Guardians vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - April 27, 2024

Guardians at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSO

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

4 - 2

Atlanta Braves

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Morton			4.19	8-10
T.Bibee			3.47	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 1-2	+1.5-141	o8.5-117	+142
Braves 0-0	-1.5+120	u8.5-102	-170

Saturday 11:20 p.m.

April 27, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

Under 8.5+100

$30.00

J.Naylor o1.5 Total Bases+150

0.75u

Bet365 4:44.

J.Naylor o0.5 HR+525

0.07u

CLE +143

1.43u

Under 9-120

0.83u

… windy unders Overall: 911-660-82,58% (ROI:11%) Season:7-2-1,78% (ROI:44%)

C.Morton u5.5 Ks-136

0.68u

Under 9-115

0.75u

Bet to -120 or 8.5 (-102)

Featured Insight
Guardians have won 72% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- second best in MLB. Braves have won just 26% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Braves hitters have a hard-hit rate of 45% over the last two weeks -- tied for third best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 43% against the Guardians RPs over the last two weeks -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Guardians vs. Braves: 2 Props for Elite Matchup
Nick Martin•
Apr 27, 2024 UTC

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .425.

64% of fastball strikeouts for Andres Gimenez are located out of the zone since last season -- third highest in MLB-- 98th Percentile. 55% of Chris Sale fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since last season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (291/801) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% -- 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (1,386/3,208) since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (18/75) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	72-89	32-49	40-40	44-61	27-27
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	72-80-9	33-45-3	39-35-6	46-54-5	25-25-4
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	76-86	39-42	36-44	55-50	19-35
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 26th	CLE	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -270
Apr 24th	MIA	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9	ATL -270
Apr 23rd	MIA	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -262
Apr 22nd	MIA	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 9.5	ATL -218
Apr 21st	TEX	L 4-6	-1.5 L	U 10	TEX -162

Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Riley
3B
Riley is out with abdominal
Out
Alek Manoah
SP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	91	7	9	0
RH.Gaddis, P	14	1	0	2
RE.Clase, P	13	1	0	0
RS.Barlow, P	9	1	1	0
RN.Sandlin, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-5	2	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	2-5	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	1	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	2-4	0	1
5W.Brennan, RF	0-4	0	0
5R.Laureano, PH	0-0	0	1
5R.Laureano, RF	0-0	0	1
6T.Freeman, CF	0-3	0	0
7E.Florial, DH	0-4	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	1-3	0	0
8D.Fry, PH	0-1	0	0
8D.Fry, C	0-1	0	0
9G.Arias, SS	0-4	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	91	7	6	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	25	1	0	2
RR.Iglesias, P	11	1	1	0
LD.Lee, P	26	2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-5	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-5	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	0-5	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	2-3	1	0
6O.Arcia, SS	1-4	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	1-4	1	0
8T.d'Arnaud, C	1-3	0	1
8L.Williams, PR	0-0	0	0
8C.Tromp, C	0-1	0	0
9J.Kelenic, LF	1-4	0	1