Padres vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - April 4, 2025

Padres at Cubs

6:20 pm • SDPA

San Diego Padres

36-26

1 - 3

Chicago Cubs

39-24

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Imanaga			2.82	3-2
R.Vasquez			3.70	3-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 36-26	+1.5	+1.5-163	o7-108	+144
Cubs 39-24	u6.5	-1.5+137	u7-112	-171

Friday 6:20 p.m.

April 04, 2025

Wrigley FieldChicago

SD +1.5 (Live)+175

R.Vasquez u155 Outs (Live)-115

0.43u

Supposed to be 15.5. Will have it graded correctly if loses. Pitching system: Faded Vazquez. Ticket tweeted and on pikkit

R.Vasquez u3.5 Ks+120

0.37u

1.88% ev

R.Vasquez u3.5 Ks+120

1.2u

SD +143

CHC -0.5 (F5)-120

Under 3.5 (F5)-105

1.05u

CHC -160

1.88u

M.Busch u0.5 Hits+120

1.2u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-146

0.5u

Under 6.5+105

1.05u

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R.Vasquez u2.5 BB-150

0.75u

Vasquez is coming off a 4-walk performance but I’m viewing this as a bounce-back spot. He made huge leaps last year in control, finishing with a 6.7% BB% which meant a 2.6 BB/9 ratio. Most season-long projection systems have Vazquez closer to a 3.2 BB/9 pitcher this season, which means if he pitched 6 innings you’d expect around 2.2 walks. This isn’t a great matchup as the Cubs have been hot and were a top-10 team in walk rate last season, but I have this projected closer to 2.2 walks and am trusting the longer sample of him as a pitcher.

Under 7-125

0.25u

Bet to -130; split with Under 6.5 (bigger edge on plus than juiced 7)

Under 6.5+110

0.28u

Bet to -110; bigger edge at plus money compared to 7 (-125)

CHC -158

0.47u

Tonight's MLB Predictions, Props, Best Bets
Action Network Staff•
Apr 4, 2025 UTC
San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs Predictions, Picks, Props, Odds -- 4/4
Action Network Staff•
Apr 4, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 17-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Cubs' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	33-30	16-15	17-15	24-19	9-11
Padres	33-29	18-12	15-17	17-18	16-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	34-25-4	17-12-2	17-13-2	22-18-3	12-7-1
Padres	25-35-2	11-18-1	14-17-1	17-17-1	8-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	39-24	20-11	19-13	30-13	9-11
Padres	36-26	20-10	16-16	21-14	15-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 2nd	@ATH	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	CHC +100
Apr 2nd	@ATH	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 8	CHC -135
Apr 1st	@ATH	W 18-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	CHC -146
Mar 30th	@ARI	L 6-10	-1.5 L	O 9	ARI -104
Mar 30th	@ARI	W 4-3	-	U 9	CHC +102

Justin Steele
P
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yu Darvish
P
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
Michael King
P
Michael King (shoulder) has been scratched Saturday. Sean Reynolds will start for the Padres.
Out
Matt Waldron
P
Waldron is out with hamstring
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Vasquez, P	82	4.2	2	2
LY.Matsui, P	19	0.2	1	0
RA.Jacob, P	26	1.2	1	0
LW.Peralta, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	2-4	0	0	0
2L.Arraez, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Machado, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4X.Bogaerts, SS	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Merrill, CF	2-4	0	0	0
6Y.Gurriel, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6G.Sheets, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Cronenworth, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
8B.Lockridge, LF	0-2	0	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	1-2	1	1	1
9E.Diaz, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9E.Diaz, C	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Imanaga, P	91	7.1	4	1
RP.Hodge, P	15	0.2	1	0
RR.Pressly, P	33	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1I.Happ, LF	2-4	2	0
2K.Tucker, RF	0-2	1	0
3S.Suzuki, DH	0-3	0	0
4M.Busch, 1B	0-1	0	0
4J.Turner, PH	1-1	0	1
4J.Turner, 1B	1-1	0	1
5D.Swanson, SS	0-3	0	0
6N.Hoerner, 2B	0-3	0	1
7P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-4	0	0
8M.Shaw, 3B	0-3	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	0-4	0	0