Marlins vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - June 13, 2024

Marlins at Mets

11:10 pm • BSFL

Miami Marlins

37-45

2 - 3

New York Mets

48-37

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			3.91	11-7
R.Munoz			6.53	2-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 37-45	+1.5-115	o8.5-120	+174
Mets 48-37	-1.5-105	u8.5+100	-209

Thursday 11:10 p.m.

June 13, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM -200

L.Severino u5.5 Ks-130

P.Alonso o0.5 HR+370

0.27u

L.Severino u5.5 Ks-118

Under in 8/12, including 5/7 at home. Only 3 K (3 whiffs) in 6.2 IP vs MIA previously. The Marlins have been a bit worse on the K front recently, but still with a below average CSW% over the L2 weeks (27.1%).

NYM -1.5+105

NYM -174 (F5)

0.5u

Flat to -180

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Featured Insight
The Mets have scored 5.5 runs per game on the road this season -- highest in MLB (29 games). The Marlins have allowed 5.8 runs per game at home this season -- highest in MLB (37 games).

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jun 13, 2024 UTC

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The Mets are just 22-6 (.786) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .940.

Emmanuel Rivera is slugging just .255 this season -- 13th worst among hitters with at least 97 total PA's-- third Percentile. Luis Severino has allowed a SLG of just .269 vs right-handed batters this season -- sixth best among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Luis Severino has allowed a slugging percentage of just .298 (78 Total Bases / 262 ABs) this season -- 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 -- 92nd Percentile.

Roddery Munoz has allowed a slugging percentage of .800 (12 Total Bases / 15 ABs) this month (1 games) -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .416 -- first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (14/102) against Luis Severino this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 20-24 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Mets' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	42-43	22-19	20-24	28-32	14-11
Marlins	47-35	20-21	27-14	3-7	43-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	36-48-1	17-23-1	19-25	30-29-1	6-19
Marlins	42-40	18-23	24-17	5-5	36-34

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	48-37	29-12	19-25	39-21	9-16
Marlins	37-45	17-24	20-21	5-5	32-38

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 12th	MIA	W 10-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -160
Jun 11th	MIA	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIA -155
Jun 9th	@PHI	W 6-5	+1.5 W	U 11.5	NYM +120
Jun 8th	PHI	L 2-7	+1.5 L	U 9.5	PHI +140
Jun 5th	@WSH	W 9-1	-1.5 W	O 9.5	NYM -142

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Max Meyer
SP
Meyer is out for season with hip
Out for Season

Sean Manaea
SP
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Griffin Canning
SP
Canning is out with achilles
Out
Jose Siri
CF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Kodai Senga
SP
Senga is out with hamstring
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Munoz, P	81	6	5	0
RA.Bender, P	19	0.2	0	1
RC.Faucher, P	18	1.1	1	0
LT.Scott, P	15	0.1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	2-4	1	1	1
2B.De La Cruz, DH	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Bell, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3E.Rivera, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Sanchez, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Burger, 3B	1-3	1	1	1
5J.Burger, 1B	1-3	1	1	1
6N.Gordon, LF	1-3	0	0	0
7T.Anderson, SS	2-4	0	0	0
8O.Lopez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
9C.Bethancourt, C	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	103	6	2	1
RD.Smith, P	16	1	3	1
RS.Reid-Foley, P	8	1	1	0
RE.Diaz, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-2	1	0	0
2B.Nimmo, LF	0-3	1	0	0
3J.Martinez, DH	2-4	1	1	2
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
5S.Marte, RF	0-2	0	0	0
6M.Vientos, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7L.Torrens, C	0-2	0	0	0
7D.Stewart, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7F.Alvarez, C	0-0	0	0	0
8J.McNeil, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9H.Bader, CF	1-3	0	0	0