Royals vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - June 7, 2025

VIP and Action App Exclusive Play! Wacha is only over this line in 5/12 games this season, but there is some solid value on this line. First, using the +EV tool in outlier, we can see we are getting good value for this line on DK, with other books pricing this at -140 or higher. Wacha has had a great history vs this CWS team, going over in 5/L5 games against them. The Royals played a doubleheader on Thursday and again yesterday; this is where we get the value. The Royals had to use 6+ bullpen arms the last 2 days and had to use some of those arms twice. The Royals would love for Wacha to go as deep in this game as possible, so he might get a slightly longer leash than usual. The White Sox are a good matchup here as well, with their lineup ranking in the bottom 3 in AVG, OBP, OPS, and wRC+ vs RHP.

Running this back and targeting the White Sox offense again. White Sox operated as a bottom-five offense this season averaging just 3.50 runs per game. They’re implied for 3.8 runs today. Wacha has a 2.88 ERA and 3.54 xERA. His strikeout rate is down to just 17.7% which would be a career low if the season need today, but his walk rate and HR/9 ratios have been strong. Just need him to limit the damage over the 6 innings I’m projecting him for.

Royals average just 3.43 runs/game – 28th in MLB. Houser's ERA? A filthy 1.47 with a 0.98 WHIP. Keeps the ball on the ground, limits damage. Royals hit poorly vs soft-contact arms. KC just 4-50 when allowing 5+ runs – one big inning from CHW changes everything. White Sox offense waking up – 14 of last 19 home games hit the Team Total Over. Meidroth: Hits Over in 17 of last 20, Total Bases Over in 17 of 20. Tauchman raking (.321/.435/.554). Wacha struggles if hitters stay patient – lowest swing rate vs breaking balls in MLB. White Sox have hit ML in 11 of last 18 at home. Covered F5 RL in 23 of last 32. Royals collapse when trailing early – 25-69 when opp scores 1st since 2023. KC bullpen solid, but not untouchable. CHW playing loose, at home, nothing to lose. Recipe for a home upset.

Bet to +130