Guardians vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - April 26, 2024

Guardians at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSO

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

2 - 6

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Sale			2.38	18-3
L.Allen			5.73	8-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 4-6	+1.5+105	o8.5-107	+220
Braves 0-2	-1.5-125	u8.5-113	-270

Friday 11:20 p.m.

April 26, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

R.Acuna o1.5 Total Bases-115

0.75u

A.Riley o1.5 Total Bases-105

0.75u

Triple 7s w Yandy

ATL -1.5-130

2.31u

R.Acuna o0.5 HR+450

0.25u

A.Riley o0.5 HR+400

0.25u

M.Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases+110

0.55u

Ballpark pal gives a strong advantage to Ozuna and +ev bet with devig odds of -109 giving value to this number

CLE +1.5-115

0.58u

Under 8.5+102

1.02u

… windy unders Overall: 909-660-81,58% (ROI:11%) Season:5-2-0,71% (ROI:37%)

ATL -190

0.53u

Superbook. Bet to -205

ATL -196 (F5)

0.51u

Bet to -240

Featured Insight
Guardians have won 71% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- second best in MLB. Braves have won just 26% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Braves hitters have a hard-hit rate of 45% this season -- best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 42% against the Guardians this season -- fifth worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .425.

Josh Naylor is batting .385 on breaking pitches this season -- sixth best among hitters with at least 34 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. Chris Sale has thrown his slider 43% of the time this season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Chris Sale has a strike rate of 71% (263/370) this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% -- 98th Percentile.

Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .738 (31 Total Bases / 42 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .372 -- second Percentile.

4 of Chris Sale's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season -- tied for 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 24th	MIA	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9	ATL -270
Apr 23rd	MIA	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -262
Apr 22nd	MIA	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 9.5	ATL -218
Apr 21st	TEX	L 4-6	-1.5 L	U 10	TEX -162
Apr 20th	TEX	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 9	ATL -142

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LL.Allen, P	91	4.2	5	4
RT.Beede, P	34	1.1	2	1
RP.Avila, P	35	2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-4	1	1	1
2T.Freeman, CF	1-4	1	0	0
2T.Freeman, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Fry, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
5D.Fry, C	1-4	0	0	1
6R.Laureano, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6R.Laureano, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7G.Arias, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7G.Arias, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
8A.Hedges, C	0-2	0	0	0
8E.Florial, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8E.Florial, RF	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sale, P	95	7	6	1
RP.Johnson, P	18	1	1	0
LT.Matzek, P	13	0.1	1	1
LA.Minter, P	13	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-3	1	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	2-4	1	0	1
3A.Riley, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-3	1	0	1
5M.Ozuna, DH	1-3	1	0	2
6T.d'Arnaud, C	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0	1
8O.Arcia, SS	2-4	1	1	1
9A.Duvall, LF	1-4	0	0	0