Braves vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - May 22, 2024

Braves at Cubs

11:40 pm • BSSO

Atlanta Braves

0-2

9 - 2

Chicago Cubs

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Steele			3.07	5-5
M.Fried			3.25	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5+124	o8.5-120	-134
Cubs 0-0	+1.5-148	u8.5+100	+114

Wednesday 11:40 p.m.

May 22, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

CHC +114

0.5u

Over 8.5-120

M.Fried o16.5 Outs-125

ATL -1.5+120

1.8u

CHC +120

@Zerillo

CHC +114 (F5)

0.25u

Small to +103

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

1.1u

M.Fried o16.5 Outs-129

0.78u

CHC +123

CHC +122

0.5u

Bet to +111

Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .159 (7-for-44) against Braves RPs with RISP over the last two weeks -- second best in MLB. The Cubs are batting just .203 with RISP over the last two weeks -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Cubs RPs have a strikeout rate of 31% over the last week -- second highest in MLB. Braves have struck out 26% over the last week -- fourth highest in MLB.

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The Braves are 29-40 (.420) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .425.

The Cubs are 26-21 (.553) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

Nico Hoerner is slugging just .383 since last season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Max Fried has allowed a SLG of just .296 vs right-handed batters since last season -- fourth best among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Nico Hoerner is slugging just .393 since the 2022 season -- 11th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Max Fried has allowed a SLG of just .318 vs right-handed batters since the 2022 season -- seventh best among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (38/56) against Max Fried in two-strike counts this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- 100th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 83.0 MPH (106 batted balls) this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 89.0 -- 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (1,474/3,447) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 21st	ATL	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 11.5	CHC +109
May 19th	PIT	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8	PIT -130
May 18th	PIT	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC -205
May 17th	PIT	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PIT -105
May 16th	PIT	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8	PIT -123

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P		105	9	9	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-4	1	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	1	1	3
4M.Olson, 1B	2-5	1	1	1
5T.d'Arnaud, C	0-4	0	0	0
6O.Arcia, SS	1-4	1	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	2-4	2	0	0
8A.Duvall, LF	1-3	2	1	2
9Z.Short, 3B	1-4	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Steele, P	93	6.1	5	5
RJ.Cuas, P	43	1.2	2	3
RP.Hodge, P	10	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	0-3	0	0
1L.Vazquez, SS	0-1	0	0
2S.Suzuki, RF	0-4	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	0-4	0	0
4C.Morel, DH	0-3	0	0
5P.Wisdom, 1B	0-3	0	0
5P.Wisdom, 3B	0-3	0	0
6D.Swanson, SS	1-3	1	0
6M.Busch, 1B	0-0	0	0
7I.Happ, LF	2-3	1	0
8N.Madrigal, 3B	0-3	0	0
8N.Madrigal, 2B	0-3	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	0-3	0	1