Phillies vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - September 19, 2024

Phillies at Mets

11:15 pm • FOX

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

6 - 10

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			3.91	11-7
T.Walker			7.10	3-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	+1.5-170	o8-116	+120
Mets 7-6	-1.5+143	u8-103	-142

Thursday 11:15 p.m.

September 19, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM o4.5 Team Total+114

1.14u

Over 8-110

0.45u

Flat to -115

NYM -134

2.24u

Featured Insight
Phillies have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score this season -- second lowest in MLB. The Mets have answered-back in just 25% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Mets are batting .400 with RISP over the last week -- best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .400 (4-for-10) against Phillies RPs with RISP over the last week -- tied for third worst in MLB.

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Phillies vs Mets: Eyeing NYM's First Five Run Line
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Sep 19, 2024 UTC
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The Phillies are 74-4 (.949) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

Bryce Harper is slugging .517 since last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Luis Severino has allowed a SLG of .493 vs left-handed batters since last season -- fourth worst among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP-- third Percentile.

J.D. Martinez has struck out in 29% of PA's this season -- ninth highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Jeff Hoffman has a strikeout rate of 33% this season -- 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Taijuan Walker has allowed a slugging percentage of .557 (175 Total Bases / 314 ABs) this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .403 -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (47/305) against Taijuan Walker on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 26% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 18th	WSH	W 10-0	-1.5 W	O 7	NYM -175
Sep 17th	WSH	W 10-1	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -176
Sep 16th	WSH	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 7.5	NYM -197
Sep 15th	@PHI	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 8	PHI +114
Sep 14th	@PHI	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 9	PHI +102

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Walker, P	71	3.1	2	8
RJ.Ruiz, P	20	0.2	0	1
LK.Allard, P	30	2	2	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	15	1	0	1
LT.Banks, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-5	2	0	1
2T.Turner, SS	1-5	1	1	2
3B.Harper, 1B	1-3	0	0	2
4A.Bohm, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	1	0	0
6B.Stott, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Realmuto, C	1-3	1	0	0
8B.Marsh, LF	2-4	1	0	1
8B.Marsh, CF	2-4	1	0	1
9C.Stevenson, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9W.Wilson, PH	0-0	0	0	0
9W.Wilson, LF	0-0	0	0	0
9K.Clemens, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	86	6	7	3
LD.Young, P	19	0.1	0	3
RR.Garrett, P	10	0.2	1	0
RR.Stanek, P	21	1	2	0
RE.Diaz, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Iglesias, 2B	2-5	2	0	0
1J.Iglesias, 3B	2-5	2	0	0
2B.Nimmo, LF	2-5	2	1	3
3M.Vientos, 3B	2-4	1	1	2
3E.Alvarez, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
5J.Winker, RF	0-1	0	0	0
5H.Bader, CF	2-2	0	0	0
6J.Martinez, DH	0-4	1	0	0
7T.Taylor, CF	0-1	1	0	0
7T.Taylor, RF	0-1	1	0	0
8F.Alvarez, C	1-3	2	1	3
9L.Acuna, SS	1-4	0	0	1