Tigers vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - September 20, 2024
Tigers at Orioles
11:05 pm • Apple TV+Starting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
C.Burnes | 2.92 | 15-9 | ||
T.Holton | 2.19 | 7-2 |
Tigers at Orioles Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Tigers 4-3 | +1.5 | +1.5-155 | o7.5-115 | +135 |
Orioles 0-2 | u7.5 | -1.5+130 | u7.5-105 | -161 |
Friday 11:05 p.m.
September 20, 2024Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore
Tigers vs. Orioles Expert Picks
Player Prop Savant
57d ago
Last 30d: 34-32-0 (-0.4u)
C.Burnes u2.5 Earned Runs-175
1u
Playing Baltimore race to 3 -120
This is real only alternative I can think of
YBK Picks.com
57d ago
Last 30d: 55-47-1 (+12.5u)
DET +1-105
2u
Picks Office
57d ago
Last 30d: 98-111-1 (-21.2u)
DET +145
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Detroit has been on fire since early August, turning their offense from one of the league’s worst into a legitimate weapon. Since August 11th, the Tigers rank 10th in wRC+ and ninth in wOBA, a drastic improvement from their overall 22nd rank in wRC+ for the season. This surge in production has been led by Kerry Carpenter, who returned from injury with a bang, posting a .930 OPS over the last month. Add Riley Greene, whose stellar but underrated play continues to propel the team, and the Tigers' offense suddenly becomes dangerous.
Brant Hurter has quietly emerged as a major factor for Detroit. The lefty has been sensational in his piggyback role, posting a 2.56 ERA in 38 2/3 innings with 37 strikeouts and holding opponents to a .191 average. In each of his last three appearances, Hurter has gone at least five innings while allowing one run or fewer, with his latest outing being particularly dominant—5 2/3 no-hit innings with eight strikeouts against these very Orioles. His sinker and sweeper are proving to be highly effective, making him a reliable option to shut down Baltimore again.
Baltimore, on the other hand, has been slumping hard since the All-Star break. Corbin Burnes, who was a Cy Young contender in the first half, has seen a significant drop in form. His ERA since the break sits at 4.24, with his strikeout rate dipping from 8.34 K/9 to 7.63 K/9, coupled with declining velocity and an uptick in walks. Despite a solid outing against Detroit in his last start, Burnes has struggled to maintain consistency, which makes the Tigers an attractive underdog bet.
Additionally, the Orioles' once-dominant offense has also regressed significantly. After ranking first in wRC+ and second in wOBA during the first half of the season, Baltimore now finds itself 10th in wRC+ and 16th in wOBA post-All-Star break. Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman, key players in the first half, have cooled off substantially, with Rutschman hitting just .202 with a .590 OPS down the stretch.
Top Shelf Action 🥃
58d ago
Last 30d: 244-241-6 (+11.9u)
BAL -0.5 (F5)-110
0.91u
#ProSystem
… F5 home favs off a short win in a non division game and were fav last game
Overall: 311-230-229,57% (ROI:9%)
Season:33-14-6,70% (ROI:11%)
Moneyline Hacks
58d ago
Last 30d: 69-68-3 (+21.9u)
DET +143
1u
Sean Zerillo
58d ago
Last 30d: 41-61-1 (-6.1u)
Over 7.5-115
0.5u
Bet to -115
DET +164
0.5u
Bet to +145
PRO Insights
Tigers
DET Insights
- Featured InsightThe Tigers have allowed just 2.7 runs per game over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB (13 games). The Orioles have scored just 2.1 runs per game over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB (11 games).
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Orioles
BAL Insights
- Featured InsightOrioles have a strikeout rate of 35% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- highest in MLB. Tigers right-handed hitters have struck out 37% against LHP over the last week -- third highest in MLB.
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Tigers vs. Orioles Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Tigers vs. Orioles Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Tigers vs. Orioles Injury Updates
Tigers Injuries
- Javier BaezIF
Baez is out with back
Out
- Sawyer Gipson-LongP
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out
Orioles Injuries
- Jorge MateoIF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
- Grayson RodriguezP
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
- Tyler WellsP
Wells is out with elbow
Out
Tigers vs. Orioles Box Score
Tigers Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LT.Holton, P | 18 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
RK.Montero, P | 82 | 4.2 | 7 | 5 | |
RK.Maeda, P | 23 | 2.1 | 5 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1P.Meadows, CF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2K.Carpenter, RF | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2A.Ibanez, PH | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2A.Ibanez, 2B | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3M.Vierling, 3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3M.Vierling, RF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4R.Greene, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5C.Keith, DH | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6S.Torkelson, 1B | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7Z.McKinstry, 2B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7Z.McKinstry, 3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8T.Sweeney, SS | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
9J.Rogers, C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9J.Jung, PH | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Orioles Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RC.Burnes, P | 91 | 7 | 8 | 0 | |
LD.Coulombe, P | 24 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
RJ.Webb, P | 23 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1G.Henderson, SS | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2A.Slater, LF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2H.Kjerstad, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2H.Kjerstad, LF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3A.Rutschman, DH | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4A.Santander, RF | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
5E.Rivera, 3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6C.Cowser, CF | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
7C.Mayo, 1B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8J.Holliday, 2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9J.McCann, C | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Tigers vs. Orioles Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Tigers at Orioles Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Tigers 4-3 | o3.5+100 | u3.5-130 |
Orioles 0-2 | o4.5+114 | u4.5-145 |