Marlins vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - April 12, 2023

Marlins at Phillies

8:05 pm • MLB Network

Miami Marlins

0-0

3 - 2

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Wheeler			3.61	13-6
E.Cabrera			4.24	7-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-125	o8.5-122	+172
Phillies 1-3	-1.5+105	u8.5+100	-210

Wednesday 8:05 p.m.

April 12, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

PHI -130 (Live)

Z.Wheeler u6.5 Ks-150

Wheeler has only been able to generate a 18% chase rate in his first two starts. It’s going to be tough for him to rack up Ks if that continues. He’s also been unlucky with a .407 BABIP allowed on the season, so expect his misleading 11.2 K/9 to drop as more balls hit in play will turn into outs going forward. The sneaky value being offered on this prop is from the 3/5/6 Marlins hitters being difficult Ks. Luis Arraez is one of the toughest Ks in baseball and I’m only projecting him with a 10%(!) chance of a K in his first PA. Projecting Wheeler to face ~23.5 hitters which means he will likely be pulled sometime during the 3rd time through the difficult 3-6 part of the order. It’s why I’m getting a very high 36% chance he finishes with 5-6 Ks and a fair price of -220 he stays under 6.5

PHI -0.5 (F5)-135

$25.00

MIA +167

0.84u

Over 8.5-110

0.55u

E.Cabrera o5.5 Ks+110

0.5u

PHI -0.5 (F5)-120

0.83u

Over 7.5-120

0.6u

Bet to 8 (-112)

MIA +165 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +160

MIA +170

0.85u

Bet to +160

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 11th	MIA	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 8	MIA -145
Apr 10th	MIA	W 15-3	+1.5 W	O 8	PHI +115
Apr 9th	CIN	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CIN -212
Apr 8th	CIN	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8	PHI -149
Apr 7th	CIN	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	PHI -193

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Cabrera, P	82	5	4	2
LT.Scott, P	11	1	1	0
LA.Nardi, P	14	1	3	0
RD.Floro, P	15	1	2	0
LA.Puk, P	23	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Soler, DH	2-4	1	1	1
2N.Fortes, PR	0-0	1	0	0
2N.Fortes, DH	0-0	1	0	0
3L.Arraez, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
4B.De La Cruz, LF	3-5	0	0	2
5Y.Gurriel, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
6J. Segura, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Sanchez, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7G.Hampson, PH	0-2	0	0	0
7G.Hampson, RF	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Stallings, C	1-3	0	0	0
9J.Berti, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Wheeler, P	95	6	6	1
LJ.Alvarado, P	22	1.1	2	1
RS.Dominguez, P	9	0.2	0	0
LG.Soto, P	20	1.1	3	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	6	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Stott, 2B	2-5	0	1
2T.Turner, SS	2-5	0	0
3K.Schwarber, DH	0-3	0	0
4N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	1	0
5J.Realmuto, C	0-4	0	0
6B.Marsh, CF	1-4	0	1
7A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	0	0
7A.Bohm, 1B	1-4	0	0
8J.Cave, LF	0-2	0	0
8E.Sosa, PH	0-2	0	0
8E.Sosa, 3B	0-2	0	0
9K.Clemens, 1B	1-2	1	0
9J. Harrison, PH	0-1	0	0
9C.Pache, LF	0-1	0	0