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Flyers vs. Lightning Odds & Betting Predictions - March 17, 2025

Flyers at Lightning

11:00 pm • ESPN+

Philadelphia Flyers

16-9-4
0
0 - 2

Tampa Bay Lightning

18-11-2
2

Flyers at Lightning Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Flyers
16-9-4
+1.5
+1.5-105
o5.5-120
+260
Lightning
18-11-2
u5.5
-1.5-115
u5.5+100
-325
location pinMonday 11:00 p.m.
March 17, 2025
Benchmark International ArenaTampa
Flyers vs. Lightning Expert Picks
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 95-84-5 (+4.2u)
TB -1.5-115
1u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
TB -1.5-114
1u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 93-104-0 (-21.8u)
TB -1.5-115
0.87u
Lines at Lunch
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 13-14-2 (-2.0u)
TB -1.5-105
1u
Sura
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 4-4-0 (-0.0u)
TB -1.5-105
1u
Lines at Lunch
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 13-14-2 (-2.0u)
Under 5.5+100
1u
Johnny
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 196-147-2 (+30.2u)
Under 6-120
0.83u
Tampa Bay's defense has been solid at home—allowing just 2.27 goals per game, ranking among the top teams in home defense. Their penalty kill at Amalie Arena is elite (85.1%), shutting down opposing power plays. Philly’s offense has struggled lately, averaging just 1.4 goals per game over their last five. Flyers’ power play is ice-cold (0% over last five). Philadelphia’s defense is leaky (3.37 GA/G), but Tampa’s offense has been inconsistent, scoring just 3.2 goals per game over their last five. Vasilevskiy’s .918 SV% gives Tampa an edge in net, making it tough for Philly to capitalize on limited chances. Flyers also average just 25 shots per game over the last five—won’t generate enough volume to push this over. These teams have trended under recently, with Tampa going under in 7 of their last 10. Tampa has been strong as a favorite (11-2 last 13) but plays disciplined, defensive hockey at home. Given Tampa’s strong PK and Philly’s offensive struggles, this one stays low-scoring.
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 80-106-4 (-9.7u)
Under 5.5+130
0.91u
4.06% ev devig to Pinny

Flyers vs. Lightning Previews & Analysis

  • Flyers vs. Lightning Prediction, Pick, Odds, Best Bets article feature image

    Flyers vs. Lightning Prediction, Pick, Odds, Best Bets

    Action Network Staff•
    Mar 17, 2025 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Flyers vs. Lightning Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Flyers

Public

Home Logo

Lightning

3%

Bets%

97%

Money%

NHL Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Lightning are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
  • Lightning are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Lightning are 11-5 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Lightning' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Lightning' 15 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Lightning		14-173-1211-57-177-0
Flyers		19-1010-89-23-616-4

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Lightning		15-168-77-913-112-5
Flyers		15-148-107-43-612-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Lightning		18-11N/AN/A13-115-2
Flyers		16-9N/AN/A7-29-11

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Mar 15th@BOSW 6-2-1.5 WO 5.5TB -185
Mar 13th@PHIL 3-4-1.5 LO 5.5PHI -155
Mar 11th@CARL 1-4+1.5 LU 5.5CAR +105
Mar 8thBOSL 0-4---
Mar 7thBUFW 6-5-1.5 LO 6.5TB -245

Lightning vs. Flyers Injury Updates

Lightning Injuries

  • Ryan McDonagh
    D

    McDonagh is out with undisclosed

    Out

  • Victor Hedman
    D

    Hedman is out with elbow

    Out

  • Andrei Vasilevskiy
    G

    Vasilevskiy is out with undisclosed

    Out

  • Erik Cernak
    D

    Cernak is out with undisclosed

    Out

  • Dominic James
    C

    James is day-to-day with undisclosed

    Day-to-Day

Flyers Injuries

  • Rasmus Ristolainen
    D

    Ristolainen is out with triceps

    Out

  • Cam York
    D

    York is out with upper body

    Out

  • Tyson Foerster
    RW

    Foerster is out with upper body

    Out

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Team Stats

0
Goals
2
0
Assists
2
4
Penalties
5
21
Shots
23
41
Hits
19
26
Faceoffs Won
28

Flyers vs. Lightning Odds Comparison

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Flyers at Lightning Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Flyers
16-9-4
o2.5+120
u2.5-160
Lightning
18-11-2
o3.5-129
u3.5-105