Orioles vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 4, 2025

Orioles at Royals

11:40 pm • FDSKC
2 - 8
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Seth Lugo logoS.LugoKansas City Royals logo3.453-5
Dean Kremer logoD.KremerBaltimore Orioles logo4.705-5

Orioles at Royals Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles
22-36
+1.5
-1.5+150
o7.5-113
-110
Royals
31-29
u8
+1.5-183
u7.5-107
-108
location pinFriday 11:40 p.m.
April 04, 2025
Kauffman StadiumKansas City
Orioles vs. Royals Expert Picks
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 142-165-1 (-31.7u)
Under 7.5-105
1.05u
Capper Central
Capper Central
Last 30d: 118-87-1 (+17.8u)
Under 8-129
1.29u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 78-72-2 (-5.9u)
Over 7.5-122
0.82u
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 41-64-0 (-22.3u)
J.Westburg o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-125
1u
J.India o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110
1u
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 75-70-0 (+3.5u)
Under 8-110
1u
Royals bats ice cold – 2 or fewer runs in 3 of last 4. 14 Ks last game. Kauffman Stadium kills power – ranks 27th in HR factor. Starters both allow low barrel rates, Lugo 7.7%, Kremer 6.7%. Kremer’s .222 xBA, .284 xwOBA show strong contact control. KC lineup weak vs him – Witt 3-for-8, others quiet. Lugo gives up contact (.311 xBA) but keeps it soft – high flare rate, low hard hit%. Baltimore lineup cooled after fast start. KC ranks 23rd in runs/game, BAL only 3.5 RPG last 4. Kremer’s 6-pitch mix messes with timing. Lugo throws 30% breaking offspeed – limits damage.
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 35-47-0 (+6.1u)
S.Lugo o4.5 Ks-126
1u
Lugo's strikeout rate has increased as he has thrown more changeups over his past 18 starts. Now at home against a team with a slightly above average strikeout rate against righties.
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 136-134-7 (+0.5u)
BAL +110
0.5u
Bet to +108

Orioles vs. Royals Previews & Analysis

  • 3 MLB Pitchers Props to Bet Tonight article feature image

    3 MLB Pitchers Props to Bet Tonight

    Doug Ziefel
    Apr 4, 2025 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Orioles vs. Royals Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Orioles

Public

60%

Bets%

40%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Royals
34-2717-1517-1211-1322-14
Orioles
20-398-2112-188-2412-15

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Royals
22-38-112-2010-18-110-1412-23-1
Orioles
27-29-316-11-211-18-116-14-211-15-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Royals
32-2919-1313-1613-1118-18
Orioles
23-3612-1711-1912-2011-16

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Apr 2nd@MILL 2-3-1.5 LU 7.5MIL +105
Apr 1st@MILL 0-5+1.5 LU 8.5MIL +106
Mar 31st@MILW 11-1-1.5 WO 8.5KC -102
Mar 30thCLEL 2-6+1.5 LO 7CLE -115
Mar 29thCLEW 4-3+1.5 WU 8.5KC -118

Royals vs. Orioles Injury Updates

Royals Injuries

  • Seth Lugo
    SP

    Lugo is out with finger

    Out

  • Cole Ragans
    SP

    Ragans is out with groin

    Out

  • Kyle Wright
    SP

    Wright is out with shoulder

    Out

Orioles Injuries

  • Albert Suarez
    RP

    Suarez is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Trevor Rogers
    SP

    Rogers is out with knee

    Out

  • Kyle Bradish
    SP

    Bradish is out with elbow

    Out

  • Grayson Rodriguez
    SP

    Rodriguez is out with elbow

    Out

  • Tyler Wells
    SP

    Wells is out with elbow

    Out

Orioles vs. Royals Box Score
Orioles Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Dean Kremer logoRD.Kremer, P884.112
Gregory Soto logoLG.Soto, P191.210
Seranthony Dominguez logoRS.Dominguez, P20120
Cionel Perez logoLC.Perez, P37115
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Gunnar Henderson logo1G.Henderson, SS1-4000
Adley Rutschman logo2A.Rutschman, C1-4000
Jordan Westburg logo3J.Westburg, 3B0-4000
Cedric Mullins logo4C.Mullins, CF1-3000
Ryan O'Hearn logo5R.O'Hearn, DH0-3100
Tyler O'Neill logo6T.O'Neill, RF1-4000
Heston Kjerstad logo7H.Kjerstad, LF2-3101
Ryan Mountcastle logo8R.Mountcastle, 1B0-3000
Jackson Holliday logo9J.Holliday, 2B0-3000
Royals Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Seth Lugo logoRS.Lugo, P85621
Hunter Harvey logoRH.Harvey, P19120
Lucas Erceg logoRL.Erceg, P8100
Chris Stratton logoRC.Stratton, P20110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jonathan India logo1J.India, LF0-3000
Tyler Tolbert logo1T.Tolbert, PR0-1000
Tyler Tolbert logo1T.Tolbert, RF0-1000
Bobby Witt logo2B.Witt, SS1-4200
Vinnie Pasquantino logo3V.Pasquantino, 1B2-5003
Salvador Perez logo4S.Perez, C2-5101
Michael Massey logo5M.Massey, 2B1-4000
Cavan Biggio logo6C.Biggio, DH1-2100
Mark Canha logo6M.Canha, PH1-2100
Mark Canha logo6M.Canha, DH1-2100
Maikel Garcia logo7M.Garcia, 3B2-4103
MJ Melendez logo8M.Melendez, RF0-3100
MJ Melendez logo8M.Melendez, LF0-3100
Kyle Isbel logo9K.Isbel, CF1-4101

Orioles vs. Royals Odds Comparison

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Orioles at Royals Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Orioles
22-36
o3.5-130
u3.5+101
Royals
31-29
o3.5-116
u3.5-111