Phillies vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - September 21, 2024

Phillies at Mets

8:10 pm • SNY

Philadelphia Phillies

24-17

3 - 6

New York Mets

28-15

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Manaea			3.47	12-6
R.Suarez			3.47	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 24-17	-1.5	-1.5+175	o7.5-105	-105
Mets 28-15	u7	+1.5-210	u7.5-115	-115

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

September 21, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

PHI +100

Over 7.5-101

0.99u

Over 7.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -110

Featured Insight
Phillies have allowed a run just 27% of the time after an opposing score this season -- tied for second lowest in MLB. The Mets have answered-back in just 26% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets left-handed hitters have struck out just 14% against RHP over the last week -- lowest in MLB. Phillies RPs have a strikeout rate of just 17% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- second lowest in MLB.

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Our MLB Best Bets for Saturday
Action Network Staff•
Sep 21, 2024 UTC

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The Phillies are 74-4 (.949) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 29% of PA's this season -- 10th highest in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Reed Garrett has a strikeout rate of 34% this season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Bryson Stott is slugging just .382 since the 2022 season -- fourth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Sean Manaea has allowed a SLG of just .335 vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season -- tied for ninth best among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 53% of Ranger Suarez's pitches (629/1,194) with two-strikes since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 60% -- first Percentile.

25 of Ranger Suarez's 105 breaking pitch strikeouts (24%) have been backdoor since the 2022 season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: 13% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 9-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Mets' 21 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	21-22	12-9	9-13	15-18	6-4
Phillies	21-20	10-10	11-10	16-17	5-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	16-26-1	7-13-1	9-13	16-16-1	0-10
Phillies	18-22-1	11-9	7-13-1	15-17-1	3-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	28-15	17-4	11-11	23-10	5-5
Phillies	24-17	13-7	11-10	20-13	4-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 20th	PHI	L 2-12	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PHI +105
Sep 19th	PHI	W 10-6	-1.5 W	O 8	NYM -142
Sep 18th	WSH	W 10-0	-1.5 W	O 7	NYM -175
Sep 17th	WSH	W 10-1	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -176
Sep 16th	WSH	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 7.5	NYM -197

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with knee
Out
Jose Siri
OF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Suarez, P	91	5	4	2
RJ.Ruiz, P	20	1	0	0
RO.Kerkering, P	25	0.2	2	3
LJ.Alvarado, P	4	0.1	1	0
LT.Banks, P	19	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-4	1	1	1
2T.Turner, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5N.Castellanos, RF	1-3	1	1	1
6J.Realmuto, C	1-3	1	0	0
7E.Sosa, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7B.Stott, PH	1-1	0	0	0
7B.Stott, 2B	1-1	0	0	0
8W.Wilson, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, LF	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9C.Stevenson, PH	0-1	0	0	1
9C.Stevenson, CF	0-1	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Manaea, P	89	7	6	3
RR.Garrett, P	10	0.2	0	0
RE.Diaz, P	17	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Iglesias, 2B	2-5	1	0	0
1J.Iglesias, 3B	2-5	1	0	0
2S.Marte, DH	0-3	1	0	0
3M.Vientos, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
3E.Alvarez, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-1	1	0	1
5B.Nimmo, LF	1-5	1	0	1
6T.Taylor, RF	1-4	0	0	0
7F.Alvarez, C	2-4	1	1	3
8H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9L.Acuna, SS	2-3	1	1	1