Mariners vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - July 30, 2024

Mariners at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN

Seattle Mariners

0-0

10 - 6

Boston Red Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Paxton			4.09	1-1
L.Castillo			3.64	11-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 0-0	-1.5+125	o10.5-110	-120
Red Sox 0-0	+1.5-150	u10.5-110	+100

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

July 30, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

L.Castillo u17.5 Outs+122

0.25u

Projection lands at 16.46 and a +ev pick with devig odds of +100 giving us value at this number

SEA -115

L.Castillo o5.5 Ks+115

0.5u

Over a 10% edge, per our Action Network projections.

J.Paxton o4.5 Ks+135

1.35u

Projection lands at 4.8 and a +ev pick with devig odds of +107 giving us value at this number

Over 9.5-108

0.25u

Small to -111

Over 4.5 (F5)-120

0.25u

Bet to -150 or 5 (-110)

Featured Insight
The Mariners have scored 4.0 runs per game in the first five innings over the last week -- tied for second highest in MLB (6 games). The Red Sox have allowed 4.8 runs per game in the first five innings over the last week -- highest in MLB (6 games).

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Featured Insight
Red Sox hitters have a hard-hit rate of 47% over the last two weeks -- best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 54% against the Mariners RPs over the last two weeks -- worst in MLB.

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Mariners	74-88	38-43	36-45	47-62	26-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Mariners	76-76-10	31-45-5	45-31-5	50-55-4	25-21-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Mariners	85-77	49-32	36-45	62-47	23-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 29th	SEA	W 14-7	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -125
Jul 28th	NYY	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 9	NYY -105
Jul 27th	NYY	L 8-11	+1.5 L	O 10	NYY -120
Jul 26th	NYY	W 9-7	+1.5 W	O 9.5	BOS +105
Jul 24th	@COL	L 7-20	-1.5 L	O 10.5	COL -148

Sam Haggerty
OF
Haggerty is out with achilles
Out

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Castillo, P	100	6	4	3
LT.Saucedo, P	17	0.2	1	3
RC.Snider, P	8	0.1	0	0
RY.Garcia, P	11	1	1	0
RA.Munoz, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1V.Robles, CF	2-5	3	0	0
1L.Raley, CF	0-0	0	0	0
2R.Arozarena, LF	1-5	1	0	1
3C.Raleigh, C	0-5	1	0	0
4J.Turner, 1B	1-5	0	0	2
5J.Polanco, 2B	2-4	3	1	2
6D.Moore, 3B	2-3	0	0	3
6D.Moore, SS	2-3	0	0	3
7M.Garver, DH	0-4	0	0	0
8M.Haniger, RF	1-3	1	0	0
8C.Marlowe, RF	0-0	0	0	0
9L.Rivas, SS	1-2	1	0	0
9J.Rojas, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, 3B	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Paxton, P	72	4.1	5	3
RZ.Kelly, P	16	0.1	0	1
RY.Ramirez, P	29	1.1	1	2
RC.Criswell, P	32	3	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	0	0	0
2W.Abreu, RF	1-2	1	0	0
2R.Refsnyder, PH	0-2	0	0	0
2R.Refsnyder, LF	0-2	0	0	0
3M.Yoshida, DH	2-5	2	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	3-5	2	1	4
5T.O'Neill, LF	1-5	0	0	1
5T.O'Neill, RF	1-5	0	0	1
6D.Smith, 1B	2-4	0	0	1
7C.Wong, C	0-4	0	0	0
8D.Hamilton, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	1-2	1	0	0