Timberwolves vs. Suns Odds & Betting Predictions - March 30, 2023

Timberwolves at Suns

2:00 am • ESPN

Minnesota Timberwolves

6-6

100

100 - 107

Phoenix Suns

9-3

107

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Timberwolves 6-6	+6-110	o233-110	+200
Suns 9-3	-6-110	u233-110	-250

Thursday 2:00 a.m.

March 30, 2023

Footprint CenterPhoenix

MIN +110 (Live)

$46.00

K.Towns o19.5 Pts-110

D.Ayton o9.5 Rebs-120

1.2u

Ayton grabbed 8 boards in 30 min in his return last game. Seems like a good time to buy low against Min who rank bottom 5 in off reb% for/against. Projecting this closer to 10.5 with a 60% chance to clear 9.5

A.Edwards u32.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-108

1.08u

Sick, bad matchup vs Okogie, KAT playing.

D.Booker o4.5 Ast-138

0.36u

PHX -5-107

0.47u

Edwards downgraded to Questionable - would consider buying out if he plays

D.Booker o5.5 Ast+140

0.4u

FD alt

D.Booker o5.5 Ast-138

0.5u

This should be 4.5**

D.Booker o5.5 Ast+125

0.5u

A.Edwards o23.5 Pts-110

0.91u

K.Durant u23.5 Pts+100

0.75u

From my Player Props Forecast: When Durant last returned to play, he logged 27 minutes against the Charlotte Hornets and scored 23 points. His points prop opened as high as 25.5 and was bet down to 22.5 or even 21.5. I would expect a similar minutes limit in his return. In his last 25 career games with at least 10 minutes played but fewer than 27, he has scored 30 points once, 25 points once, 23 points twice, 22 points four times, 21 points three times, and 20 points twice. His minutes limit seemed to be removed after just two games though, when he played the Mavericks and torched them for 37 points in 40 minutes on March 5. If this line opens above 22.5 I will likely be playing an under. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-props-betting-forecast-lebron-james-kevin-durant-march-27-april-1

MIN +2.5 (1H)-105

0.95u

MIN 24-14 (63%) ATS 1H on road, 8-1 ATS L9 1H on road. PHX trailed in 1H in 2/3 KD games so far.

D.Booker o27.5 Pts-120

0.83u

MIN +2.5 (1H)-110

0.91u

#chrisraybon @ChrisRaybon

PHX -5-105

PHX -195

PHX -200

PHX -5-107

0.47u

Under 236.5-110

K.Towns o17.5 Pts-123

Pretty low number. Played 32 MIN vs. GSW and scored 15 PTS on 5-16 FG. Now has a bigger role on the team (FGA and USG%) going from D’Lo to Conley. Size mismatch w/ Ayton guarding Gobert. #PlayerProps

PHX -6-110

BUCKETS pod in the AM

R.Gobert o10.5 Rebs-130

0.77u

Over in 4 straight and 6/7 vs Ayton

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No props found

NBA Public Betting

Suns are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Suns are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Suns are 3-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Suns' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Suns' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Suns	4-8	1-5	3-3	2-5	2-3
Timberwolves	4-8	2-4	2-4	4-8	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Suns	8-4	3-3	5-1	5-2	3-2
Timberwolves	7-5	3-3	4-2	7-5	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Suns	9-3	N/A	N/A	7-0	2-3
Timberwolves	6-6	N/A	N/A	6-6	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 28th	@UTA	W 117-103	-5 W	U 234.5	PHX -200
Mar 26th	PHI	W 125-105	-1.5 W	O 224.5	PHX -118
Mar 25th	@SAC	L 127-135	+4.5 L	O 239	SAC +160
Mar 23rd	@LAL	L 111-122	+1.5 L	O 228	LAL +105
Mar 19th	@OKC	L 120-124	+1 L	O 234	OKC -105