Reds vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - September 17, 2023

Reds at Mets

5:40 pm • WPIX

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

4 - 8

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Quintana			3.57	3-6
B.Williamson			4.46	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-0	+1.5-178	o9-105	+115
Mets 7-6	-1.5+146	u9-115	-141

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

September 17, 2023

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

CIN +116

The Reds are going to have to put up if they want to keep challenging the Cubs for the 2 seed. They got the win in a low scoring outing yesterday and I’m putting faith in them to follow up on that W.

Under 9-110

0.55u

Bet to -115

Featured Insight
The Mets are batting just .241 with RISP over the last week -- sixth-worst in MLB. Opponents are hitting just .232 (159-for-685) against RedsRPs with RISP over the last week -- ninth-best in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Reds are batting just .244 with RISP over the last two weeks -- seventh-worst in MLB. Opponents are hitting just .234 (138-for-591) against MetsRPs with RISP over the last two weeks -- ninth-best in MLB.

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Sunday MLB Props: 3 Pitchers to Bet
Doug Ziefel•
Sep 17, 2023 UTC

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The Reds are just 22-9 (.710) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.

Elly De La Cruz has struck out in 33% of PA's this season -- 12th highest among hitters with at least 220 total PA's-- third Percentile. Jhoan Duran has a strikeout rate of 33% this season -- tied for 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Pete Alonso has an OPS of .867 since last season -- 12th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Bryan Hoeing has allowed an OPS of .824 (337 PAs) since last season -- fourth worst among qualified RPs-- second Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 33% (100/303) against Brandon Williamson with two-strikes this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 40% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 16th	CIN	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CIN -115
Sep 15th	CIN	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 8	CIN -115
Sep 14th	ARI	W 11-1	+1.5 W	O 7	NYM -115
Sep 13th	ARI	W 7-1	+1.5 W	U 8	NYM +134
Sep 12th	ARI	W 7-4	+1.5 W	O 9.5	NYM -120

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Williamson, P	79	4	2	3
RC.Spiers, P	87	3	3	3
LS.Moll, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Steer, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2N.Senzel, LF	2-3	1	1	1
2T.Friedl, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2T.Friedl, CF	0-1	0	0	0
3H.Renfroe, RF	0-3	2	0	0
4T.Stephenson, C	1-4	0	0	0
5N.Marte, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
6C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	2-4	1	1	2
7J. Votto, DH	2-4	0	0	0
8H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8W.Benson, LF	0-1	0	0	0
9E.De La Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Quintana, P	94	6.2	2	2
RD.Smith, P	4	0.1	0	0
RJ. Brigham, P	20	1	0	2
LB.Raley, P	9	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Nimmo, DH	2-5	1	0
2R.Mauricio, 2B	2-5	0	1
3P.Alonso, 1B	0-5	0	0
4F.Lindor, SS	1-3	2	0
5F.Alvarez, C	1-5	0	2
6J.McNeil, CF	1-5	1	0
6J.McNeil, LF	1-5	1	0
7M.Vientos, 3B	3-4	1	1
7J. Araúz, 3B	0-1	0	0
8D.Stewart, RF	0-2	1	0
9T. Locastro, LF	2-2	1	0
9D.Vogelbach, PH	1-1	0	3
9R.Ortega, PR	0-0	1	0
9R.Ortega, CF	0-0	1	0