Reds vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - September 17, 2023

Reds at Mets

5:40 pm • WPIX

Cincinnati Reds

9-7

4 - 8

New York Mets

7-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Quintana			3.57	3-6
B.Williamson			4.46	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 9-7	+1.5-178	o9-105	+115
Mets 7-9	-1.5+146	u9-115	-141

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

September 17, 2023

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

CIN +116

The Reds are going to have to put up if they want to keep challenging the Cubs for the 2 seed. They got the win in a low scoring outing yesterday and I’m putting faith in them to follow up on that W.

Under 9-110

0.55u

Bet to -115

Featured Insight
The Mets are batting just .241 with RISP over the last week -- sixth-worst in MLB. Opponents are hitting just .232 (159-for-685) against RedsRPs with RISP over the last week -- ninth-best in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Reds are batting just .244 with RISP over the last two weeks -- seventh-worst in MLB. Opponents are hitting just .234 (138-for-591) against MetsRPs with RISP over the last two weeks -- ninth-best in MLB.

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Sunday MLB Props: 3 Pitchers to Bet
Doug Ziefel•
Sep 17, 2023 UTC

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The Reds are just 22-9 (.710) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.

Elly De La Cruz has struck out in 33% of PA's this season -- 12th highest among hitters with at least 220 total PA's-- third Percentile. Jhoan Duran has a strikeout rate of 33% this season -- tied for 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Pete Alonso has an OPS of .867 since last season -- 12th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Bryan Hoeing has allowed an OPS of .824 (337 PAs) since last season -- fourth worst among qualified RPs-- second Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 33% (100/303) against Brandon Williamson with two-strikes this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 40% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 16th	CIN	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CIN -115
Sep 15th	CIN	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 8	CIN -115
Sep 14th	ARI	W 11-1	+1.5 W	O 7	NYM -115
Sep 13th	ARI	W 7-1	+1.5 W	U 8	NYM +134
Sep 12th	ARI	W 7-4	+1.5 W	O 9.5	NYM -120

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Williamson, P	79	4	2	3
RC.Spiers, P	87	3	3	3
LS.Moll, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Steer, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2N.Senzel, LF	2-3	1	1	1
2T.Friedl, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2T.Friedl, CF	0-1	0	0	0
3H.Renfroe, RF	0-3	2	0	0
4T.Stephenson, C	1-4	0	0	0
5N.Marte, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
6C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	2-4	1	1	2
7J. Votto, DH	2-4	0	0	0
8H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8W.Benson, LF	0-1	0	0	0
9E.De La Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Quintana, P	94	6.2	2	2
RD.Smith, P	4	0.1	0	0
RJ. Brigham, P	20	1	0	2
LB.Raley, P	9	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Nimmo, DH	2-5	1	0
2R.Mauricio, 2B	2-5	0	1
3P.Alonso, 1B	0-5	0	0
4F.Lindor, SS	1-3	2	0
5F.Alvarez, C	1-5	0	2
6J.McNeil, CF	1-5	1	0
6J.McNeil, LF	1-5	1	0
7M.Vientos, 3B	3-4	1	1
7J. Araúz, 3B	0-1	0	0
8D.Stewart, RF	0-2	1	0
9T. Locastro, LF	2-2	1	0
9D.Vogelbach, PH	1-1	0	3
9R.Ortega, PR	0-0	1	0
9R.Ortega, CF	0-0	1	0