Astros vs. Rangers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 7, 2024

Astros at Rangers

11:10 pm • ESPN

Houston Astros

22-21

3 - 1

Texas Rangers

24-21

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Dunning			5.31	5-7
R.Blanco			2.80	13-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 22-21	-1.5+142	o10.5-105	-108
Rangers 24-21	+1.5-170	u10.5-115	-112

Sunday 11:10 p.m.

April 07, 2024

Globe Life FieldArlington

TEX -112

1.12u

HOU -105 (F5)

My first baseball bet. Astros should see some positive regression after a tough start to this year for their bullpen

R.Blanco u4.5 Ks+110

0.55u

Ballpark pal gives this -139 odds and the devig odds are -119 showing a ton of value

J.Altuve To Record 2+ Total Bases Yes+110

Under 10.5-115

System play

TEX -115

1.73u

Over 10.5-105

Y.Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases-110

0.45u

@charliedisturco

K.Tucker o1.5 Total Bases+115

0.5u

@charliedisturco

TEX -115

TEX o4.5 Team Total-140

1.4u

Over 9.5-120

0.6u

Bet to 10 (-115)

Featured Insight
The Astros have scored first in 57% of their games since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB. The Rangers have allowed their opponents to score first in 53% of their games since the 2022 season -- tied for ninth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Rangers won 56% of their games that were decided by one run or less last season -- tied for sixth best in MLB. Astros won just 44% of their games that were decided by one run or less last season -- tied for sixth worst in MLB.

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Astros vs. Rangers: Regression Reveals Value in Texas
Doug Ziefel•
Apr 7, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: Dabbundo's MLB Bets for Sunday
Anthony Dabbundo•
Apr 7, 2024 UTC

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The Astros were 27-19 (.587) after a road win in 2023 -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .494.

Adolis Garcia has struck out in 28% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for sixth highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Josh Hader has a strikeout rate of 37% since the 2022 season -- tied for fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

86% of non-fastball strikeouts for Jeremy Pena were located out of the zone last season -- highest in MLB-- 100th Percentile. 81% of Dane Dunning non-fastball strikeouts were located out of the zone last season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

Ronel Blanco has allowed an OPS of just .069 (29 PA's) this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .706 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Rangers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rangers are 10-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rangers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Rangers' 24 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	26-19	16-8	10-11	13-9	12-10
Astros	23-20	13-11	10-9	15-16	8-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rangers	14-30-1	5-19	9-11-1	7-15	7-14-1
Astros	18-23-2	10-14	8-9-2	16-15	1-8-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	24-21	16-8	8-13	16-6	7-15
Astros	22-21	15-9	7-12	17-14	5-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 6th	HOU	W 7-2	+1.5 W	U 10	TEX -110
Apr 6th	HOU	W 10-2	+1.5 W	O 10	TEX +120
Apr 3rd	@TB	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	TEX +105
Apr 2nd	@TB	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TB +130
Apr 1st	@TB	W 9-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	TEX +110

Taylor Trammell
LF
Trammell is out with calf
Out
Cristian Javier
SP
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
SP
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
RF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
SP
France is out with shoulder
Out
Spencer Arrighetti
SP
Arrighetti is out with thumb
Out

Jon Gray
SP
Gray is out with wrist
Out
Cody Bradford
RP
Bradford is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Blanco, P	90	6	4	0
RR.Montero, P	10	1	1	0
RR.Pressly, P	9	1	1	0
LJ.Hader, P	20	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
2Y.Alvarez, DH	1-3	1	1	3
3K.Tucker, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Bregman, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5Y.Diaz, C	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Singleton, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Abreu, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
7C.McCormick, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Pena, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9J.Meyers, CF	1-2	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Dunning, P	97	6.2	7	3
RG.Anderson, P	6	0.1	1	0
LJ.Latz, P	16	1	1	0
RY.Rodriguez, P	21	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	0-4	0	0
2C.Seager, SS	0-4	0	0
3W.Langford, DH	0-4	0	0
4A.Garcia, RF	1-3	1	0
5E.Carter, LF	0-2	0	0
5J.Foscue, PH	1-1	0	1
6J. Walsh, 1B	0-2	0	0
6E.Duran, PH	0-1	0	0
7J.Heim, C	0-3	0	0
8J.Smith, 3B	0-2	0	0
9T.Jankowski, CF	0-2	0	0