Bucks vs. Hawks Odds & Betting Predictions - March 5, 2025

Bucks at Hawks

12:30 am • FDSSE

Milwaukee Bucks

36-25

127

127 - 121

Atlanta Hawks

28-34

121

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Bucks 36-25	-4.5	-5-110	o244.5-110	-204
Hawks 28-34	u244	+5-110	u244.5-110	+170

Wednesday 12:30 a.m.

March 05, 2025

State Farm ArenaAtlanta

MIL -5-110

0.91u

MIL +3.5 (Live)-120

MIL -4.5 (Live)-110

D.Lillard o6.5 Ast-130

G.Niang o11.5 Pts-110

1.1u

B.Lopez o14.5 Pts+100

MIL -5.5-112

C.LeVert o14.5 Pts-113

MIL -6-110

1.1u

Over 242-110

0.01u

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D.Daniels o9.5 Rebs+Ast-135

0.74u

ATL +7-110

B.Lopez o15.5 Pts+Ast-125

Under 241.5-110

1.1u

G.Antetokounmpo o30.5 Pts-118

1.18u

D.Daniels o9.5 Rebs+Ast-130

0.77u

G.Antetokounmpo o30.5 Pts-118

1.18u

Under 241.5-110

Under looks strong in this one. Last 12 meetings in Atlanta? Under hit 9 times. Both teams are playing their second game in three nights—fatigue slows pace. Milwaukee’s defense is holding opponents to just 108.6 PPG over the last 5 games. Atlanta also struggles from deep at home (34.5% 3PT), limiting easy scoring runs. Pace and efficiency trends support the Under. Milwaukee allows just 45.2% FG to opponents (4th best in NBA). Atlanta, despite their high-scoring rep, plays slower at home—averaging just 111.2 PPG at State Farm Arena. Last matchup totaled 225 points despite 45/92 shooting from Atlanta—won’t get that efficiency again. Plus, Hawks’ bench scoring has dipped, adding to lower totals. Milwaukee's improved rebounding controls tempo. They’re grabbing 46.0 RPG, top 10 in the league, limiting second chances for Atlanta. Milwaukee also forces tough shots—opponents shoot just 34.9% from three. Hawks’ offense thrives in transition, but Bucks allow only 13 fast-break PPG. Slower game, tough defense—Under 237.5 is the play.

MIL -5.5-115

0.87u

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No props found

NBA Public Betting

Hawks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Hawks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Hawks are 17-16 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Hawks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Hawks' 29 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Hawks	29-33	12-17	17-16	6-15	23-18
Bucks	30-31-1	17-13-1	13-18	21-22-1	9-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Hawks	37-25	19-10	18-15	14-7	23-18
Bucks	31-31	16-15	15-16	25-19	6-12

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Hawks	28-34	N/A	N/A	11-10	17-24
Bucks	36-25	N/A	N/A	30-14	7-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 4th	@MEM	W 132-130	+8 W	O 251.5	ATL +260
Mar 1st	OKC	L 119-135	+11 L	O 247.5	OKC +412
Feb 27th	@MIA	L 109-131	+3 L	O 229.5	MIA +130
Feb 25th	MIA	W 98-86	-2.5 W	U 232.5	ATL -136
Feb 23rd	DET	L 143-148	+2 L	O 239	DET +112