Red Sox vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - July 15, 2023

Red Sox at Cubs

12:05 am • MARQ

Boston Red Sox

1-5

8 - 3

Chicago Cubs

3-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Hendricks			3.75	6-8
B.Bello			4.24	12-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 1-5	N/A	N/A	N/A
Cubs 3-3	N/A	N/A	N/A

Saturday 12:05 a.m.

July 15, 2023

Wrigley FieldChicago

Under 9+105

B.Bello o4.5 Ks-130

$1.00

B.Bello o4.5 Ks-130

Projecting closer to -200

B.Bello o4.5 Ks-135

0.74u

Over 9-122

Large (> 20% currently) weather boost - weather could also knock out SPs & enter below avg pens early

CHC +115

0.5u

Bello 4.02 SIERA/4.00 xERA about 1/2 run better than Hendricks (4.85/3.81) overall w/ the latter back to limiting hard contact like he had in his peak - BOS 10 pt wRC+ edge v RHP, but 7 pt deficit Hm/Rd - CHC def massive 33 Runs Prevented better & bullpen estimators a quarter run better over the last month too

CHC +115

B.Bello o4.5 Ks-140

0.71u

Under 9.5-120

0.6u

Bet to -130 or 9 (-110)

BOS -120

1.04u

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The Red Sox are 17-12 (.586) after a win as underdogs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .443.

The Red Sox are 38-24 (.613) after a home win since last season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .539.

Christopher Morel has a groundball rate of 57% over the last 30 days -- tied for 13th highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% against Brayan Bello over the last 30 days -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Nico Hoerner is batting just .213 against RHP over the last 30 days -- 10th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .161 (9-for-56) against Brayan Bello over the last 30 days -- seventh best among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cubs' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-3	N/A
Red Sox	1-5	N/A	1-5	1-4	0-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-3	N/A
Red Sox	4-2	N/A	4-2	3-2	1-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-3	N/A
Red Sox	1-5	N/A	1-5	1-4	0-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 9th	@NYY	W 7-4	-	-	-
Jul 8th	@NYY	L 3-6	-	-	-
Jul 7th	@NYY	W 3-0	-	-	-
Jul 6th	@MIL	L 5-6	-	-	-
Jul 6th	@MIL	W 4-3	-	-	-

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Triston Casas
1B
Casas is out with knee
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with wrist
Out
Romy Gonzalez
1B
Gonzalez is out with shoulder
Out

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out
Jordan Wicks
SP
Wicks is out with arm
Out
Seiya Suzuki
RF
Suzuki is out with knee
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	93	6	5	3
RJ.Winckowski, P	8	1	1	0
LB.Bernardino, P	13	1	2	0
RT.Scott, P	23	0.2	1	0
RK.Jansen, P	3	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	2-5	1	0	0
2M.Yoshida, DH	2-5	1	0	0
3J.Turner, 2B	1-4	1	1	3
3J.Turner, 1B	1-4	1	1	3
4R.Devers, 3B	3-5	2	2	2
5A.Verdugo, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6A.Duvall, CF	1-4	1	1	1
7T.Casas, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
7C. Arroyo, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
8C.Wong, C	0-4	0	0	0
9Y. Chang, SS	1-4	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Hendricks, P	84	4.2	5	5
LA.Kay, P	26	1.1	2	0
RM.Leiter, P	17	1	1	2
RJ.Assad, P	38	2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, DH	1-5	0	0	1
2N.Hoerner, SS	1-4	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4S.Suzuki, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5C.Bellinger, CF	2-4	2	2	2
6C.Morel, 2B	3-4	0	0	0
7J.Young, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8M.Mastrobuoni, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9T.Barnhart, C	2-3	1	0	0