Guardians vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - April 27, 2024

Guardians at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSO

Cleveland Guardians

7-12

4 - 2

Atlanta Braves

8-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Morton			4.19	8-10
T.Bibee			3.47	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 7-12	+1.5-141	o8.5-117	+142
Braves 8-8	-1.5+120	u8.5-102	-170

Saturday 11:20 p.m.

April 27, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

J.Naylor o1.5 Total Bases+150

0.75u

Bet365 4:44.

J.Naylor o0.5 HR+525

0.07u

CLE +143

1.43u

Under 9-120

0.83u

… windy unders Overall: 911-660-82,58% (ROI:11%) Season:7-2-1,78% (ROI:44%)

C.Morton u5.5 Ks-136

0.68u

ATL -1.5+115

Under 9-115

0.75u

Bet to -120 or 8.5 (-102)

Featured Insight
Guardians have won 72% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- second best in MLB. Braves have won just 26% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Braves hitters have a hard-hit rate of 45% over the last two weeks -- tied for third best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 43% against the Guardians RPs over the last two weeks -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Guardians vs. Braves: 2 Props for Elite Matchup
Nick Martin•
Apr 27, 2024 UTC

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .425.

64% of fastball strikeouts for Andres Gimenez are located out of the zone since last season -- third highest in MLB-- 98th Percentile. 55% of Chris Sale fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since last season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (291/801) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% -- 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (1,386/3,208) since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (18/75) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 26th	CLE	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -270
Apr 24th	MIA	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9	ATL -270
Apr 23rd	MIA	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -262
Apr 22nd	MIA	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 9.5	ATL -218
Apr 21st	TEX	L 4-6	-1.5 L	U 10	TEX -162

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	91	7	9	0
RH.Gaddis, P	14	1	0	2
RE.Clase, P	13	1	0	0
RS.Barlow, P	9	1	1	0
RN.Sandlin, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-5	2	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	2-5	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	1	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	2-4	0	1
5W.Brennan, RF	0-4	0	0
5R.Laureano, PH	0-0	0	1
5R.Laureano, RF	0-0	0	1
6T.Freeman, CF	0-3	0	0
7E.Florial, DH	0-4	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	1-3	0	0
8D.Fry, PH	0-1	0	0
8D.Fry, C	0-1	0	0
9G.Arias, SS	0-4	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	91	7	6	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	25	1	0	2
RR.Iglesias, P	11	1	1	0
LD.Lee, P	26	2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-5	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-5	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	0-5	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	2-3	1	0
6O.Arcia, SS	1-4	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	1-4	1	0
8T.d'Arnaud, C	1-3	0	1
8L.Williams, PR	0-0	0	0
8C.Tromp, C	0-1	0	0
9J.Kelenic, LF	1-4	0	1