White Sox vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - August 28, 2023

White Sox at Orioles

11:05 pm • MASN2

Chicago White Sox

0-0

0 - 9

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Rodriguez			4.35	7-4
M.Kopech			5.43	5-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
White Sox 0-0	+1.5+105	o9-105	+215
Orioles 0-2	-1.5-125	u9-115	-275

Monday 11:05 p.m.

August 28, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

BAL -1.5-112

C.Mullins o1.5 Total Bases+165

0.83u

A. Santander o1.5 Total Bases+130

1.3u

Bet365 12:56.

A. Santander o0.5 HR+360

0.72u

G.Rodriguez u5.5 Ks+126

Available at FanDuel. Rodriguez has pitched great since coming back up, but he hasn't been a super high-strikeout guy, and this isn't the world's highest-strikeout matchup. The White Sox's active roster is at 22.2% in that department against righties this year, slightly better than average. Since coming back up, Rodriguez has used his cutter less, and it has pushed his ERA down to 3.24. But he hasn't had more than six strikeouts in any of these games, and he has gone under 5.5 in 4 of 7. I have him projected at 5.14 strikeouts, putting his odds of going under at greater than 50%.

Over 9-102

1.02u

BAL -220 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -236

Featured Insight
The White Sox have scored just 2.1 runs per game while leading this season -- tied for third-lowest in MLB (93 games). The Orioles have allowed just 2.4 runs per game while trailing this season -- sixth-lowest in MLB (86 games).

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Featured Insight
The Orioles have scored 1.4 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- tied for fourth-highest in MLB (185 games). The White Sox have allowed 1.3 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- fifth-highest in MLB (189 games).

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The Orioles are 46-31 (.597) after a win this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

Luis Robert has a swing rate of 42% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for 11th highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Opponents are hitting .543 (19-for-35) against Grayson Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- worst among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP-- 0 Percentile.

Luis Robert has a miss rate of 37% on outside fastballs this season -- sixth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Grayson Rodriguez has located his fastball away 48% of the time this season -- tied for 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (36/104) against Grayson Rodriguez on fastballs this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
White Sox	68-93	34-46	34-47	5-3	63-90

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
White Sox	66-86-9	31-46-3	35-40-6	4-3-1	62-83-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
White Sox	41-121	23-57	18-63	5-3	36-117

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 27th	COL	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9	COL -260
Aug 26th	COL	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL -315
Aug 25th	COL	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9	BAL -240
Aug 24th	TOR	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 9	BAL -109
Aug 23rd	TOR	W 7-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	BAL +115

Drew Thorpe
P
Thorpe is out with arm
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Kopech, P	95	4	5	4
LS.Peralta, P	43	3	2	0
RE. Navarro, P	33	1	0	5

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Anderson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Benintendi, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3L.Robert, CF	2-3	0	0	0
3T. Thompson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4E.Jimenez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5Y.Moncada, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
6G.Sheets, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
6A.Vaughn, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6A.Vaughn, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
7L.Sosa, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8O.Colas, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9K.Lee, C	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RG.Rodriguez, P	96	6	6
RJ.Webb, P	12	0.2	0
LD.Hall, P	17	1.1	1
RS.Fujinami, P	7	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Rutschman, C	1-5	1	0	0
2G.Henderson, SS	2-4	2	0	0
3A.Santander, DH	2-4	2	1	3
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
5R.O'Hearn, RF	2-5	0	0	2
6C.Mullins, CF	1-4	0	0	0
7R.Urias, 3B	0-2	1	0	0
8A.Frazier, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
9R.McKenna, LF	1-3	2	0	2