KC @ TB
10:50 pm • BSSUNStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 5.40 | 2-2 | |
 |  | 3.05 | 16-8 |
Royals vs. Rays Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Royals 82-71 | -1.5 | -1.5+136 | o8-115 | -120 |
Rays 74-78 | u8 | +1.5-162 | u8-105 | +100 |
Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg
PRO Insights
Royals
KC Insights
- Featured InsightRoyals have a strikeout rate of 26% over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB. Rays have struck out 26% over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB.
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Rays
TB Insights
- Featured InsightRays hitters have a groundball rate of 48% over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Royals over the last two weeks -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB.
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Royals vs. Rays Game Analysis
Royals vs. Rays Notes
Keys to the Game
The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 33-24 (.579) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 11-56 (.164) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Matchup Contrasts
Yandy Diaz is batting .305 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 32% of the time since the 2022 season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 148 total CB-- 95th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Shawn Armstrong has a strike rate of 69% (1,445/2,084) since the 2022 season -- 2nd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 65% -- 98th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has a strikeout rate of 36% (13 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) -- tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% -- 97th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days -- best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 20% -- 100th Percentile.
Royals vs. Rays Expert Picks
Popular Props
Last 5 Matchups
Betting Trends
- Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Rays are 40-35 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 77 last games at home
Royals vs. Rays Public Betting
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Royals vs. Rays Injury Updates
Royals Injuries
Michael Lorenzen
PLorenzen is out with hamstring
Out
Kyle Wright
PWright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season
Vinnie Pasquantino
IFPasquantino is out with thumb
Out
Rays Injuries
Jeffrey Springs
PSprings is out with elbow
Out
Shane McClanahan
PMcClanahan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Richie Palacios
IFPalacios is out with knee
Out
Royals vs. Rays Box Score
Royals Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 104 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Rays Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 32 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
 | 93 | 5 | 4 | 8 | |
 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Line Move Data
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Royals vs. Rays Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Royals 82-71 | o4.5+110 | u4.5-140 |
Rays 74-78 | o3.5-125 | u3.5-105 |