Red Sox vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - June 20, 2023

Red Sox at Twins

11:40 pm • BSN

Boston Red Sox

1-5

10 - 4

Minnesota Twins

2-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Ober			3.43	8-6
K.Crawford			4.04	6-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 1-5	N/A	N/A	N/A
Twins 2-4	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

June 20, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

K.Crawford o5.5 Ks+200

0.5u

K.Crawford o4.5 Ks-112

B.Ober o5.5 Ks+164

BOS +120 (F5)

0.6u

Bet to +114

BOS +120 (F5)

0.6u

Crawford 3.60 SIERA/3.19 xERA, Ober 4.10/3.88 - BOS 3 pt wRC+ edge v RHP - both defenses equally poor - MIN pen edge, so F5 & keeping it smaller, like Crawford's sample size.

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The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

77% of Jarren Duran fastball strikeouts are elevated this season -- seventh highest among hitters with at least 105 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. 92% of Bailey Ober fastball strikeouts are elevated this season -- highest among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Masataka Yoshida has a miss rate of only 4% on elevated fastballs this season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Bailey Ober has located his fastball up 81% of the time this season -- highest among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has thrown elevated sliders41% of the time (98/241) this season -- 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 20% -- 98th Percentile.

Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 78% of the time (648/831) since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- 100th Percentile.

Hitters have chased 49 of Kutter Crawford's 94 elevated fastballs out of the zone (52%) this season -- highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 29% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Twins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 3-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Twins' last 5 games

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	3-3	N/A	3-3	0-1	3-2
Red Sox	1-5	N/A	1-5	1-4	0-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	2-4	N/A	2-4	1-0	1-4
Red Sox	4-2	N/A	4-2	3-2	1-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	2-4	N/A	2-4	0-1	2-3
Red Sox	1-5	N/A	1-5	1-4	0-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 19th	BOS	L 3-9	-	-	-
Jun 18th	DET	L 4-6	-	-	-
Jun 17th	DET	W 2-0	-	-	-
Jun 17th	DET	L 1-7	-	-	-
Jun 15th	DET	L 4-8	-	-	-

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Triston Casas
1B
Casas is out with knee
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with wrist
Out
Romy Gonzalez
1B
Gonzalez is out with shoulder
Out

Pablo Lopez
SP
Lopez is out with elbow
Out
David Festa
SP
Festa is out with shoulder
Out
Travis Adams
SP
Adams is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Crawford, P	77	5	5	0
LB.Bernardino, P	18	1	2	0
RC. Kluber, P	48	3	2	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	1-5	1	0	0
2J.Turner, DH	2-3	2	0	1
3R.Devers, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
4M.Yoshida, LF	3-5	3	1	3
5A.Duvall, CF	1-5	1	1	1
6T.Casas, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
7C. Arroyo, 2B	5-5	1	1	4
8C.Wong, C	2-4	0	0	1
9E.Hernandez, SS	0-5	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	95	6	4	3
LB.Headrick, P	41	1	0	5
RO.Ortega, P	16	1	1	2
RW.Castro, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	1-3	0	0	0
2K.Farmer, SS	0-2	0	0	0
2K.Farmer, LF	0-2	0	0	0
3A.Kirilloff, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
3D.Solano, PH	0-2	0	0	0
3D.Solano, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
3D.Solano, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
4B.Buxton, DH	2-3	1	1	2
4C.Vazquez, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Gallo, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Gallo, CF	0-4	0	0	0
6R.Lewis, 3B	3-4	1	1	1
6R.Lewis, SS	3-4	1	1	1
7M.Kepler, RF	1-3	1	1	1
8R.Jeffers, C	3-4	0	0	0
9W.Castro, CF	0-4	0	0	0