Twins vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - July 20, 2023

Twins at Mariners

1:40 am • ROOT Sports NW

Minnesota Twins

1-4

6 - 3

Seattle Mariners

3-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Castillo			3.34	14-9
K.Maeda			4.23	6-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 1-4	N/A	N/A	N/A
Mariners 3-4	N/A	N/A	N/A

Thursday 1:40 a.m.

July 20, 2023

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

SEA -1.5+140

$1.00

Under 7.5-120

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-135

0.5u

SEA -0.5 (F5)-110

$1.10

SEA -150

$3.00

MIN +144 (F5)

0.72u

Bet to +128

MIN +144 (F5)

1.44u

Maeda (3.94 SIERA/3.84 xERA) starting to look healthy, Castillo (3.64/3.79) not as good as 2.96 ERA - MIN 6 pt wRC+ edge v RHP too - Get a better price for F5 and don't have to deal with SEA pen edge.

MIN +145

0.73u

Bet to +130

Over 7-120

0.5u

To 7.5 (-108)

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The Mariners are 11-1 (.917) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .786.

Teoscar Hernandez has struck out in 30% of PA's since last season -- third highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Jhoan Duran has a strikeout rate of 33% since last season -- tied for 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Carlos Correa is batting just .154 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- fourth worst in MLB-- second Percentile. 90% of Luis Castillo fastballs are 95+ MPH this season -- seventh highest among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Mariners' 7 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	3-4	3-4	N/A	2-3	1-1
Twins	2-3	N/A	2-3	0-1	2-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	4-3	4-3	N/A	4-1	0-2
Twins	2-3	N/A	2-3	1-0	1-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	3-4	3-4	N/A	2-3	1-1
Twins	1-4	N/A	1-4	0-1	1-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 19th	MIN	L 3-10	-	-	-
Jul 18th	MIN	W 7-6	-	-	-
Jul 16th	DET	W 2-0	-	-	-
Jul 16th	DET	L 0-6	-	-	-
Jul 15th	DET	L 4-5	-	-	-

Pablo Lopez
SP
Lopez is out with elbow
Out
David Festa
SP
Festa is out with shoulder
Out
Travis Adams
SP
Adams is out with triceps
Out

J.P. Crawford
SS
Crawford is out with shoulder
Out
Miles Mastrobuoni
3B
Mastrobuoni is out with calf
Out
Bryce Miller
SP
Miller is out with oblique
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Maeda, P	80	6.1	9	2
RG.Jax, P	15	0.2	1	1
RE.Pagan, P	11	1	2	0
RJ.Duran, P	20	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Correa, SS	0-5	0	0	0
2E.Julien, 2B	2-2	1	1	1
2M.Taylor, PR	0-0	1	0	0
2M.Taylor, CF	0-0	1	0	0
3A.Kirilloff, 1B	1-5	1	1	2
4M.Kepler, RF	2-5	2	1	1
5M.Wallner, DH	0-4	1	0	0
6W.Castro, CF	2-5	0	0	0
6W.Castro, 3B	2-5	0	0	0
6W.Castro, LF	2-5	0	0	0
7K.Farmer, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
7K.Farmer, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7K.Farmer, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Gallo, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8D.Solano, PH	0-0	0	0	0
8D.Solano, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
9R.Jeffers, C	1-3	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Castillo, P	104	6	11	3
RJ.Topa, P	17	0.2	1	0
LG.Speier, P	8	0.1	1	0
RA.Munoz, P	27	1	1	1
RD.Sweet, P	20	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	2-4	0	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Kelenic, LF	1-4	1	0	0
4E.Suarez, 3B	1-4	1	1	2
5M.Ford, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6T.Hernandez, RF	0-3	0	0	0
7T.France, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Murphy, C	1-3	1	1	1
9K. Wong, 2B	0-3	0	0	0