Wizards vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - March 4, 2025
Wizards at Heat
12:30 am • FDSSUNWizards at Heat Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Wizards 12-49 | +12.5 | +8.5-112 | o217.5-112 | +280 |
![]() Heat 29-32 | u225.5 | -8.5-108 | u217.5-108 | -355 |

Kaseya CenterMiami
Wizards vs. Heat Expert Picks

Kyle Murray
2d ago
Last 30d: 114-148-7 (-32.3u)
WAS +160 (2H)
1.6u
T.Herro o6.5 Ast-113
1.13u

Top Shelf Action 🥃
2d ago
Last 30d: 466-464-14 (+14.8u)
M.Smart u3.5 Ast-150
0.2u
K.Middleton u13.5 Pts+100
0.5u

Brian Condon
2d ago
Last 30d: 32-39-2 (-10.6u)
B.Adebayo u20.5 Pts-120
0.83u

The Propfessor
2d ago
Last 30d: 48-37-1 (+11.5u)
D.Robinson o19.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+100
1u

Top Shelf Action 🥃
2d ago
Last 30d: 466-464-14 (+14.8u)
K.George u3.5 Ast-120
0.8u

Steak Friend
2d ago
Last 30d: 253-243-6 (+33.6u)
WAS +8.5-115
1.15u
WAS +260
1u

Jay Money
2d ago
Last 30d: 2-10-0 (-7.9u)
WAS +8.5-105
0.1u

Matt Moore
2d ago
Last 30d: 36-41-2 (+3.7u)
D.Mitchell o13.5 Pts+Ast-130
0.65u

The Degenerates
2d ago
Last 30d: 84-70-1 (+5.3u)
B.Adebayo o19.5 Pts-103
1.03u

Steak Friend
2d ago
Last 30d: 253-243-6 (+33.6u)
WAS +8.5-110
1.1u

Joe Dellera
2d ago
Last 30d: 78-99-3 (+8.4u)
D.Mitchell o13.5 Pts+Ast-120
1u
🤝 The Huddle got it first
The Heat just ruled out Ware and Jaquez is Doubtful for this one as well. This matchup against the Wizards is exploitable for Mitchell with them having the second-worst Defense in the league and the fourth-fastest Pace. Further, they allow the fifth-most assists per game to their opponents.
Mitchell has been great with extended run. He’s been given the opportunity to show an expanded game after primarily being considered a defense first player.
His last 3 games have all been at 37 minutes played with 26, 18, and 16 PA. He’s been able to score and dish to his teammates.
Even if this game ends up being a blowout, I’d imagine that Mitchell would continue to play as they prioritize his development.

Royals Props
2d ago
Last 30d: 60-60-2 (-4.7u)
K.George o10.5 Pts-115
1.15u
Snipers vs Heat

Picks Office
2d ago
Last 30d: 91-77-0 (+2.4u)
Under 219.5-105
0.95u
In-depth Writeup on X: @PicksOffice
WAS +9-110
1u
In-depth Writeup on X: @PicksOffice

Grant Neiffer
2d ago
Last 30d: 53-56-4 (+6.4u)
A.Sarr u6.5 Rebs+100
1u

Firefighter Bets
2d ago
Last 30d: 185-141-8 (+30.1u)
A.Sarr o1.5 3pt M-130
1u

Allan Lem
2d ago
Last 30d: 28-18-0 (+5.7u)
M.Smart u5.5 Rebs+Ast-120
1u
Through 4 games with Washington, Smart is averaging 1.8 assists on 4.5 assist chances, and 1.5 rebounds over 3.5 rebound chances. This means he’s averaging 3.3 R+A over 8 combined chances. Assuming he sees a similar amount of chances tonight (8), he’d need to convert on 75% of them to clear 5.5.
Jordan Poole is out but last game, they kept Smart off the bench in his normal 20 minute role. With Washington, he’s averaging 19.8 minutes per game, down from the 21.1 he was averaging with Memphis. Seems like Washington doesn’t plan to expand Smart’s role too much even with Poole sidelined.
Banking on Smart playing a similar role tonight with Miami limiting his rebound and assist chances.

Firefighter Bets
2d ago
Last 30d: 185-141-8 (+30.1u)
B.Adebayo o19.5 Pts-125
1u

The Propfessor
2d ago
Last 30d: 48-37-1 (+11.5u)
A.Sarr o1.5 3pt M-118
1.18u
Run it back. Make sure you check the alternate player 3pt on MGM for odds.
A.Sarr To Make 3+ Threes Yes+275
0.25u
Wizards vs. Heat Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Wizards vs. Heat Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Heat are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Heat are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Heat are 13-20 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Heat' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 18 of Heat' 27 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Heat vs. Wizards Injury Updates

Heat Injuries
- Terry RozierPG
Rozier is questionable with illness
Questionable
- Andrew WigginsSF
Andrew Wiggins (ankle) out Monday.
Out
- Tyler HerroPG
Tyler Herro (illness) out Wednesday.
Out
- Dru SmithPG
Smith is out with achilles
Out
- Jaime JaquezPG
Jaime Jaquez (ankle) out Monday.
Out
- Kel'el WareC
Kel'el Ware (knee) out Monday.
Out

Wizards Injuries
- Richaun HolmesSF
Richaun Holmes (knee) out Wednesday.
Out
- Saddiq BeyPF
Bey is out with knee
Out
- Colby JonesPG
Colby Jones (coach's decision) out Saturday.
Out
Player Stats
- scoringBam Adebayo19ppg
- reboundingBam Adebayo15rpg
- assistsTyler Herro6apg
- shootingTyler Herro60fg%
Team Stats
Wizards vs. Heat Odds Comparison
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Wizards at Heat Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Wizards 12-49 | o104.5-105 | u104.5-115 |
![]() Heat 29-32 | o112.5-118 | u112.5-102 |