Brewers vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - April 10, 2024

Brewers at Reds

10:40 pm • BSOH

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

7 - 2

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Greene			2.75	9-5
W.Miley			6.43	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 1-2	+1.5	+1.5-178	o8.5-103	+120
Reds 0-0	u9	-1.5+148	u8.5-116	-141

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

April 10, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Under 8.5-110

1.65u

W. Miley u3.5 Ks+106

0.53u

Ballpark pal gives this -120 odds projecting 3.39 Ks and also a +EV bet with devig odds of -126 providing value

Over 8.5-110

$50.00

CIN -130 (F5)

… mlb f5 low era fade Overall: 154-72-41,68% (ROI:17%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

Featured Insight
The Brewers have scored in at least three different innings in 50% of their games since the 2022 season -- eighth highest in MLB. Reds have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 54% of their games since the 2022 season -- third highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents batted just .232 (560-for-2,413) against Reds RPs last season -- 10th best in MLB. The Brewers batted just .227 versus relief pitchers last season -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Wednesday
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The Brewers are 25-0 (1.000) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

Brice Turang had an OPS of just .585 last season -- 12th worst among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- third Percentile. Emilio Pagan allowed an OPS of just .553 (273 PAs) last season -- 15th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

35% of Brice Turang strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- tied for ninth highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. 51% of Hunter Greene's strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 53% of the time (292/555) since the 2022 season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 34% -- 99th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 93.4 -- 100th Percentile.

Wade Miley has thrown his cutter 51% of the time (250/491) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total CUT; League Avg: 19% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 9th	MIL	L 5-9	-1.5 L	O 9	MIL -135
Apr 8th	MIL	W 10-8	+1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN -109
Apr 7th	NYM	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	NYM +100
Apr 6th	NYM	W 9-6	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN -125
Apr 5th	NYM	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	NYM -135

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LW.Miley, P	52	4	0	1
RB.Wilson, P	42	3	1	1
LH.Milner, P	7	1	0	0
RJ.Bukauskas, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chourio, RF	1-3	2	0	2
2W.Contreras, C	1-4	0	0	2
3C.Yelich, DH	1-4	1	1	2
4W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5S.Frelick, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Bauers, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
7B.Perkins, CF	1-2	2	1	1
8J.Ortiz, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
9B.Turang, 2B	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Greene, P	105	6	9	6
RB.Farmer, P	19	1	2	0
LB.Suter, P	23	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, DH	1-4	0	0	0
2S.Steer, LF	0-3	0	0	0
3C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
4J.Candelario, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5S.Fairchild, CF	1-3	0	0	1
6E.De La Cruz, SS	2-3	1	1	1
7S.Espinal, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8W.Benson, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9L.Maile, C	0-3	0	0	0