Mariners vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 24, 2024

Mariners at Nationals

10:45 pm • ROOT Sports NW

Seattle Mariners

3-4

1 - 6

Washington Nationals

3-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Gore			3.90	10-12
G.Kirby			3.53	14-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 3-4	-1.5+126	o8-105	-128
Nationals 3-3	+1.5-151	u8-115	+109

Friday 10:45 p.m.

May 24, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-148

POD

SEA -122

1.22u

SEA -124 (F5)

0.31u

Small to -132.

Under 4 (F5)-130

1.3u

G.Kirby u5.5 Ks-120

0.5u

G.Kirby u5.5 Ks-120

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-135

1.35u

WSH +130

1.3u

Gore's estimators only slightly behind Kirby overall and SEA just 5 pt wRC+ edge v L/RHP - defenses & L30 day pen estimators are very comparable. This should be closer to even with Washington at home.

SEA -148

Under 4.5 (F5)-135

$1.00

G.Kirby u0.5 BB+159

0.5u

Under 8-109

1.5u

M.Gore o16.5 Outs-110

0.5u

Over 7.5-120

0.6u

WSH +126

0.63u

Under 8-115

0.5u

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the Mariners RPs since last season -- tied for fourth best in MLB. Nationals hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 36% since last season -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Nationals hitters have a groundball rate of 46% this season -- third highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners this season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Nationals are 5-1 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Mariners are 31-4 (.886) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

48% of fastball strikeouts for Julio Rodriguez are located out of the zone this season -- ninth highest in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. 56% of MacKenzie Gore fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season -- tied for fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .548 (17-for-31) against MacKenzie Gore when he's behind in the count this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .323 -- 0 Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has a first-pitch strike rate of just 55% (109/200) this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 63% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 5-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Nationals' last 5 games

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	5-1	N/A	5-1	N/A	5-1
Mariners	3-4	3-4	N/A	2-3	1-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	4-2	N/A	4-2	N/A	4-2
Mariners	4-3	4-3	N/A	4-1	0-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	3-3	N/A	3-3	N/A	3-3
Mariners	3-4	3-4	N/A	2-3	1-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 22nd	MIN	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 9.5	MIN +110
May 21st	MIN	L 0-10	+1.5 L	O 8.5	MIN +148
May 20th	MIN	W 12-3	+1.5 W	O 7.5	WSH +130
May 19th	@PHI	L 5-11	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PHI +190
May 18th	@PHI	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 7	PHI +145

J.P. Crawford
SS
Crawford is out with shoulder
Out
Miles Mastrobuoni
3B
Mastrobuoni is out with calf
Out
Bryce Miller
SP
Miller is out with oblique
Out

Trevor Williams
SP
Williams is out with elbow
Out
Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Kirby, P	82	6	3	5
LK.Snead, P	10	1	0	0
RA.Voth, P	20	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	2-4	1	1	1
2D.Moore, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
3M.Garver, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Raleigh, C	1-4	0	0	0
5T.France, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Rodriguez, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7M.Haniger, RF	1-3	0	0	0
8J.Polanco, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Clase, LF	0-2	0	0	0
9D.Canzone, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9D.Canzone, LF	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Gore, P	98	7	8	1
RH.Harvey, P	10	1	0	0
RD.Floro, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	2-4	1	0	0
2E.Rosario, RF	1-4	1	1	1
3J.Meneses, DH	1-4	1	0	0
4L.Garcia, 2B	1-4	1	1	3
5J.Winker, LF	0-3	1	0	0
6K.Ruiz, C	2-3	1	1	2
7N.Senzel, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
8J.Gallo, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Young, CF	0-3	0	0	0