Red Sox vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 3, 2024
Red Sox at Marlins
10:40 pm • BSFLStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 7.11 | 0-2 | |
 |  | 4.49 | 14-8 |
Red Sox at Marlins Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Red Sox 0-0 | -1.5+129 | o7.5-118 | -130 | |
Marlins 0-0 | +1.5-154 | u7.5-105 | +110 | |
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Red Sox vs. Marlins Expert Picks
Sir Lockselot
134d ago
Last 30d: 34-94-0 (-61.6u)
MIA +110
2u
The Degenerates
134d ago
Last 30d: 60-64-2 (-9.9u)
Over 8-112
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
134d ago
Last 30d: 219-229-3 (+0.4u)
T.Rogers u5.5 Ks-137
1.2u
Over 8-105
0.95u
Chase Holden
134d ago
Last 30d: 26-40-0 (+2.4u)
Over 8-112
1u
Markus Markets
134d ago
Last 30d: 73-81-2 (+15.5u)
T.Rogers o4.5 Hits Allowed-157
0.64u
Tanner McGrath
134d ago
Last 30d: 61-63-4 (-9.5u)
MIA +120
1u
Sean Zerillo
135d ago
Last 30d: 44-66-3 (-7.4u)
MIA +129
0.5u
Bet to +120
Kyle Murray
135d ago
Last 30d: 103-119-1 (-11.6u)
T.Rogers u5.5 Ks-116
1.16u
PRO Insights
Red Sox
BOS Insights
- Featured InsightThe Red Sox are batting .249 versus relief pitchers since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .250 (1,421-for-5,695) against Marlins RPs since the 2022 season -- fifth worst in MLB.
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Marlins
MIA Insights
- Featured InsightMarlins RPs have a strikeout rate of 31% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB. Red Sox right-handed hitters have struck out 39% against LHP over the last week -- second highest in MLB.
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Red Sox vs. Marlins Previews & Analysis
Red Sox vs. Marlins Notes
Keys to the Game
The Red Sox are 35-29 (.547) after a road win since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .477.
Matchup Contrasts
Rafael Devers has an OPS of .878 since the 2022 season -- 10th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Andrew Nardi has allowed an OPS of .769 (452 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 13th worst among qualified RPs-- seventh Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Trevor Rogers has a first-pitch strike rate of just 43% (22/51) -- lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% -- first Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 48% (145/303) of the time this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 62% -- 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (73/441) against Brayan Bello since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 162 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Red Sox vs. Marlins Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Marlins vs. Red Sox Injury Updates
Marlins Injuries
- Sandy AlcantaraP
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Jesus LuzardoP
Luzardo is out with back
Out
- Max MeyerP
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
- Eury PerezP
Perez is out with elbow
Out
Red Sox Injuries
- Lucas GiolitoP
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Garrett WhitlockP
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
- David HamiltonIF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out
Red Sox vs. Marlins Box Score
Red Sox Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 91 | 6.2 | 7 | 1 | |
 | 4 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Marlins Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 84 | 3 | 6 | 2 | |
 | 39 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
 | 18 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | |
 | 8 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Red Sox vs. Marlins Odds Comparison
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Red Sox at Marlins Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Red Sox 0-0 | o4.5+114 | u4.5-145 |
Marlins 0-0 | o3.5-105 | u3.5-125 |