Orioles vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2024

Orioles at Reds

10:10 pm • MASN

Baltimore Orioles

8-10

3 - 0

Cincinnati Reds

9-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Greene			2.75	9-5
C.Irvin			4.86	6-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 8-10	-1.5+154	o9-110	-101
Reds 9-9	+1.5-185	u9-110	-118

Friday 10:10 p.m.

May 03, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

G.Henderson o1.5 Total Bases-110

BAL +100

CIN -118

1.18u

CIN -140 (F5)

1.4u

H.Greene u7.5 Ks-145

0.5u

E.De La Cruz o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

C.Irvin u4.5 Ks+100

Ballpark pal projects 3.76 Ks and +ev bet with devig odds of -122 giving value to this number

H.Greene u7.5 Ks-146

0.86u

CIN +100 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -105

Featured Insight
Orioles RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% vs left-handed batters since last season -- fourth highest in MLB. Reds left-handed hitters have struck out 26% against RHP since last season -- fifth highest in MLB.

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The Reds are 22-8 (.733) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

Jeimer Candelario has struck out in 34% of PA's this season -- eighth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has a strikeout rate of 36% this season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Adley Rutschman is batting just .201 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- tied for 11th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Hunter Greene has thrown his slider 40% of the time since the 2022 season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 141 total SL-- 97th Percentile.

71% of Hunter Greene's strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (29/200) against Cole Irvin this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (23/40) against Cole Irvin over the last 14 days -- 3rd highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% -- 95th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 1st	@SD	L 2-6	+1.5 L	O 7.5	SD +124
May 1st	@SD	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 7	SD +142
Apr 30th	@SD	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 8	CIN -105
Apr 28th	@TEX	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9	TEX +114
Apr 27th	@TEX	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CIN +100

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out
Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LC.Irvin, P	72	6.1	4
RY.Cano, P	3	0.2	0
LD.Coulombe, P	15	1	1
RC.Kimbrel, P	16	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	2-4	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	1-4	1	0	1
3R.O'Hearn, DH	2-5	1	1	2
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	2-5	0	0	0
5A.Santander, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6C.Mullins, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Westburg, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8H.Kjerstad, LF	1-2	0	0	0
8R.McKenna, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8R.McKenna, LF	0-0	0	0	0
9J.Mateo, 2B	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Greene, P	109	5.2	5	0
RF.Cruz, P	6	0.1	1	0
RE.Pagan, P	26	0.2	0	3
LJ.Wilson, P	3	0.1	1	0
RB.Farmer, P	24	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	2-4	0	0	0
3S.Steer, LF	0-3	0	0	0
4T.Stephenson, C	0-3	0	0	0
5C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Candelario, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7S.Espinal, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Fraley, RF	0-2	0	0	0
8L.Maile, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8N.Martini, RF	0-0	0	0	0
9S.Fairchild, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9W.Benson, PH	0-1	0	0	0