Tigers vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - July 15, 2023

Tigers at Mariners

2:10 am • MLB Network

Detroit Tigers

2-4

5 - 4

Seattle Mariners

3-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Castillo			3.34	14-9
E.Rodriguez			3.30	13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 2-4	N/A	N/A	N/A
Mariners 3-4	N/A	N/A	N/A

Saturday 2:10 a.m.

July 15, 2023

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

Under 7-105

1.05u

SEA -188

1.25u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-145

L.Castillo u7.5 Ks-120

Projecting closer to -170

E.Rodriguez o6.5 Ks+116

0.58u

Park upgrade, 30.2 K% L9, avg 24 BF - SEA 26.1 K% v LHP

Under 3.5 (F5)+100

0.5u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-150

$1.50

Under 7-105

1.05u

In addition to notes on SEA F5, most negative run environment in MLB - SEA just 100 wRC+ v LHP, DET 84 v RHP - Defenses combined 13 Runs Prevented - both pens upper half of MLB estimators L30 days

DET +164 (F5)

1.64u

ERod 3.60 SIERA/3.25 xERA, Castillo 3.65/3.73 - Bullpens have almost same est. L30 days, but same price for F5 adds a potential push.

DET +172

0.86u

Bet to +155

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The Tigers are just 30-3 (.909) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

Javier Baez is batting just .233 since last season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .204 (101-for-496) against Luis Castillo since last season -- tied for 10th best among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Spencer Torkelson is slugging just .359 since last season -- tied for fifth worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Luis Castillo has allowed a SLG of just .327 vs right-handed batters since last season -- 13th best among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Mariners' 7 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	3-4	3-4	N/A	2-3	1-1
Tigers	2-4	N/A	2-4	1-1	1-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	4-3	4-3	N/A	4-1	0-2
Tigers	3-3	N/A	3-3	1-1	1-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	3-4	3-4	N/A	2-3	1-1
Tigers	2-4	N/A	2-4	1-1	1-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 9th	@HOU	W 3-1	-	-	-
Jul 8th	@HOU	L 2-3	-	-	-
Jul 8th	@HOU	W 10-1	-	-	-
Jul 7th	@HOU	W 5-1	-	-	-
Jul 6th	@SF	L 0-2	-	-	-

Reese Olson
SP
Olson is out with shoulder
Out
Jackson Jobe
SP
Jobe is out with elbow
Out
Trey Sweeney
SS
Sweeney is out with shoulder
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
SP
Gipson-Long is out with oblique
Out
Beau Brieske
RP
Brieske is out with groin
Out
Troy Melton
SP
Melton is out with elbow
Out

J.P. Crawford
SS
Crawford is out with shoulder
Out
Miles Mastrobuoni
3B
Mastrobuoni is out with calf
Out
Bryce Miller
SP
Miller is out with oblique
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LE.Rodriguez, P	88	5	7	2
RJ.Cisnero, P	6	1	1	0
LT.Holton, P	20	1.1	2	0
RJ.Foley, P	19	0.2	2	1
RA.Lange, P	29	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Z.McKinstry, 3B	1-5	0	0	0
1Z.McKinstry, RF	1-5	0	0	0
2R.Greene, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3S.Torkelson, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
4K.Carpenter, RF	1-3	1	1	2
4Z.Short, PH	0-0	0	0	0
4Z.Short, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
5M.Vierling, CF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Baez, SS	0-4	1	0	0
7N.Maton, 2B	1-3	1	1	2
8A.Baddoo, LF	1-3	1	1	1
9J.Rogers, C	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Castillo, P	91	5	5	3
LG.Speier, P	8	1	1	0
RT.Adcock, P	17	1	1	1
LT.Saucedo, P	15	0.2	1	0
RM.Festa, P	31	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	2-4	1	0	0
3T.France, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Kelenic, LF	1-1	0	0	1
4T.Hernandez, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5E.Suarez, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
6T.Murphy, C	0-2	1	0	0
6C.Raleigh, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7A. Pollock, DH	1-3	0	0	0
7M.Ford, PH	1-1	1	1	1
8J.Caballero, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8K. Wong, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9D.Moore, LF	1-3	0	0	2
9D.Moore, 1B	1-3	0	0	2