Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 9, 2024

Orioles at Red Sox

6:10 pm • NESN

Baltimore Orioles

8-10

7 - 1

Boston Red Sox

10-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Bello			4.49	14-8
C.Burnes			2.92	15-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 8-10	-1.5+130	o8-117	-130
Red Sox 10-7	+1.5-155	u8-102	+110

Tuesday 6:10 p.m.

April 09, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

BAL -125

$3.20

BAL -135 (F5)

0.41u

BAL -135

BAL -130

0.77u

Over 8-105

0.53u

Bet to -110

BOS +106

$50.00

BOS +118

B.Bello u4.5 Ks+120

0.6u

Ballpark pal odds at -115 projecting 4.43 Ks and +EV play at 6.47% EV at -112 devig odds showing value

BAL -140

0.71u

... RLM short fav ML Overall: 284-161-0,64% (ROI:14%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

Under 8.5-115

0.87u

BOS +115

0.5u

Bet365 12:04 am.

BOS +119

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to +114

Featured Insight
The Orioles batted .250 versus relief pitchers last season -- tied for eighth best in MLB. Opponents batted .258 (656-for-2,539) against Red Sox RPs last season -- fifth worst in MLB.

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The Orioles are 24-26 (.480) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .308.

The Orioles are 16-6 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .494.

The Red Sox are just 17-27 (.386) after a home loss since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.

The Red Sox are just 1-76 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Connor Wong struck out in 33% of PA's last season -- 15th highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- fourth Percentile. Craig Kimbrel had a strikeout rate of 34% last season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Brayan Bello has located his fastballs down 59% of the time (43/73) this season -- highest among in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 59% of the time (157/264) since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% -- 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes threw fastballs down 63% of the time (164/262) in the 2023 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 63% (109/173) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts in the 2023 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 7th	@LAA	W 12-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -119
Apr 7th	@LAA	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8	LAA +102
Apr 6th	@LAA	W 8-6	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -115
Apr 3rd	@ATH	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 7.5	BOS -170
Apr 3rd	@ATH	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8.5	BOS -148

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable

Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out
Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Burnes, P	90	7	6	1
LD.Coulombe, P	16	1	3	0
RJ.Webb, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	2-5	2	0
2A.Rutschman, C	2-5	1	1
3A.Santander, RF	1-5	0	1
3A.Hays, PR	0-0	0	0
3A.Hays, RF	0-0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, DH	1-3	1	0
5R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-5	1	0
6C.Mullins, CF	2-4	2	1
7C.Cowser, LF	2-4	0	4
8R.Urias, 3B	1-5	0	0
9T. Kemp, 2B	0-3	0	0
9J.Mateo, 2B	1-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	89	5.1	3	1
LJ.Rodriguez, P	14	1	1	0
RJ.Winckowski, P	65	2.2	4	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3T.O'Neill, RF	1-4	1	1	1
4T.Casas, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
5M.Yoshida, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6C.Rafaela, CF	0-3	0	0	0
7E.Valdez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	0-1	0	0	0
8R.Gonzalez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8R.Gonzalez, SS	0-1	0	0	0
9D.Hamilton, SS	0-2	0	0	0
9C.Wong, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9C.Wong, C	0-1	0	0	0