Padres vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - April 4, 2025

Padres at Cubs

6:20 pm • SDPA

San Diego Padres

1-2

1 - 3

Chicago Cubs

4-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Imanaga			3.73	9-8
R.Vasquez			3.84	6-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 1-2	+1.5	+1.5-163	o7-108	+144
Cubs 4-4	u6.5	-1.5+137	u7-112	-171

Friday 6:20 p.m.

April 04, 2025

Wrigley FieldChicago

SD +1.5 (Live)+175

R.Vasquez u155 Outs (Live)-115

0.43u

Supposed to be 15.5. Will have it graded correctly if loses. Pitching system: Faded Vazquez. Ticket tweeted and on pikkit

R.Vasquez u3.5 Ks+120

0.37u

1.88% ev

CHC -0.5 (F5)-115

1.5u

R.Vasquez u3.5 Ks+120

1.2u

SD +143

CHC -0.5 (F5)-120

Under 3.5 (F5)-105

1.05u

CHC -160

1.88u

M.Busch u0.5 Hits+120

1.2u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-146

0.5u

F.Tatis o1.5 Total Bases+130

$1.30

R.Vasquez u2.5 BB-150

0.75u

Vasquez is coming off a 4-walk performance but I’m viewing this as a bounce-back spot. He made huge leaps last year in control, finishing with a 6.7% BB% which meant a 2.6 BB/9 ratio. Most season-long projection systems have Vazquez closer to a 3.2 BB/9 pitcher this season, which means if he pitched 6 innings you’d expect around 2.2 walks. This isn’t a great matchup as the Cubs have been hot and were a top-10 team in walk rate last season, but I have this projected closer to 2.2 walks and am trusting the longer sample of him as a pitcher.

Under 6.5+110

0.28u

Bet to -110; bigger edge at plus money compared to 7 (-125)

Under 7-125

0.25u

Bet to -130; split with Under 6.5 (bigger edge on plus than juiced 7)

CHC -158

0.47u

Tonight's MLB Predictions, Props, Best Bets
Action Network Staff•
Apr 4, 2025 UTC
San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs Predictions, Picks, Props, Odds -- 4/4
Action Network Staff•
Apr 4, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 39-42 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	78-84	39-42	39-42	55-60	22-24
Padres	87-75	45-36	42-39	44-49	42-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	74-78-10	40-36-5	34-42-5	52-56-7	22-21-3
Padres	69-89-4	34-46-1	35-43-3	46-45-2	23-43-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	92-70	50-31	42-39	73-42	18-28
Padres	90-72	52-29	38-43	56-37	33-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 2nd	@ATH	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	CHC +100
Apr 2nd	@ATH	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 8	CHC -135
Apr 1st	@ATH	W 18-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	CHC -146
Mar 30th	@ARI	L 6-10	-1.5 L	O 9	ARI -104
Mar 30th	@ARI	W 4-3	-	U 9	CHC +102

Justin Steele
P
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Vasquez, P	82	4.2	2	2
LY.Matsui, P	19	0.2	1	0
RA.Jacob, P	26	1.2	1	0
LW.Peralta, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	2-4	0	0	0
2L.Arraez, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Machado, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4X.Bogaerts, SS	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Merrill, CF	2-4	0	0	0
6Y.Gurriel, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6G.Sheets, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Cronenworth, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
8B.Lockridge, LF	0-2	0	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	1-2	1	1	1
9E.Diaz, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9E.Diaz, C	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Imanaga, P	91	7.1	4	1
RP.Hodge, P	15	0.2	1	0
RR.Pressly, P	33	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1I.Happ, LF	2-4	2	0
2K.Tucker, RF	0-2	1	0
3S.Suzuki, DH	0-3	0	0
4M.Busch, 1B	0-1	0	0
4J.Turner, PH	1-1	0	1
4J.Turner, 1B	1-1	0	1
5D.Swanson, SS	0-3	0	0
6N.Hoerner, 2B	0-3	0	1
7P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-4	0	0
8M.Shaw, 3B	0-3	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	0-4	0	0