Phillies vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - April 9, 2025

Phillies at Braves

11:15 pm • NBCS-PH+
4 - 3
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Grant Holmes logoG.HolmesAtlanta Braves logo3.993-4
Taijuan Walker logoT.WalkerPhiladelphia Phillies logo3.452-4

Phillies at Braves Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies
37-26
+1
+1.5-165
o8.5-122
+121
Braves
27-35
u9
-1.5+138
u8.5+101
-143
location pinWednesday 11:15 p.m.
April 09, 2025
Truist ParkAtlanta
Phillies vs. Braves Expert Picks
Sir Lockselot
Sir Lockselot
Last 30d: 38-51-0 (+17.4u)
PHI +122
2.44u
🔑 Phillies ML +122 (FanDuel) 2u Call me a homer but when the Phils are this big of dogs, I’m riding. They are the better team. Walker looked great in his 1st start and the bats should be able to get to Holmes.
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 26-126-4 (-0.0u)
M.Ozuna o0.5 HR+450
0.5u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 33-27-0 (+7.4u)
PHI +122
1.22u
Blood oath
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 136-159-3 (-4.7u)
G.Holmes o4.5 Ks-150
0.58u
2.91% ev
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 77-74-0 (+2.5u)
Under 8.5+105
1.05u
Taijuan Walker: 43.8% GB rate, keeps barrels in check. Had six scoreless innings in his recent outing. Grant Holmes even stingier – 46.2% GB, low fly ball rate. Braves’ pen sneaky solid, limits damage late. Run prevention sets the tone. Philly riding hot start but scoring's come in bursts – 3.22 team ERA tells the real story. Braves just getting going, lineup still settling in. Both clubs hit under .160 in last meeting (3-2 final). This matchup's rhythm favors a clean, low-scoring outing. Holmes' Zone% (52.0) and ZoneSw% (70.6) show he challenges hitters but avoids loud contact. Philly ranks mid-pack in Hard Hit%. Braves' defense improving behind the arms. https://x.com/PicksOffice/status/1910015028259934316
ATL -125
1u
Philly can’t figure out Holmes – 2.45 ERA vs them lifetime, 0.0 Weak% on 13 BBE this season. Walker got torched by ATL last time out – 6 runs in 5.1 IP. Career 5.40 ERA vs Braves. Walker’s command slipping – 39.2% Zone%, low 37.5% FB%, heavy contact risk. Holmes showing better zone control – 52% Zone%, 70.6% ZoneSw%. Braves also better xBA (.268) than their early slump suggests. Momentum shift coming – Braves still 1st in team Hard Hit% in NL. Walker vulnerable to LHBs, ATL loaded with lefty pop (Olson, Harris, Albies). Ozuna heating up – 6 RBIs, 1 HR. Ballpark favors Braves pull power bats. Philly’s pen shaky behind Walker. https://x.com/PicksOffice/status/1909999944636805592
Capper Central
Capper Central
Last 30d: 117-81-3 (+22.9u)
ATL -135
1.35u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 134-153-1 (-28.6u)
ATL -140
1.4u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 85-77-5 (+7.6u)
ATL o4.5-102
0.51u
ATL o4.5-102
1.53u
Nick Martin
Nick Martin
Last 30d: 19-30-0 (-1.4u)
Over 4.5 (F5)-120
0.5u
Royals Props
Royals Props
Last 30d: 17-22-1 (-7.3u)
M.Olson o1.5 Total Bases+120
1u
Ray  Monohan
Ray Monohan
Last 30d: 7-9-0 (-1.6u)
ATL -135
0.75u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 136-159-3 (-4.7u)
T.Walker u3.5 Ks-102
0.68u
3.33% ev
DeadPresPicks
DeadPresPicks
Last 30d: 44-49-5 (-6.1u)
ATL -126
0.5u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 136-159-3 (-4.7u)
J.Kelenic o0.5 HR+800
0.24u
9.73% ev
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 137-133-6 (+2.2u)
ATL -130 (F5)
0.33u
Small to -135
ATL -115
0.58u
Bet to -130

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Phillies vs. Braves Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Phillies

Public

61%

Bets%

39%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Braves
26-3614-1712-1918-298-7
Phillies
31-3214-1717-1525-276-5

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Braves
24-33-59-19-315-14-219-25-35-8-2
Phillies
28-33-216-1512-18-224-26-24-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Braves
27-3517-1410-2123-244-11
Phillies
37-2619-1218-1432-205-6

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Apr 8thPHIW 7-5+1.5 WO 7ATL -117
Apr 5thMIAL 0-4-1.5 LU 9MIA -256
Apr 4thMIAW 10-0-1.5 WO 7.5ATL -245
Apr 3rd@LADL 5-6+1.5 WO 8LAD +190
Apr 2nd@LADL 1-3+1.5 LU 7.5LAD +110

Braves vs. Phillies Injury Updates

Braves Injuries

  • Joe Jimenez
    P

    Jimenez is out with knee

    Out

  • Austin Cox
    P

    Cox is out with knee

    Out

  • Nacho Alvarez
    IF

    Alvarez is out with wrist

    Out

Phillies Injuries

    Phillies vs. Braves Box Score
    Phillies Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Taijuan Walker logoRT.Walker, P944.250
    Jose Ruiz logoRJ.Ruiz, P241.102
    Joe Ross logoRJ.Ross, P171.201
    Jose Alvarado logoLJ.Alvarado, P301.120
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Kyle Schwarber logo1K.Schwarber, DH0-4000
    Trea Turner logo2T.Turner, SS2-4211
    Bryce Harper logo3B.Harper, 1B1-3112
    Alec Bohm logo4A.Bohm, 3B0-5000
    Max Kepler logo5M.Kepler, LF2-4100
    Nick Castellanos logo6N.Castellanos, RF1-4000
    J.T. Realmuto logo7J.Realmuto, C1-3000
    Bryson Stott logo8B.Stott, 2B2-4001
    Brandon Marsh logo9B.Marsh, CF0-4000
    Braves Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Grant Holmes logoRG.Holmes, P104460
    Aaron Bummer logoLA.Bummer, P151.121
    Pierce Johnson logoRP.Johnson, P200.200
    Dylan Lee logoLD.Lee, P23122
    Daysbel Hernandez logoRD.Hernandez, P23110
    Raisel Iglesias logoRR.Iglesias, P13131
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Michael Harris logo1M.Harris, CF0-4001
    Ozzie Albies logo2O.Albies, 2B1-5000
    Marcell Ozuna logo3M.Ozuna, DH2-4000
    Stuart Fairchild logo3S.Fairchild, PR0-0000
    Matt Olson logo4M.Olson, 1B0-3000
    Austin Riley logo5A.Riley, 3B2-5111
    Sean Murphy logo6S.Murphy, C1-3100
    Bryan De La Cruz logo7B.De La Cruz, LF2-4000
    Eli White logo7E.White, PR0-0000
    Eli White logo7E.White, LF0-0000
    Jarred Kelenic logo8J.Kelenic, RF0-3100
    Orlando Arcia logo9O.Arcia, SS2-4001
    Nick Allen logo9N.Allen, PR0-0000
    Nick Allen logo9N.Allen, SS0-0000

    Phillies vs. Braves Odds Comparison

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    Phillies at Braves Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Phillies
    37-26
    o3.5-138
    u3.5+108
    Braves
    27-35
    o4.5-108
    u4.5-120