Guardians vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - May 12, 2024

Guardians at White Sox

6:10 pm • NBCS-CHI

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

7 - 0

Chicago White Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Soroka			4.75	0-10
L.Allen			5.73	8-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 4-6	-1.5-107	o9-118	-170
White Sox 0-0	+1.5-112	u9-102	+142

Sunday 6:10 p.m.

May 12, 2024

Guaranteed Rate FieldChicago

M.Soroka u15.5 Outs-120

1.2u

He’s been bad: 6.34 ERA / 6.44 xERA, a 13.4% walk rate that’s driven his pitch count up, and he’s under this line in 7/8 starts (including 3.2 IP vs CLE earlier this season). Fantastic hitting conditions today in Chicago as well, and the White Sox pen is actually in decent shape (Keller is on 4 days rest, and he can eat multiple innings).

Under 9+100

0.5u

CLE -1.5+100

0.5u

CWS +142

Over 8.5-115

0.58u

Need -115 or better

CLE o4.5 Team Total-125

Featured Insight
The Guardians have scored 1.5 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- tied for fourth highest in MLB (26 games). The White Sox have allowed 1.5 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- fourth highest in MLB (24 games).

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Featured Insight
White Sox have a strikeout rate of 26% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB. Guardians right-handed hitters have struck out 32% against LHP over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Top 3 MLB Bets For Sunday
Brad Cunningham•
May 12, 2024 UTC

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The Guardians are 46-50 (.479) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .410.

Andrew Benintendi has an OPS of just .700 since the 2022 season -- seventh worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .513 (641 PAs) since the 2022 season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (45 Total Bases / 63 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .383 -- first Percentile.

Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (45 Total Bases / 63 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .371 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 34-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of White Sox' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	68-93	34-46	34-47	5-3	63-90
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	66-86-9	31-46-3	35-40-6	4-3-1	62-83-8
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	41-121	23-57	18-63	5-3	36-117
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 11th	CLE	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 8	CWS +150
May 10th	CLE	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 7	CWS -120
May 9th	CLE	W 3-2	-	-	-
May 8th	@TB	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CWS +217
May 7th	@TB	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	TB +220

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Drew Thorpe
P
Thorpe is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LL.Allen, P	87	6	3
RN.Sandlin, P	18	1	1
RH.Gaddis, P	17	1	0
LS.Hentges, P	6	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Freeman, CF	0-5	0	0	0
1T.Freeman, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
2R.Laureano, CF	0-0	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, DH	0-3	1	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
4K.Manzardo, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
5D.Fry, C	1-2	2	1	2
6W.Brennan, RF	0-4	1	0	0
7G.Arias, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8E.Florial, LF	2-4	1	0	1
9B.Rocchio, SS	0-3	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Soroka, P	71	5.1	4	4
LT.Hill, P	11	0.1	0	0
RB.Keller, P	49	3.1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Pham, LF	0-3	0	0	0
2A.Vaughn, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
3E.Jimenez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4B.Ramos, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5G.Sheets, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6P.DeJong, SS	0-2	0	0	0
6B.Shewmake, SS	0-1	0	0	0
7K.Lee, C	1-4	0	0	0
8R.Ortega, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9Z.Remillard, 2B	2-2	0	0	0