Marlins vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - June 11, 2024

Marlins at Mets

11:10 pm • BSFL

Miami Marlins

0-0

4 - 2

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Megill			4.04	4-5
J.Luzardo			5.00	3-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-166	o7.5-105	+130
Mets 7-6	-1.5+140	u7.5-115	-155

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

June 11, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

T.Megill o17.5 Outs-102

MIA +123

0.92u

MIA +125

3.75u

NYM -135 (F5)

0.5u

Flat to -140

NYM -132

0.5u

Flat to -135

Over 7.5+100

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Featured Insight
The Mets have scored 5.5 runs per game on the road this season -- highest in MLB (29 games). The Marlins have allowed 5.8 runs per game at home this season -- highest in MLB (37 games).

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The Mets are just 22-6 (.786) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .940.

The Mets are just 17-10 (.630) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .889.

Starling Marte is batting .414 over the last two weeks -- third best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting .361 (13-for-36) against Jesus Luzardo over the last two weeks -- fourth worst among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP-- fifth Percentile.

Brandon Nimmo is batting .348 on breaking pitches from LHP since last season -- sixth best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Jesus Luzardo has thrown his slider 29% of the time since last season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 82nd Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OPS of .785 (369 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .686 -- sixth Percentile.

Tylor Megill has allowed an OBP of .445 (137 PA's) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .327 -- 0 Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .464 (154 Total Bases / 332 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season -- tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .394 -- 13th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 9th	@PHI	W 6-5	+1.5 W	U 11.5	NYM +120
Jun 8th	PHI	L 2-7	+1.5 L	U 9.5	PHI +140
Jun 5th	@WSH	W 9-1	-1.5 W	O 9.5	NYM -142
Jun 4th	@WSH	W 6-3	-1.5 W	U 9	NYM -142
Jun 3rd	@WSH	W 8-7	-1.5 L	O 8	NYM -105

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	91	5.2	4	2
RA.Bender, P	14	0.2	0	0
LA.Nardi, P	13	0.2	1	0
LT.Scott, P	31	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	0-3	1	0
2B.De La Cruz, DH	1-3	0	1
3J.Bell, 1B	0-3	0	0
3E.Rivera, 3B	0-0	0	0
4J.Burger, 3B	0-4	0	0
4J.Burger, 1B	0-4	0	0
5J.Sanchez, RF	1-4	1	0
6O.Lopez, 2B	1-4	1	0
7N.Gordon, LF	0-3	0	1
8T.Anderson, SS	2-4	1	1
9N.Fortes, C	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Megill, P	87	4.2	8	2
LD.Young, P	15	1	1	0
RS.Reid-Foley, P	20	1.1	1	0
RD.Smith, P	9	1	2	0
RA.Ottavino, P	19	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-4	0	0
2P.Alonso, 1B	0-4	0	0
3B.Nimmo, LF	0-4	0	0
4J.Martinez, DH	0-2	1	0
5S.Marte, RF	2-4	1	0
6M.Vientos, 3B	1-4	0	2
7H.Bader, CF	0-2	0	0
7D.Stewart, PH	0-0	0	0
7T.Taylor, PR	0-1	0	0
7T.Taylor, CF	0-1	0	0
8F.Alvarez, C	0-3	0	0
9J.Iglesias, 2B	1-1	0	0
9J.McNeil, PH	0-1	0	0
9J.McNeil, 2B	0-1	0	0