B	0-4	0	0
8E.Rivera, 3B	1-3	0	1
9N.Fortes, C	1-4	0	0