Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - September 29, 2023

Red Sox at Orioles

11:05 pm • MASN

Boston Red Sox

0-0

3 - 0

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Means			2.66	1-2
N.Pivetta			4.04	10-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 0-0	-1.5+140	o7.5-114	-121
Orioles 0-2	+1.5-170	u7.5-107	+101

Friday 11:05 p.m.

September 29, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

BOS -120

BAL -105 (F5)

0.53u

Need -105

BOS -115

$100.00

Tailing Stephen Nover who’s on a 30-13 mlb run

BAL -110

0.55u

Bet to -111 even assuming Orioles “B” lineup

BOS +100

BOS +120

0.6u

Adding some FG position as well. Orioles won the East, expecting a full blown hangover lineup tmrw

BOS +122 (F5)

1.22u

Going to be my underdog on Payoff Pitch tmrw

Featured Insight
Red Sox have struck out just 22% since last season -- tied for 10th-lowest in MLB. Orioles have a strikeout rate of just 22% since last season -- ninth-lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Orioles have scored 5.4 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- fourth-highest in MLB (88 games). The Red Sox have allowed 5.1 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- eighth-highest in MLB (88 games).

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The Red Sox are just 33-46 (.418) after a loss this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.

Austin Hays has struck out in 32% of PA's over the last 30 days -- 12th highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Nick Pivetta has a strikeout rate of 32% over the last 30 days -- eighth highest among qualified SPs-- 90th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 84.8 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (161 balls in play) -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

Nick Pivetta has allowed a just .328 SLG vs right-handed batters (11th best)-- 92nd Percentile and .536 vs left-handed batters this season (seventh worst among non-qualified SPs)-- seventh Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 28th	BOS	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	BAL -120
Sep 27th	WSH	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	BAL -250
Sep 26th	WSH	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 7.5	BAL -250
Sep 24th	@CLE	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 7	BAL -102
Sep 23rd	@CLE	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8	BAL -130

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Pivetta, P		87	7	10	0
RG.Whitlock, P		33	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Rafaela, CF	0-3	1	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	0-4	0	0	1
3J.Turner, DH	2-4	0	0	0
3E.Valdez, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3E.Valdez, DH	0-0	0	0	0
4A.Duvall, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5R.Refsnyder, LF	1-3	1	0	0
5W.Abreu, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5W.Abreu, LF	0-1	0	0	0
6T.Story, SS	1-3	1	1	2
7P.Reyes, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Dalbec, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Wong, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Means, P	82	6.1	4	2
RJ.Lopez, P	26	1.2	2	0
RS.Fujinami, P	32	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Mullins, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2R.Mountcastle, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
3R.O'Hearn, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Hays, LF	0-3	0	0	0
5H.Kjerstad, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Westburg, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
7A.Frazier, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8J.McCann, C	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Mateo, SS	0-3	0	0	0