Phillies vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - June 7, 2025

Phillies at Pirates

8:05 pm • NBCS-PH

Philadelphia Phillies

37-27

1 - 2

Pittsburgh Pirates

25-40

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Heaney			3.24	3-4
R.Suarez			2.70	4-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 37-27	-1.5	-1.5+116	o8-115	-144
Pirates 25-40	u8	+1.5-140	u8-104	+121

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

June 07, 2025

PNC ParkPittsburgh

A.Bohm o1.5 Total Bases+102

1.02u

Giraffe party

PIT +1-105

R.Suarez u2.5 Earned Runs-154

0.32u

Pirates have averaged just 3.19 runs per game this season. Pittsburgh is actually sitting Oneil Cruz and running out an all right-handed lineup which isn’t ideal, as Alexander Canario is batting cleanup and he took Suarez deep for a 3-run homer when these two teams met in May. Still, with this lineup the Pirates’ implied team total went slightly down from 3.8 to 3.7, and my projections for Suarez’s run prevention slightly improved. Suarez has a 2.72 ERA and 2.33 xERA this season, so I don’t think he’s a fluke. He’s also limiting home runs to just 0.25 HR/9 this season, and the Pirates rank bottom-five in power against left-handed pitching this season.

O.Cruz o0.5 HR+750

0.25u

Under 10.5-165

0.61u

Profit boost

PIT +1.5-125

0.8u

ChatGPT: Phillies are collapsing – 6 losses in last 7, just 4 runs over final 26 innings vs. TOR. June OPS a brutal .586, Realmuto still banged up. Offense ranked 7th overall but slumping badly. Pressure mounting as Nola injured, Wheeler out, and bullpen getting stretched thin. Pirates showing life – walk-off win Friday, 3-2 in last 5 at home. Heaney solid (3.39 ERA), outpitched Suarez last start. Suarez’s last outing: just 2 Ks, 5 whiffs – clear regression signs. Pirates’ kids like Henry Davis & Nick Gonzales stepping up with fearless swings. Philly 2-9 ATS in last 11 – can't cover even when they win. Pirates 7-4 ATS in last 11, keeping games tight. Home crowd riding Friday’s win. Pressure-free Pirates vs. spiraling contender = prime upset recipe. If Heaney holds steady, +1.5 is gold.

PIT +138

1.38u

PHI -180

R.Suarez o5.5 Ks+106

PIT +154

0.77u

Bet to +145

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Jun 7, 2025 UTC

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 13-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Pirates' 34 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-35	17-17	13-18	4-14	26-21
Phillies	31-33	14-17	17-16	25-28	6-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	24-36-5	14-17-3	10-19-2	7-11	17-25-5
Phillies	28-34-2	16-15	12-19-2	24-27-2	4-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	25-40	16-18	9-22	6-12	19-28
Phillies	37-27	19-12	18-15	32-21	5-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 6th	PHI	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	PIT +110
Jun 5th	HOU	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 7.5	HOU +120
Jun 4th	HOU	W 3-0	+1.5 W	U 9	PIT +110
Jun 3rd	HOU	L 0-3	-1.5 L	U 7	HOU -162
Jun 1st	@SD	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	SD +127

Bryce Harper
1B
Harper is out with wrist
Out

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
SS
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
1B
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Suarez, P		97	7	5	2
RT.Walker, P		27	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Turner, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2K.Schwarber, DH	1-4	1	1	1
3A.Bohm, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
4N.Castellanos, RF	1-3	0	0	0
5J.Realmuto, C	0-3	0	0	0
6E.Sosa, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
6B.Stott, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6B.Stott, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
7O.Kemp, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8W.Wilson, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, CF	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	1-2	0	0	0
9M.Kepler, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9M.Kepler, LF	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Heaney, P	73	6	5	1
RI.Mattson, P	13	1	1	0
RD.Santana, P	10	1	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	7	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
2A.McCutchen, DH	1-3	0	0	1
3B.Reynolds, RF	0-3	0	0	0
4A.Canario, CF	0-4	0	0	0
5K.Hayes, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6H.Davis, C	2-3	1	1	1
7T.Pham, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Triolo, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
9I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	1-3	0	0	0