Marlins vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - June 13, 2024

Marlins at Mets

11:10 pm • BSFL

Miami Marlins

0-0

2 - 3

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			3.91	11-7
R.Munoz			6.53	2-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-115	o8.5-120	+174
Mets 7-6	-1.5-105	u8.5+100	-209

Thursday 11:10 p.m.

June 13, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

L.Severino u5.5 Ks-130

P.Alonso o0.5 HR+370

0.27u

L.Severino u5.5 Ks-118

Under in 8/12, including 5/7 at home. Only 3 K (3 whiffs) in 6.2 IP vs MIA previously. The Marlins have been a bit worse on the K front recently, but still with a below average CSW% over the L2 weeks (27.1%).

NYM -174 (F5)

0.5u

Flat to -180

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Featured Insight
The Mets have scored 5.5 runs per game on the road this season -- highest in MLB (29 games). The Marlins have allowed 5.8 runs per game at home this season -- highest in MLB (37 games).

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jun 13, 2024 UTC

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The Mets are just 22-6 (.786) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .940.

Emmanuel Rivera is slugging just .255 this season -- 13th worst among hitters with at least 97 total PA's-- third Percentile. Luis Severino has allowed a SLG of just .269 vs right-handed batters this season -- sixth best among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Luis Severino has allowed a slugging percentage of just .298 (78 Total Bases / 262 ABs) this season -- 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 -- 92nd Percentile.

Roddery Munoz has allowed a slugging percentage of .800 (12 Total Bases / 15 ABs) this month (1 games) -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .416 -- first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (14/102) against Luis Severino this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 12th	MIA	W 10-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -160
Jun 11th	MIA	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIA -155
Jun 9th	@PHI	W 6-5	+1.5 W	U 11.5	NYM +120
Jun 8th	PHI	L 2-7	+1.5 L	U 9.5	PHI +140
Jun 5th	@WSH	W 9-1	-1.5 W	O 9.5	NYM -142

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Munoz, P	81	6	5	0
RA.Bender, P	19	0.2	0	1
RC.Faucher, P	18	1.1	1	0
LT.Scott, P	15	0.1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	2-4	1	1	1
2B.De La Cruz, DH	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Bell, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3E.Rivera, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Sanchez, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Burger, 3B	1-3	1	1	1
5J.Burger, 1B	1-3	1	1	1
6N.Gordon, LF	1-3	0	0	0
7T.Anderson, SS	2-4	0	0	0
8O.Lopez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
9C.Bethancourt, C	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	103	6	2	1
RD.Smith, P	16	1	3	1
RS.Reid-Foley, P	8	1	1	0
RE.Diaz, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-2	1	0	0
2B.Nimmo, LF	0-3	1	0	0
3J.Martinez, DH	2-4	1	1	2
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
5S.Marte, RF	0-2	0	0	0
6M.Vientos, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7L.Torrens, C	0-2	0	0	0
7D.Stewart, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7F.Alvarez, C	0-0	0	0	0
8J.McNeil, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9H.Bader, CF	1-3	0	0	0