Brewers vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - April 10, 2024

Brewers at Reds

10:40 pm • BSOH

Milwaukee Brewers

21-23

7 - 2

Cincinnati Reds

20-24

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Greene			2.75	9-5
W.Miley			6.43	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 21-23	+1.5	+1.5-178	o8.5-103	+120
Reds 20-24	u9	-1.5+148	u8.5-116	-141

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

April 10, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Under 8.5-110

1.65u

MIL +120

1.2u

W. Miley u3.5 Ks+106

0.53u

Ballpark pal gives this -120 odds projecting 3.39 Ks and also a +EV bet with devig odds of -126 providing value

CIN -130 (F5)

… mlb f5 low era fade Overall: 154-72-41,68% (ROI:17%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

Under 9-115

1.15u

Featured Insight
The Brewers have scored in at least three different innings in 50% of their games since the 2022 season -- eighth highest in MLB. Reds have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 54% of their games since the 2022 season -- third highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents batted just .232 (560-for-2,413) against Reds RPs last season -- 10th best in MLB. The Brewers batted just .227 versus relief pitchers last season -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Wednesday
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The Brewers are 25-0 (1.000) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

Brice Turang had an OPS of just .585 last season -- 12th worst among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- third Percentile. Emilio Pagan allowed an OPS of just .553 (273 PAs) last season -- 15th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

35% of Brice Turang strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- tied for ninth highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. 51% of Hunter Greene's strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 53% of the time (292/555) since the 2022 season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 34% -- 99th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 93.4 -- 100th Percentile.

Wade Miley has thrown his cutter 51% of the time (250/491) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total CUT; League Avg: 19% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 12-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Reds' 21 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	22-22	10-11	12-11	9-10	13-11
Brewers	23-21	10-9	13-12	12-9	10-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	18-25-1	8-12-1	10-13	5-13-1	12-12
Brewers	16-25-3	7-11-1	9-14-2	7-13-1	9-11-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	20-24	9-12	11-12	10-9	10-14
Brewers	21-23	12-7	9-16	14-7	6-16

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 9th	MIL	L 5-9	-1.5 L	O 9	MIL -135
Apr 8th	MIL	W 10-8	+1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN -109
Apr 7th	NYM	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	NYM +100
Apr 6th	NYM	W 9-6	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN -125
Apr 5th	NYM	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	NYM -135

Jose Quintana
SP
Quintana is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Woodruff
SP
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Blake Perkins
CF
Perkins is out with leg
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out
Aaron Ashby
SP
Ashby is out with oblique
Out
Robert Gasser
SP
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Jake Fraley
RF
Fraley is out with calf
Out
Noelvi Marte
3B
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
RP
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LW.Miley, P	52	4	0	1
RB.Wilson, P	42	3	1	1
LH.Milner, P	7	1	0	0
RJ.Bukauskas, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chourio, RF	1-3	2	0	2
2W.Contreras, C	1-4	0	0	2
3C.Yelich, DH	1-4	1	1	2
4W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5S.Frelick, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Bauers, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
7B.Perkins, CF	1-2	2	1	1
8J.Ortiz, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
9B.Turang, 2B	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Greene, P	105	6	9	6
RB.Farmer, P	19	1	2	0
LB.Suter, P	23	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, DH	1-4	0	0	0
2S.Steer, LF	0-3	0	0	0
3C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
4J.Candelario, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5S.Fairchild, CF	1-3	0	0	1
6E.De La Cruz, SS	2-3	1	1	1
7S.Espinal, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8W.Benson, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9L.Maile, C	0-3	0	0	0