Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - April 26, 2023

Red Sox at Orioles

5:05 pm • MASN

Boston Red Sox

0-0

2 - 6

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Wells			3.64	7-6
T.Houck			5.01	6-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 0-0	+1.5-190	o8.5-105	+110
Orioles 0-2	-1.5+158	u8.5-115	-130

Wednesday 5:05 p.m.

April 26, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

Over 8.5-105

1.05u

T.Houck o4.5 Ks+110

The Orioles have 7 left handed batters in todays lineup and while on the surface it could lower his K rate quite a bit, Houck has actually been striking out LHB at a higher rate (28%) than RHB (22%) this season. I think a big part of that is he now throws a cutter which is a nice weapon to have against lefties and he has been throwing his filthy split finger more against lefties as well. Home plate ump Manny Gonzalez tends to have a big strike zone high and inside to lefties which is where Houck typically throws his cutter. Projecting this closer to -150

BOS +110 (F5)

BOS +112

BOS +110

0.4u

BOS +115

0.5u

Bet to +114

BOS +108 (F5)

0.25u

Small to +108

Under 4.5 (F5)-110

0.44u

BAL -122

0.82u

The Orioles are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .040.

The Red Sox are 9-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .904.

The Orioles are just 0-5 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.

The Red Sox are 9-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .878.

Adley Rutschman has a groundball rate of just 20% on fastballs this season -- fourth lowest in MLB-- third Percentile. Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% against Tanner Houck fastball this season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Tanner Houck has a strike rate of just 59% (331/558) vs left-handed batters since last season -- 9th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 64% -- ninth Percentile.

Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .230 (38 Total Bases / 165 ABs) against right-handed batters since last season -- 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .358 -- 97th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (23/159) against Tyler Wells since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 25th	BOS	L 6-8	-1.5 L	O 9	BOS -164
Apr 24th	BOS	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL +100
Apr 23rd	DET	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 7.5	BAL -172
Apr 22nd	DET	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 8	BAL -180
Apr 21st	DET	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 9	BAL -197

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Houck, P	86	5	2	3
LR. Bleier, P	14	1	0	1
LB.Bernardino, P	11	1	2	0
RJ.Schreiber, P	19	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	1-4	1	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Turner, DH	1-3	0	0	1
4M.Yoshida, LF	1-4	1	1	1
5K.Hernandez, SS	2-3	0	0	0
6T.Casas, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Duran, CF	2-4	0	0	0
8E.Valdez, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
8C. Arroyo, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8C. Arroyo, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
9C.Wong, C	0-2	0	0	0
9R.McGuire, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9R.McGuire, C	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Wells, P	102	5.2	7	2
LD.Coulombe, P	15	0.2	0	0
RY.Cano, P	21	1.2	1	0
RF.Bautista, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Mullins, CF	2-3	1	1
2A.Rutschman, C	0-2	0	1
3A.Santander, RF	0-3	0	2
4R.Mountcastle, DH	1-4	0	0
5G.Henderson, SS	0-3	0	0
6A.Frazier, 2B	1-4	1	0
7R.O'Hearn, 1B	1-4	1	0
8R.Urias, 3B	4-4	3	1
9T.Vavra, LF	0-1	0	0
9R.McKenna, PH	2-2	0	1
9R.McKenna, LF	2-2	0	1