Braves vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - May 21, 2024

Braves at Cubs

11:40 pm • BSSO

Atlanta Braves

8-9

3 - 4

Chicago Cubs

11-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Assad			3.74	7-6
C.Morton			4.19	8-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 8-9	-1.5+117	o11.5-115	-128
Cubs 11-5	u0.5	+1.5-138	u11.5-105	+109

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

May 21, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

Under 11+100

ATL -120

1.2u

N.Hoerner o1.5 Total Bases+136

0.58u

ATL -124

2.48u

Under 11-105

Under 11-110

0.5u

Bet to 10.5 (-102)

Over 10.5-119

1.19u

KEVTAIL

CHC +111

1.11u

CHC +118

0.59u

Superbook. Bet to +111

Featured Insight
The Braves have allowed just 2.3 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- tied for second lowest in MLB (3 games). The Cubs have scored just 2.3 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB (7 games).

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Braves are 17-60 (.221) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

The Cubs are 25-21 (.543) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

Dansby Swanson is slugging just .324 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- third worst in MLB-- second Percentile. Charlie Morton has thrown a breaking pitch 48% of the time since the 2022 season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

56% of Dansby Swanson fastball strikeouts are located away since the 2022 season -- eighth highest in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. 57% of Charlie Morton fastball strikeouts are located away since the 2022 season -- ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .383 (157 PA's) with runners in scoring position since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: .740 -- 100th Percentile.

Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .418 (188 PA's) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: .725 -- 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 39 of 338 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- second Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (186/431) vs left-handed batters this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 19th	PIT	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8	PIT -130
May 18th	PIT	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC -205
May 17th	PIT	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PIT -105
May 16th	PIT	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8	PIT -123
May 15th	@ATL	W 7-1	+1.5 W	U 9	CHC +154

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Nico Hoerner
IF
Hoerner is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	94	5	8	1
RD.Hernandez, P	20	1	1	0
RJ.Chavez, P	10	1	1	0
LA.Minter, P	13	1	0	0
LA.Bummer, P	20	1.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
5T.d'Arnaud, C	0-4	1	0	0
6M.Harris, CF	1-5	1	1	1
7O.Arcia, SS	2-4	1	1	2
8Z.Short, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8A.Duvall, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8L.Williams, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
9J.Kelenic, LF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Assad, P	102	4.2	4	2
RT.Miller, P	23	1.1	2	0
RM.Leiter, P	16	1	3	0
RH.Wesneski, P	14	1	1	0
RH.Neris, P	11	1	0	0
LL.Little, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Tauchman, DH	2-5	0	2
2S.Suzuki, RF	0-5	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	0-4	1	0
4C.Morel, 3B	0-2	0	0
5I.Happ, LF	1-5	0	0
6N.Hoerner, 2B	1-5	0	1
7M.Busch, 1B	0-2	2	0
7P.Wisdom, PH	0-1	0	0
7P.Wisdom, 1B	0-1	0	0
8D.Swanson, SS	2-4	1	0
9M.Amaya, C	1-2	0	0