Hawks vs. Cavaliers Odds & Betting Predictions - November 28, 2024

DK

Jarrett Allen is averaging 14.8 PPG on the season and has cleared the line in 66.6% of his games, but thanks to a slew of advantageous matchups, has scored 16+ points in four of his last five to inflate his average. Amongst these teams, Allen missed either Garland, Mitchell, and/or Evan Mobley in three of the five games, increasing his volume, while playing CHI, NOP, TOR, and BOS who all rank inside the top-10 in terms of points in the paint allowed where Allen has 98% of his production coming from. But this should not be the same story in this matchup and with his starting-5 teamates healthy tonight. This season, the Hawks have permitted the 9th fewest points in the paint with Capela and Onyeka manning the inside for all 48 minutes. The Hawks instead filter the most production coming from spot-up shooting and 3-pointers (highest-rate), compared the third lowest distribution of PTS coming at the rim. So when filtering out the recent advantageous matchups, Allen is averaging 11.4 PPG with Garland, Mitchell, and Mobley healthy and has gone under 16 points in 7 of 8 games vs. top-20 rim defenses. Last season, Allen only took 6 attempts and scored 11 points vs. the Hawks. And with a 10 point spread at home, there could be a chance he sees lower minutes if a blowout occurs. #PlayerProps

+ev

Sandy

Going to war with @RoyalsProps

FanDuel

2.27% ev