Rays vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - June 15, 2024

Rays at Braves

8:10 pm • BSSUN

Tampa Bay Rays

0-0

2 - 9

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Morton			4.19	8-10
R.Pepiot			3.60	8-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 0-0	+1.5-181	o9-110	+110
Braves 0-2	-1.5+150	u9-110	-130

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

June 15, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

TB +110

C.Morton o5.5 Ks-120

0.83u

M.Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases+106

1.06u

TB +112

$50.00

R.Pepiot o16.5 Outs-108

R.Pepiot o15.5 Outs-110

R.Pepiot o5.5 Ks-129

1.29u

Pepiot over in 9/11 full starts. Great stuff - whiff and K rate in the 87th percentile, and a 29.7% CSW% (16th of 146 pitchers with 40+ IP). Braves with a 28% K% vs power pitchers, and likely a soft lineup tomorrow (no Harris).

Under 9-112

0.56u

Bet to -118

TB +145

0.5u

Bet to +130

Featured Insight
Rays won 61% of their games that were decided by one run or less last season -- fourth best in MLB. Braves won just 36% of their games that were decided by one run or less last season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the Braves this season -- best in MLB. Rays hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 36% this season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Rays vs. Braves: Target the Under
John Feltman•
Jun 15, 2024 UTC
Our MLB Best Bets for Saturday
Action Network Staff•
Jun 15, 2024 UTC

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The Braves are 11-1 (.917) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .789.

The Braves are 17-72 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Rays are just 5-6 (.455) when they've hit 2 or more home runs this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.

Yandy Diaz is batting .349 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- second best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 42% of the time since last season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Isaac Paredes is batting just .197 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- tied for 10th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Charlie Morton has thrown a breaking pitch 48% of the time since the 2022 season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

Ryan Pepiot has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.111 (20 Total Bases / 18 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days -- highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .389 -- first Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 42 of 369 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% -- third Percentile.

Ryan Pepiot has allowed an OPS of 1.611 (18 PA's) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days -- highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .668 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 14th	TB	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	ATL -225
Jun 13th	@BAL	W 6-3	-1.5 W	U 9	ATL -105
Jun 12th	@BAL	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 9	BAL +100
Jun 11th	@BAL	L 0-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	BAL -142
Jun 9th	@WSH	L 5-8	-1.5 L	O 9.5	WSH -173

Jeffrey Springs
P
Springs is out with elbow
Out
Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Pepiot, P	90	4.2	4	5
RS.Armstrong, P	23	1.1	1	0
LG.Cleavinger, P	28	1	1	3
RP.Fairbanks, P	10	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
2B.Lowe, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
3I.Paredes, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
4J.Lowe, RF	0-3	0	0	1
5R.Arozarena, DH	1-4	1	1	1
6R.Palacios, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7A.Rosario, SS	1-3	0	0	0
8B.Rortvedt, C	0-2	0	0	0
8A.Jackson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8A.Jackson, C	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Siri, CF	2-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	105	6	8	1
LA.Bummer, P	20	1	3	0
RP.Johnson, P	14	1	1	0
LR.Kerr, P	27	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	3-5	1	1	2
2O.Albies, 2B	0-3	1	0	1
3M.Ozuna, DH	3-5	2	1	2
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	2	1	1
5A.Riley, 3B	1-2	1	1	3
6A.Duvall, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7S.Murphy, C	1-3	1	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9R.Laureano, RF	1-4	1	0	0