Tigers vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - September 20, 2024

Tigers at Orioles

11:05 pm • Apple TV+
1 - 7
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Corbin Burnes logoC.BurnesBaltimore Orioles logo2.9215-9
Tyler Holton logoT.HoltonDetroit Tigers logo2.197-2

Tigers at Orioles Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers
4-3
+1.5
+1.5-155
o7.5-115
+135
Orioles
0-2
u7.5
-1.5+130
u7.5-105
-161
location pinFriday 11:05 p.m.
September 20, 2024
Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore
Tigers vs. Orioles Expert Picks
Player Prop Savant
Player Prop Savant
57d ago
Last 30d: 34-32-0 (-0.4u)
C.Burnes u2.5 Earned Runs-175
1u
Playing Baltimore race to 3 -120 This is real only alternative I can think of
YBK Picks.com
57d ago
Last 30d: 55-47-1 (+12.5u)
DET +1-105
2u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
57d ago
Last 30d: 98-111-1 (-21.2u)
DET +145
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Detroit has been on fire since early August, turning their offense from one of the league’s worst into a legitimate weapon. Since August 11th, the Tigers rank 10th in wRC+ and ninth in wOBA, a drastic improvement from their overall 22nd rank in wRC+ for the season. This surge in production has been led by Kerry Carpenter, who returned from injury with a bang, posting a .930 OPS over the last month. Add Riley Greene, whose stellar but underrated play continues to propel the team, and the Tigers' offense suddenly becomes dangerous. Brant Hurter has quietly emerged as a major factor for Detroit. The lefty has been sensational in his piggyback role, posting a 2.56 ERA in 38 2/3 innings with 37 strikeouts and holding opponents to a .191 average. In each of his last three appearances, Hurter has gone at least five innings while allowing one run or fewer, with his latest outing being particularly dominant—5 2/3 no-hit innings with eight strikeouts against these very Orioles. His sinker and sweeper are proving to be highly effective, making him a reliable option to shut down Baltimore again. Baltimore, on the other hand, has been slumping hard since the All-Star break. Corbin Burnes, who was a Cy Young contender in the first half, has seen a significant drop in form. His ERA since the break sits at 4.24, with his strikeout rate dipping from 8.34 K/9 to 7.63 K/9, coupled with declining velocity and an uptick in walks. Despite a solid outing against Detroit in his last start, Burnes has struggled to maintain consistency, which makes the Tigers an attractive underdog bet. Additionally, the Orioles' once-dominant offense has also regressed significantly. After ranking first in wRC+ and second in wOBA during the first half of the season, Baltimore now finds itself 10th in wRC+ and 16th in wOBA post-All-Star break. Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman, key players in the first half, have cooled off substantially, with Rutschman hitting just .202 with a .590 OPS down the stretch.
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
58d ago
Last 30d: 244-241-6 (+11.9u)
BAL -0.5 (F5)-110
0.91u
#ProSystem … F5 home favs off a short win in a non division game and were fav last game Overall: 311-230-229,57% (ROI:9%) Season:33-14-6,70% (ROI:11%)
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
58d ago
Last 30d: 69-68-3 (+21.9u)
DET +143
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
58d ago
Last 30d: 41-61-1 (-6.1u)
Over 7.5-115
0.5u
Bet to -115
DET +164
0.5u
Bet to +145

PRO Insights

Tigers logo

Tigers

DET Insights
  • Tigers logoThe Tigers have allowed just 2.7 runs per game over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB (13 games). The Orioles have scored just 2.1 runs per game over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB (11 games).
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Orioles logo

Orioles

BAL Insights
  • Orioles logoOrioles have a strikeout rate of 35% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- highest in MLB. Tigers right-handed hitters have struck out 37% against LHP over the last week -- third highest in MLB.
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Tigers vs. Orioles Public Betting Percentages

14%

Bets%

86%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Orioles
87-7541-4046-3561-5725-16
Tigers
87-7539-4248-3327-3960-36

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Orioles
85-63-1440-32-945-31-560-45-1322-18-1
Tigers
79-78-536-43-243-35-331-32-348-46-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Orioles
91-7144-3747-3468-5022-19
Tigers
86-7643-3843-3838-2848-48

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 19thSFW 5-3-1.5 WO 7BAL -161
Sep 18thSFL 3-5-1.5 LU 8SF -166
Sep 17thSFL 0-10+1.5 LO 7.5SF +100
Sep 15th@DETL 2-4-1.5 LU 9DET -111
Sep 14th@DETW 4-2-1.5 WU 8BAL -142

Tigers vs. Orioles Injury Updates

Tigers Injuries

  • Javier Baez
    IF

    Baez is out with back

    Out

  • Sawyer Gipson-Long
    P

    Gipson-Long is out with groin

    Out

Orioles Injuries

  • Jorge Mateo
    IF

    Mateo is out with elbow

    Out

  • Grayson Rodriguez
    P

    Rodriguez is out with back

    Out

  • Tyler Wells
    P

    Wells is out with elbow

    Out

Tigers vs. Orioles Box Score
Tigers Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Tyler Holton logoLT.Holton, P18112
Keider Montero logoRK.Montero, P824.275
Kenta Maeda logoRK.Maeda, P232.150
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Parker Meadows logo1P.Meadows, CF1-4000
Kerry Carpenter logo2K.Carpenter, RF1-2000
Andy Ibanez logo2A.Ibanez, PH1-1000
Andy Ibanez logo2A.Ibanez, 2B1-1000
Matt Vierling logo3M.Vierling, 3B0-3000
Matt Vierling logo3M.Vierling, RF0-3000
Riley Greene logo4R.Greene, LF0-4000
Colt Keith logo5C.Keith, DH1-4000
Spencer Torkelson logo6S.Torkelson, 1B0-3100
Zach McKinstry logo7Z.McKinstry, 2B0-4000
Zach McKinstry logo7Z.McKinstry, 3B0-4000
Trey Sweeney logo8T.Sweeney, SS2-4001
Jake Rogers logo9J.Rogers, C0-3000
Jace Jung logo9J.Jung, PH1-1000
Orioles Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Corbin Burnes logoRC.Burnes, P91780
Danny Coulombe logoLD.Coulombe, P24120
Jacob Webb logoRJ.Webb, P23101
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Gunnar Henderson logo1G.Henderson, SS2-4100
Austin Slater logo2A.Slater, LF1-3000
Heston Kjerstad logo2H.Kjerstad, PH0-1000
Heston Kjerstad logo2H.Kjerstad, LF0-1000
Adley Rutschman logo3A.Rutschman, DH0-4000
Anthony Santander logo4A.Santander, RF1-3112
Emmanuel Rivera logo5E.Rivera, 3B0-4000
Colton Cowser logo6C.Cowser, CF2-4222
Coby Mayo logo7C.Mayo, 1B1-4100
Jackson Holliday logo8J.Holliday, 2B0-3000
James McCann logo9J.McCann, C2-3223

Tigers vs. Orioles Odds Comparison

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Tigers at Orioles Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Tigers
4-3
o3.5+100
u3.5-130
Orioles
0-2
o4.5+114
u4.5-145