Twins vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - July 20, 2023

Twins at Mariners

1:40 am • ROOT Sports NW

Minnesota Twins

0-0

6 - 3

Seattle Mariners

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Castillo			3.34	14-9
K.Maeda			4.23	6-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 0-0	+1.5-167	o7.5-120	+125
Mariners 0-0	-1.5+137	u7.5-120	-150

Thursday 1:40 a.m.

July 20, 2023

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

K.Maeda o5.5 Ks-112

An incredibly K friendly lineup - 6 guys who K at 23% or higher vs righties. And looking at the three who don’t (Crawford, France and Wong), Maeda has K’ed the trio in 7 of 17 plate appearances. Maeda has been solid since coming back from injury - 27 Ks in 20 IP and over this line in 3/4 (miss was vs ATL). Over that span (which I acknowledge is a very small sample), Maeda is 7th in swinging strike % (out of 82 qualifiers) - I like that vs a SEA team that has the 7th highest swinging strike rate over the L30 days.

MIN +144 (F5)

0.72u

Bet to +128

MIN +145

0.73u

Bet to +130

Over 7-120

0.5u

To 7.5 (-108)

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The Mariners are 11-1 (.917) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .786.

Teoscar Hernandez has struck out in 30% of PA's since last season -- third highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Jhoan Duran has a strikeout rate of 33% since last season -- tied for 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Carlos Correa is batting just .154 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- fourth worst in MLB-- second Percentile. 90% of Luis Castillo fastballs are 95+ MPH this season -- seventh highest among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of Mariners' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	74-88	38-43	36-45	47-62	26-26
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	76-76-10	31-45-5	45-31-5	50-55-4	25-21-6
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	85-77	49-32	36-45	62-47	23-29
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 19th	MIN	L 3-10	-1.5 L	O 7	MIN -125
Jul 18th	MIN	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	SEA -150
Jul 16th	DET	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8	SEA -172
Jul 16th	DET	L 0-6	-1.5 L	U 7.5	DET -205
Jul 15th	DET	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 7	DET -185

Sam Haggerty
OF
Haggerty is out with achilles
Out

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Maeda, P	80	6.1	9	2
RG.Jax, P	15	0.2	1	1
RE.Pagan, P	11	1	2	0
RJ.Duran, P	20	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Correa, SS	0-5	0	0	0
2E.Julien, 2B	2-2	1	1	1
2M.Taylor, PR	0-0	1	0	0
2M.Taylor, CF	0-0	1	0	0
3A.Kirilloff, 1B	1-5	1	1	2
4M.Kepler, RF	2-5	2	1	1
5M.Wallner, DH	0-4	1	0	0
6W.Castro, CF	2-5	0	0	0
6W.Castro, 3B	2-5	0	0	0
6W.Castro, LF	2-5	0	0	0
7K.Farmer, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
7K.Farmer, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7K.Farmer, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Gallo, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8D.Solano, PH	0-0	0	0	0
8D.Solano, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
9R.Jeffers, C	1-3	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Castillo, P	104	6	11	3
RJ.Topa, P	17	0.2	1	0
LG.Speier, P	8	0.1	1	0
RA.Munoz, P	27	1	1	1
RD.Sweet, P	20	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	2-4	0	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Kelenic, LF	1-4	1	0	0
4E.Suarez, 3B	1-4	1	1	2
5M.Ford, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6T.Hernandez, RF	0-3	0	0	0
7T.France, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Murphy, C	1-3	1	1	1
9K. Wong, 2B	0-3	0	0	0