Marlins vs. Dodgers Odds & Betting Predictions - August 19, 2023

Marlins at Dodgers

2:10 am • SportsNet LA

Miami Marlins

0-0

11 - 3

Los Angeles Dodgers

11-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Gonsolin			4.98	8-5
S.Alcantara			4.14	7-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-173	o8.5-115	+120
Dodgers 11-5	-1.5+142	u8.5-105	-142

Saturday 2:10 a.m.

August 19, 2023

Dodger StadiumLos Angeles

S.Alcantara u18.5 Outs-120

I know what he’s capable of, but this is such a brutal matchup. He’s been awful in three career starts at Dodger stadium, and Mookie, Freddie, Smith and Muncy are a collective 21/63 against him. Dodgers won’t chase (3rd lowest chase rate) and will drive up his pitch count (3.95 is 5th highest). And he’s been worse on the road - under in 9/13 with a 4.56 ERA. No fun fading Sandy, but I’ll trust the Dodgers at home.

MIA +100 (F5)

MIA +115

$3.45

MIA o3.5-130

0.77u

MIA +125

1.25u

SANDY DAY

MIA +120 (F5)

1.2u

SANDY DAY

MIA +132

0.66u

Bet to +120

MIA +110 (F5)

0.55u

+115 at MGM. Bet to +108

Over 8.5-104

Featured Insight
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .783 since last season -- second-best in MLB. MarlinsRPs have allowed an OPS of .740 (4,323 PAs) since last season -- fifth-worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Marlins have scored just 3.8 runs per game since last season -- third-lowest in MLB (284 games). The Dodgers have allowed just 3.7 runs per game since last season -- second-lowest in MLB (282 games).

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The Dodgers are 73-36 (.670) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .538.

The Marlins are 22-109 (.168) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .130.

The Dodgers are 25-14 (.641) after a home win this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .543.

30% of Will Smith strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. 53% of Sandy Alcantara's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Freddie Freeman is batting .308 on non-fastballs this season -- fifth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Opponents are hitting .266 (74-for-278) against Sandy Alcantara non-fastballs this season -- seventh worst among qualified SPs-- 11th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Dodgers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Dodgers are 39-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Dodgers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Dodgers' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	81-79	42-38	39-41	74-67	7-11
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Dodgers	88-67-5	45-31-4	43-36-1	79-57-5	9-9
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	98-64	52-28	45-35	91-50	6-12
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 18th	MIL	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 8	LAD -155
Aug 17th	MIL	W 7-1	-1.5 W	U 8	LAD -242
Aug 16th	MIL	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 9	LAD -230
Aug 13th	COL	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	LAD -355
Aug 13th	COL	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 9.5	LAD -292

Dustin May
P
May is out with elbow
Out
Tony Gonsolin
P
Gonsolin is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
P
Stone is out with shoulder
Out
Emmet Sheehan
P
Sheehan is out with arm
Out

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Alcantara, P	96	6	6	3
LS.Okert, P	24	1	1	0
RJ.Lopez, P	24	1	1	0
RD.Robertson, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Soler, DH	2-4	3	2	2
2L.Arraez, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
2A.Garcia, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2A.Garcia, RF	0-1	0	0	0
3J.Bell, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
3Y.Gurriel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3Y.Gurriel, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
4J.Chisholm, CF	2-4	2	1	3
5J.Burger, 3B	1-4	1	1	3
6B.De La Cruz, LF	0-5	0	0	0
6B.De La Cruz, RF	0-5	0	0	0
6B.De La Cruz, LF	0-5	0	0	0
7J.Sanchez, RF	1-2	2	0	0
7J.Berti, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Berti, LF	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Berti, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Stallings, C	1-4	1	1	2
9J.Wendle, SS	1-4	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Gonsolin, P	97	3.1	2	10
RG.Varland, P	31	1.2	2	1
LV.Gonzalez, P	18	2	2	0
LA.Vesia, P	10	1	2	0
RM.Rojas, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Betts, 2B	1-2	1	1	1
1C.Taylor, LF	1-3	0	0	0
2F.Freeman, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
2K.Hernandez, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
3W.Smith, C	2-5	0	0	0
4M.Muncy, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
5J.Martinez, DH	1-3	0	0	0
5A.Barnes, PH	1-1	0	0	0
5A.Barnes, 2B	1-1	0	0	0
6D.Peralta, LF	1-4	0	0	0
6D.Peralta, RF	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Heyward, RF	1-1	0	0	0
7A.Rosario, PH	0-3	0	0	0
7A.Rosario, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7A.Rosario, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Outman, CF	1-3	1	1	1
9M.Rojas, SS	0-3	0	0	0