Mariners vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 8, 2024

Mariners at Twins

11:40 pm • ROOT Sports NW

Seattle Mariners

3-3

3 - 6

Minnesota Twins

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Paddack			4.99	5-3
G.Kirby			3.53	14-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 3-3	-1.5+154	o7.5-119	-108
Twins 1-3	+1.5-185	u7.5-102	-111

Wednesday 11:40 p.m.

May 08, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

SEA -110

1.1u

Under 7.5+105

… windy unders Overall: 917-661-82,58% (ROI:12%) Season:13-3-1,81% (ROI:52%)

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-135

$1.35

Under 3.5 (F5)+105

0.5u

G.Kirby u0.5 BB+185

0.5u

Under 8-120

C.Paddack o5.5 Ks-122

0.5u

Under 7.5-116

1.16u

MIN -105

G.Kirby u6.5 Ks-150

0.67u

Under 7.5-115

$25.00

MIN +104

0.52u

MIN +100

Bullpen & defensive edges for MIN to start, while the offense has come alive (105/101/113 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days), while Seattle still sleeps (95 wRC+, 29.1 K% v RHP). Kirby is one of the best pitchers in the league, but Paddack's estimators hvae droped below four after facing the top offenses in the league.

Under 4.5 (F5)-135

0.5u

Flat to -150 or 4 (-110)

Under 7.5-105

0.53u

Bet to -118 or 7 (+100)

MIN +105

0.53u

Bet to -103

SEA -118 (F5)

1.18u

Featured Insight
Mariners RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season -- second highest in MLB. Twins have struck out 26% since last season -- second highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Twins have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season -- highest in MLB. Mariners have struck out 26% since last season -- highest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Wednesday Night
Sean Zerillo•
May 8, 2024 UTC

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The Twins are 77-14 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .787.

Cal Raleigh has struck out in 29% of PA's since last season -- ninth highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Jhoan Duran has a strikeout rate of 34% since last season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Chris Paddack has a strikeout rate of just 13% (6 SO in 45 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 33% -- 0 Percentile.

Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .550 (22 Total Bases / 40 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .298 -- third Percentile.

George Kirby has struck out 52% (11/21) of left-handed batters he faced -- best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% -- 100th Percentile.

George Kirby's has 15 strikeouts and no walks against right-handed batters this season -- best K:BB ratio among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.3 -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-3 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 2-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 2-2 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Twins' last 4 games

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	2-2	N/A	2-2	N/A	2-2
Mariners	3-3	3-3	N/A	2-2	1-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	1-3	N/A	1-3	N/A	1-3
Mariners	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-1	0-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	1-3	N/A	1-3	N/A	1-3
Mariners	3-3	3-3	N/A	2-2	1-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 7th	SEA	L 6-10	-1.5 L	O 8	SEA -165
May 6th	SEA	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 8	MIN +108
May 5th	BOS	L 2-9	-1.5 L	O 7.5	BOS -190
May 4th	BOS	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	MIN -180
May 4th	BOS	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIN -123

Pablo Lopez
SP
Lopez is out with elbow
Out
David Festa
SP
Festa is out with shoulder
Out
Travis Adams
SP
Adams is out with triceps
Out

J.P. Crawford
SS
Crawford is out with shoulder
Out
Miles Mastrobuoni
3B
Mastrobuoni is out with calf
Out
Bryce Miller
SP
Miller is out with oblique
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Kirby, P	70	5	4	4
LK.Snead, P	8	1	1	0
RT.Thornton, P	19	1	2	0
RC.Bolton, P	19	1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Rojas, 3B	2-5	0	0	0
1J.Rojas, LF	2-5	0	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	3-5	1	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
4M.Haniger, RF	0-3	1	0	0
5C.Raleigh, C	1-4	0	0	2
6M.Garver, DH	2-3	1	1	1
7T.France, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8L.Raley, LF	1-2	0	0	0
8L.Urias, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8L.Urias, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
9D.Moore, SS	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Paddack, P	99	5.1	10	1
LC.Thielbar, P	14	1	2	1
RG.Jax, P	26	1.2	0	1
RJ.Duran, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	1-4	1	1	1
3T.Larnach, DH	1-2	1	1	1
3R.Jeffers, PH	1-2	1	0	1
3R.Jeffers, DH	1-2	1	0	1
4M.Kepler, RF	1-4	0	0	1
5J.Miranda, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
5K.Farmer, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
6A.Kirilloff, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6C.Santana, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
7W.Castro, CF	2-3	1	1	2
8C.Vazquez, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Margot, LF	0-3	0	0	0