Braves vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - May 22, 2024

Braves at Cubs

11:40 pm • BSSO

Atlanta Braves

8-9

9 - 2

Chicago Cubs

11-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Steele			3.07	5-5
M.Fried			3.25	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 8-9	-1.5+124	o8.5-120	-134
Cubs 11-5	+1.5-148	u8.5+100	+114

Wednesday 11:40 p.m.

May 22, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

CHC +114

0.5u

Over 8.5-120

CHC -105 (F5)

1.05u

M.Fried o16.5 Outs-125

ATL -1.5+120

1.8u

CHC +120

@Zerillo

CHC +114 (F5)

0.25u

Small to +103

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

1.1u

M.Fried o16.5 Outs-129

0.78u

CHC +123

CHC +122

0.5u

Bet to +111

Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .159 (7-for-44) against Braves RPs with RISP over the last two weeks -- second best in MLB. The Cubs are batting just .203 with RISP over the last two weeks -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Cubs RPs have a strikeout rate of 31% over the last week -- second highest in MLB. Braves have struck out 26% over the last week -- fourth highest in MLB.

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The Braves are 29-40 (.420) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .425.

The Cubs are 26-21 (.553) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

Nico Hoerner is slugging just .383 since last season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Max Fried has allowed a SLG of just .296 vs right-handed batters since last season -- fourth best among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Nico Hoerner is slugging just .393 since the 2022 season -- 11th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Max Fried has allowed a SLG of just .318 vs right-handed batters since the 2022 season -- seventh best among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (38/56) against Max Fried in two-strike counts this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- 100th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 83.0 MPH (106 batted balls) this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 89.0 -- 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (1,474/3,447) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 21st	ATL	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 11.5	CHC +109
May 19th	PIT	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8	PIT -130
May 18th	PIT	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC -205
May 17th	PIT	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PIT -105
May 16th	PIT	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8	PIT -123

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Nico Hoerner
IF
Hoerner is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P		105	9	9	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-4	1	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	1	1	3
4M.Olson, 1B	2-5	1	1	1
5T.d'Arnaud, C	0-4	0	0	0
6O.Arcia, SS	1-4	1	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	2-4	2	0	0
8A.Duvall, LF	1-3	2	1	2
9Z.Short, 3B	1-4	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Steele, P	93	6.1	5	5
RJ.Cuas, P	43	1.2	2	3
RP.Hodge, P	10	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	0-3	0	0
1L.Vazquez, SS	0-1	0	0
2S.Suzuki, RF	0-4	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	0-4	0	0
4C.Morel, DH	0-3	0	0
5P.Wisdom, 1B	0-3	0	0
5P.Wisdom, 3B	0-3	0	0
6D.Swanson, SS	1-3	1	0
6M.Busch, 1B	0-0	0	0
7I.Happ, LF	2-3	1	0
8N.Madrigal, 3B	0-3	0	0
8N.Madrigal, 2B	0-3	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	0-3	0	1