Red Sox vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2024

Red Sox at Twins

12:10 am • NESN
2 - 5
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Chris Paddack logoC.PaddackMinnesota Twins logo4.995-3
Tanner Houck logoT.HouckBoston Red Sox logo3.129-10

Red Sox at Twins Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox
0-0
-1.5
-1.5+170
o7.5-108
+103
Twins
0-0
u8
+1.5-205
u7.5-112
-123
location pinSaturday 12:10 a.m.
May 04, 2024
Target FieldMinneapolis
Red Sox vs. Twins Expert Picks
Nick Martin
Nick Martin
234d ago
Last 30d: 125-171-4 (+7.2u)
BOS -115 (F5)
0.5u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
234d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
C.Paddack u15.5 Outs-120
1.2u
Paddack under in 3/5 - one over vs a terrible White Sox lineup, and the other 5.1 IP and got shelled by BAL. Has been awful vs lefties (.935 OPS allowed), and doesn’t throw strikes (63% is 78/128 qualifiers). Red Sox have 5 lefties in the lineup today, and have the 12th lowest chase rate the L30. And they’re taking - 141 wRC+ and .868 OPS the L14 days vs righties. Twins pen is rested after an off day - no need to push Paddack.
GoldBoys x JD Picks
GoldBoys x JD Picks
234d ago
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.3u)
BOS +105
1u
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
234d ago
Last 30d: 127-96-6 (+15.1u)
BOS -115 (F5)
1.15u
BOS +102
1u
Under 8-110
1u
Collin Wilson
Collin Wilson
234d ago
Last 30d: 81-79-4 (-25.1u)
BOS -118 (F5)
0.59u
T.Houck o5.5 Ks-125
0.63u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
234d ago
Last 30d: 190-208-7 (+23.8u)
MIN -109
1.5u
DO I HEAR 11 STRAIGHT?
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
234d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
Under 8.5-115
0.5u
Bet to 8 (-105)
BOS -105 (F5)
0.53u
Bet to -115

PRO Insights

Red Sox logo

Red Sox

BOS Insights
  • Red Sox logoThe Red Sox have scored in at least three different innings in 58% of their games this season -- fifth highest in MLB. Twins have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 53% of their games this season -- tied for fourth highest in MLB.
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Twins logo

Twins

MIN Insights
  • Twins logoTwins RPs have a strikeout rate of 28% vs right-handed batters this season -- tied for second highest in MLB. Red Sox right-handed hitters have struck out 32% against LHP this season -- highest in MLB.
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Red Sox vs. Twins Previews & Analysis

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Red Sox vs. Twins Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Red Sox vs. Twins Public Betting Percentages

34%

Bets%

66%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Twins
69-9333-4836-4546-6622-26
Red Sox
75-8732-4943-3830-4944-37

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Twins
83-73-643-33-540-40-163-43-618-30
Red Sox
79-75-837-40-442-35-437-40-241-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Twins
82-8043-3839-4263-4918-30
Red Sox
81-8138-4343-3842-3738-43

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 1st@CWSW 10-5-1.5 WO 9MIN -225
Apr 30th@CWSW 6-5-1.5 LO 8.5MIN -180
Apr 29th@CWSW 3-2-1.5 LU 7.5MIN -164
Apr 28th@LAAW 11-5-1.5 WO 7.5MIN -110
Apr 28th@LAAW 16-5-1.5 WO 9MIN -107

Red Sox vs. Twins Injury Updates

Red Sox Injuries

  • Lucas Giolito
    P

    Giolito is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Patrick Sandoval
    P

    Sandoval is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Garrett Whitlock
    P

    Whitlock is out with oblique

    Out

  • David Hamilton
    IF

    Hamilton is out with finger

    Out

Twins Injuries

  • Jose Miranda
    IF

    Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.

    Out

  • Trevor Larnach
    OF

    Larnach is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Joe Ryan
    P

    Ryan is out with triceps

    Out

Red Sox vs. Twins Box Score
Red Sox Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Tanner Houck logoRT.Houck, P99654
Naoyuki Uwasawa logoRN.Uwasawa, P43221
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jarren Duran logo1J.Duran, CF1-4100
Rafael Devers logo2R.Devers, 3B2-3002
Tyler O'Neill logo3T.O'Neill, LF0-4000
Wilyer Abreu logo4W.Abreu, RF0-4000
Garrett Cooper logo5G.Cooper, 1B0-4000
Dominic Smith logo6D.Smith, DH0-4000
Vaughn Grissom logo7V.Grissom, 2B0-3000
Reese McGuire logo8R.McGuire, C0-2100
Ceddanne Rafaela logo9C.Rafaela, SS1-3000
Twins Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Chris Paddack logoRC.Paddack, P83660
Griffin Jax logoRG.Jax, P11130
Cole Sands logoRC.Sands, P120.212
Caleb Thielbar logoLC.Thielbar, P70.110
Jhoan Duran logoRJ.Duran, P11120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Alex Kirilloff logo1A.Kirilloff, LF0-4100
Manuel Margot logo1M.Margot, LF0-0000
Edouard Julien logo2E.Julien, 2B1-2002
Ryan Jeffers logo3R.Jeffers, C1-4002
Max Kepler logo4M.Kepler, RF1-3000
Carlos Correa logo5C.Correa, SS1-4000
Trevor Larnach logo6T.Larnach, DH1-3000
Austin Martin logo6A.Martin, PR0-1100
Austin Martin logo6A.Martin, DH0-1100
Carlos Santana logo7C.Santana, 1B1-4000
Willi Castro logo8W.Castro, CF2-3200
Jose Miranda logo9J.Miranda, 3B0-3100
Kyle Farmer logo9K.Farmer, 3B0-0000

Red Sox vs. Twins Odds Comparison

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Red Sox at Twins Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Red Sox
0-0
o3.5-115
u3.5-115
Twins
0-0
o3.5-120
u3.5-110