Phillies vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - October 9, 2023

Phillies at Braves

10:07 pm • TBS

Philadelphia Phillies

3-1

4 - 5

Atlanta Braves

1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 3-1	+1.5-160	o8-113	+130
Braves 1-3	-1.5+130	u8-106	-158

Monday 10:07 p.m.

October 09, 2023

Truist ParkAtlanta

ATL +2.5 (Live)+108

1.08u

PHI +140

0.98u

C.Pache u0.5 Total Bases-105

0.95u

@AnthonyDabbundo

C.Pache u0.5 Total Bases-105

0.1u

Good look by @AnthonyDabbundo. Marsh platoon and likely 2 PA

Over 8-108

0.93u

Baseball goats and Rolo say it’s a go

PHI +140

@AnthonyDabbundo

C.Pache u0.5 Hits-105

0.95u

@AnthonyDabbundo

Over 7.5-128

1.02u

Alternate Line

R.Acuna Jr. o0.5 HR+400

0.3u

PHI +120 (F5)

1.2u

R.Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases-114

1.14u

ATL -148

PHI +133

Z.Wheeler u1.5 BB+100

ATL -1.5+132

0.76u

Z.Wheeler o15.5 Outs-113

It’s obviously a low line for Wheeler because it’s the playoffs and the Braves, but he’s proven to be a phenomenal playoff pitcher (over in 6/7 career playoff starts). Great numbers against the Braves, who are facing some negativity for the first time this season. Phillies up 1-0, so the leash will be a bit longer for Wheeler (not regular season long, but longer than of the series was tied). And we can always count on him to pump the zone - 65.5% strike percentage is in the top third of baseball, and the Braves swing at the third highest rate. Favorable pitching conditions in the cooler weather too.

PHI +1.5-160

0.47u

Free play for Monday

PHI +130

It’s Red October for those who don’t know

A.Bohm o1.5 Total Bases+110

Daycare boy bounces back in ATL

Z.Wheeler o14.5 Outs-161

0.31u

PHI +126 (F5)

0.63u

Bet to +125

PHI +140

0.5u

Bet to +135

Featured Insight
The Phillies have scored in at least three different innings in 54% of their games since last season -- fourth-highest in MLB. Braves have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 50% of their games since last season -- tied for ninth-highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Phillies Right Handed Hitters have struck out 24% against LHP over the last week -- seventh-highest in MLB. Braves have a strikeout rate of 25% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- third-highest in MLB.

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The Braves are 33-24 (.579) after a loss this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

36% of Alec Bohm strikeouts are looking since last season -- fourth highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 34% of Brad Hand strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.4 MPH (206 batted balls) this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2 -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	0-2	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Phillies	1-3	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 7th	PHI	L 0-3	-	-	-
Oct 1st	WSH	L 9-10	-1.5 L	O 10.5	WSH -225
Sep 30th	WSH	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9	ATL -375
Sep 29th	WSH	L 6-10	-1.5 L	O 10	WSH -264
Sep 28th	CHC	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9.5	ATL -142

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Weston Wilson
OF
Wilson is out with oblique
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Wheeler, P	92	6.1	10	2
LJ.Alvarado, P	16	1	2	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	11	0.1	0	2
LG.Soto, P	7	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-4	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	1-5	1	0	0
3A.Bohm, 3B	1-3	0	0	1
4B.Harper, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
5J.Realmuto, C	2-5	1	1	2
6N.Castellanos, RF	2-4	1	0	0
7B.Stott, 2B	1-3	0	0	1
8C.Pache, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, LF	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	95	4	3	3
RK.Yates, P	25	1	2	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	22	1	1	0
RP.Johnson, P	14	1	1	0
LA.Minter, P	15	1	0	0
RR.Iglesias, P	8	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-2	2	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-4	1	1	2
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6T.d'Arnaud, C	1-3	1	1	2
7E.Rosario, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7K.Pillar, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7K.Pillar, LF	0-1	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Harris, CF	0-3	0	0	0